re: Severe Weather Info Thread (LA, MS, AL, FL)

The dynamics aren't in place yet. Check a radar out into the gulf, some cells firing ahead of the main line. All starting to come into place.

quote:

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Just upgraded to TORCON 9 on Weather channel.

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Does that include the BR area?

Probably, but this lingering cloud cover makes me hopeful the worst will end up east of here.

Just to put it in perspective the Tor-Con index was a 9 in the Tuscaloosa area when the 4/27/11 tornado hit. Northern Alabama ended up with a Tor Con of 10 that day. Only time I've ever seen it hit 10.

the recent updated radar i see looks different from the earlier models. looks worse more west and heading north

i am no weather expert though

Missing Baton Rouge, or still with Baton Rouge in the area?

Is Hammond or Madisonville supposed to be getting the worst?

All I know is there is a nasty cell over the gulf that is trending towards SE louisiana..

Here's the deal, the spin in the atmosphere will be here in spades this afternoon. You also need lift (temperature differential with height...basically). The warmer the surface gets, the more potential energy is in play. So the clouds will help keep it a little cooler here.

There's a lot going on here though, and I'm just a hobbyist. We will get bad weather here, I'm just guessing it will be worse to the east. I wouldn't advise making plans based on my guesses though.