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Started By
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1
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:04 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
TORCON 7 for northern Mississippi for tomorrow
fricking TORCON’s errrywhurrr
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:04 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Working in Murray tomorrow. We’ll see how the day progresses. Schools will know tomorrow morning whether the kids are getting out early or not. It’s about 82 here right now. Every forecast has West KY going up.
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:04 pm to deltaland
Storm in the gulf SW of new Iberia could be a problem when it gets on shore
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:05 pm to lachellie
quote:
Is this for tonight or Wednesday? And please explain like I’m a 1st grader, cause I can follow along somewhat with text and radar but those squiggly lines all look the same to me. I’m about 40 miles SE of Shreveport.
That is for tonight.
Basically, what that type sounding tells is what you could expect in a particular area given the modeled parameter space a storm would exist in. It isn't really saying that there will be a storm at that place at that time. It is saying that if there is a storm at that place at that time its ceiling would be pretty high.
Within that sounding you have CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy), shear, chances for hail, etc. All of that shows you the overall modeled environment at a given time (around 11pm) for that one.
The soundings Duke posted earlier in this thread were from weather balloons launched by individual NWS offices. They show the real time conditions we're dealing with and are always more accurate than any model sounding.
This post was edited on 4/12/22 at 4:06 pm
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:09 pm to LegendInMyMind
Texas and Louisiana and possibly S Arkansas/W Ms are going to overperform this evening imo
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:10 pm to deltaland
I bet the storm chasers in Iowa are fricking bored
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:13 pm to deltaland
HRRR was pretty accurate on initiation in TX.
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:15 pm to Bayou_Tiger_225
Yeah I was going to say I don’t think this is related to the systems the thread is dedicated to, but I just got absolutely rinsed near LSU
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:19 pm to red sox fan 13
quote:
Yeah I was going to say I don’t think this is related to the systems the thread is dedicated to, but I just got absolutely rinsed near LSU
It is part of the overall setup. There's an ejecting shortwave out of the Gulf that is contributing to the LA threat.
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:21 pm to LegendInMyMind
Im good with that entire cluster staying south of DFW 
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:24 pm to 50_Tiger
I hope it does. Y'all have a better environment than farther West.
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
I guess we will find out in about 1.5 hr or so.
Those cells seem to be moving fast though.
Those cells seem to be moving fast though.
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:27 pm to LegendInMyMind
A few tiny spots of convection finally firing in western Iowa
Western Ms getting some cells building too
Western Ms getting some cells building too
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:28 pm to red sox fan 13
quote:Same general area. Probably got more rain in the last hour than I did the past two weeks combined.
I just got absolutely rinsed near LSU
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:29 pm to deltaland
quote:Hopefully it dies out. Right now it's looking nasty.
Storm in the gulf SW of new Iberia could be a problem when it gets on shore
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:48 pm to 50_Tiger
They coming to Dallas I think. There's hail in them, how could they not?
Watching Iowa, though I think the current cells might be a little north of the best stuff up that way.
Topeka sounding looks awful dry to get much going in Kansas ahead of the cold front.
Watching Iowa, though I think the current cells might be a little north of the best stuff up that way.
Topeka sounding looks awful dry to get much going in Kansas ahead of the cold front.
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:49 pm to Duke
quote:
They coming to Dallas I think. There's hail in them, how could they not?
Hard to argue.
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:53 pm to Duke
Shite got real quick in Lafayette. Went from cloudy to the tree across the field from my office getting hit by lightning. Not sure if this is related to the storms in other states but saw that it's blowing up from the gulf.
Posted on 4/12/22 at 4:55 pm to LPLGTiger
quote:
Shite got real quick in Lafayette. Went from cloudy to the tree across the field from my office getting hit by lightning. Not sure if this is related to the storms in other states but saw that it's blowing up from the gulf
It's a little shortwave (makes lift) that came around the southside of the big trough making the Plains stuff happen today and the big severe threat tomorrow.
It's why I got South Louisiana mentioned in the OP.
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