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Message
SELA action on the EURO late this week - updated with big rainfall numbers
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:03 pm
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:03 pm
Original post:
Spins up south of the Bahamas and moves northwest into SELA as a weak tropical storm. Obviously this will change and may end up being nothing at all but just wanted to give the heads up.
Paging rds, Duke, and slackster...
Previous Update
The action is still there in roughly the same timeframe. The differences in development location is major changes in upper level patterns from run to run however the GFS is pretty consistent in showing something for the north central gulf coast. The ICON and EURO are also beginning to slowly come around to it as well.
August 20th Update:
The disturbance models were seeing is now in the Caribbean but according to the EURO it may still move into SWLA this weekend as a very weak system. The main takeaway here is the rain potential the EURO is showing for east of “landfall”. Yea yea, I know how big of a bust the EURO was last time for rainfall but it’s still one of the most accurate tropical models.
FWIW - the GFS isn’t really showing much.
Don’t shoot the messenger.
Spins up south of the Bahamas and moves northwest into SELA as a weak tropical storm. Obviously this will change and may end up being nothing at all but just wanted to give the heads up.
Paging rds, Duke, and slackster...
Previous Update
The action is still there in roughly the same timeframe. The differences in development location is major changes in upper level patterns from run to run however the GFS is pretty consistent in showing something for the north central gulf coast. The ICON and EURO are also beginning to slowly come around to it as well.
August 20th Update:
The disturbance models were seeing is now in the Caribbean but according to the EURO it may still move into SWLA this weekend as a very weak system. The main takeaway here is the rain potential the EURO is showing for east of “landfall”. Yea yea, I know how big of a bust the EURO was last time for rainfall but it’s still one of the most accurate tropical models.
FWIW - the GFS isn’t really showing much.
Don’t shoot the messenger.
This post was edited on 8/20/19 at 8:06 am
19
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:07 pm to TDsngumbo
Hmm
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:07 pm to TDsngumbo
Will prob be gone by the next run
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:17 pm to TDsngumbo
Bruv, GFS 300+ hours. 
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:22 pm to TDsngumbo
The season is dead but forecasters apparently believe that once September hits , hurricanes are going be poppin out like babies in a trailer park.
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:50 pm to TDsngumbo
Thanks for the heads up. I just bought 20 gallons of spring water, five loaves of bread, 24 cans of Deviled Ham and 12 cans of Vienna Sausages, two flashlights and filled up all of my gas cans. People were looking at me funny, but they'll see, they'll see.
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:56 pm to TDsngumbo
1002 mb? Bitch please
Posted on 8/11/19 at 1:59 pm to TDsngumbo
A weak tropical storm in August?
Sign me up. Way better than what August storms usually bring our area
Sign me up. Way better than what August storms usually bring our area
Posted on 8/11/19 at 2:52 pm to TDsngumbo
Forecast Hour: [336]
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:33 am to TigerstuckinMS
Roughly the same timeframe and still some action.
Posted on 8/20/19 at 7:44 am to TDsngumbo
Posted on 8/20/19 at 7:50 am to TDsngumbo
That's the projected rainfall for this weekend?
Thanks for the update
Thanks for the update
Posted on 8/20/19 at 7:55 am to Mudminnow
It starts on Thursday and goes through the end of next week. Apparently it thinks it is going to be a slow mover.
Posted on 8/20/19 at 7:58 am to Mudminnow
Tired of running the well pump for my pond. Would take 7"-8" of that rain.
Posted on 8/20/19 at 8:05 am to TDsngumbo
Son of a bitch
Posted on 8/20/19 at 8:16 am to jimbeam
quote:
Son of a bitch
If it happens, that is going to spread out any teal that is coming down.
Posted on 8/20/19 at 8:18 am to TDsngumbo
No RDS, no care. it aint official till he says it is.
Posted on 8/20/19 at 8:20 am to tigerinthebueche
quote:
No RDS, no care
Posted on 8/20/19 at 8:21 am to tigerinthebueche
I’m still waiting on him to drop in and give his thoughts. When the EURO jumps on board you have to at least keep an eye on it.
Posted on 8/20/19 at 5:49 pm to TDsngumbo
Well, any updates? 
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