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re: Severe Weather thread for Today

Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:16 pm to
Posted by John88
Member since Sep 2015
6412 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:16 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Remind me again, is that good or bad? And thanks for your (all you mets) patience and service in these threads.


Higher CAPE is bad. Seeing the temps and dews rise like they have means storms have more instability and energy to work with. We've seen surface winds shift more out of the SSE throughout the day, and that's helped ramp up moisture across the at risk area. Shreveport is currently at 77°/66°, with similar readings across the open warm sector.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
32092 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:28 pm to
Posted by lachellie
LALA Land
Member since Aug 2012
1124 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Higher CAPE is bad. Seeing the temps and dews rise like they have means storms have more instability and energy to work with. We've seen surface winds shift more out of the SSE throughout the day, and that's helped ramp up moisture across the at risk area. Shreveport is currently at 77°/66°, with similar readings across the open warm sector.


Thanks. I know at times it must seem like Severe Weather for Dummies on these threads but y’all’s experience and expertise is a big help. For me the CAPE/cap thing gets me every time.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

Thanks. I know at times it must seem like Severe Weather for Dummies on these threads but y’all’s experience and expertise is a big help. For me the CAPE/cap thing gets me every time.



No problem at all. I can talk about this stuff all the time.
Posted by Pisco
Mayfield, Kentucky
Member since Dec 2019
4286 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:43 pm to
I’m right on the edge of the enhanced risk. In Murray it’s cloudy and 70 degrees
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 1:56 pm to
Shreveport's 18z sounding shows the higher than expected CAPE. Some storms could have decent hail, also. Shear should ramp up as we get into the afternoon/evening.

Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
31747 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:01 pm to
It’s raining like a sum bitch here in Houston. Hold on to your britches if it’s heading that way.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:02 pm to
Tornado Warning SW of Browndell, TX.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
30580 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:03 pm to
Incredible. Effectively all of the U.S. east of the Rockies is "tornado alley" nowadays.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:06 pm to
quote:

Incredible. Effectively all of the U.S. east of the Rockies is "tornado alley" nowadays.

Keep in mind that those are just tornado warnings. It would be helpful, and would tell a more complete story, to have an overlay of NWS confirmed tornadoes with that map.
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
30580 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:18 pm to
Is the Shreveport CAPE over 4000 joules/kg already?
Posted by Strannix
C.S.A.
Member since Dec 2012
52785 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

Incredible. Effectively all of the U.S. east of the Rockies is "tornado alley" nowadays.



What do you mean nowadays? Its always been like this.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:38 pm to
First Louisiana tor warning including Zwolle, Noble, and Many.

That storm is really trying to put one down.
This post was edited on 1/2/23 at 2:48 pm
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
37697 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

’s raining like a sum bitch here in Houston. Hold on to your britches if it’s heading that way.


Thanks, but I had that last Thursday. You can keep it over there.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71335 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:49 pm to
Posted by lachellie
LALA Land
Member since Aug 2012
1124 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

First Louisiana tor warning including Zwolle, Noble, and Many.


Storm track puts that 10 miles give or take to my west. Guess I’m activating the plan. And I’m not even in watch area … yet.
This post was edited on 1/2/23 at 2:57 pm
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
101902 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

First Louisiana tor warning including Zwolle, Noble, and Many.


Outside the watch area go figure
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
30580 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 3:09 pm to
Not a good look for Many
Posted by ToulaTiger31
Ridgeland
Member since Aug 2014
482 posts
Posted on 1/2/23 at 3:10 pm to
When is this weather supposed to cross I-55 in south Mississippi? Supposed to be driving from Jackson to Hammond tmrw around 1pm
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