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Started By
Message
re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:41 am to theunknownknight
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:41 am to theunknownknight
quote:
This sounds like an exact quote from late August 2005
Stahp. Katrina was already a hurricane before crossing FL
1
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:42 am to DVinBR
quote:
well, we see if actually organizes well enough, because as of right now it is still a mess with most convection displaced to the southeast
This is expected at this point.
Optimism rises a little if it's still this tilted tonight.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:42 am to Cosmo
When is the next update?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:42 am to theunknownknight
quote:
This sounds like an exact quote from late August 2005
No it doesn’t
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:42 am to Duke
The CDO looks good. What factors into it vertically stacking? I know there's shear present.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:43 am to jamboybarry
NOLA
Storm Surge has been upgraded to 11-15 ft for the NOLA area
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 9:44 am
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:43 am to fishfighter
10am
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:43 am to theunknownknight
quote:
This sounds like an exact quote from late August 2005
Except on Sunday before it hit it was already a CAT 5 as wide as the Gulf of Mexico. Let's not compare LSU 2019 to the Delgado CC football team.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:44 am to rmnldr
quote:
The CDO looks good. What factors into it vertically stacking? I know there's shear present.
Shear is the big thing. It tilts a weak system like this.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:46 am to DVinBR
quote:
it is still fairly unorganized and has only little over a day before it's starting to knock on the door of the coast i'd be surprised if it makes hurricane status, but of course i've been wrong before
And now we are all fricked
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:46 am to Mr. Hangover
quote:
But that’s dumb because when it makes landfall, it has about 70-100 miles to go before it hits NOLA
Not exactly much “land” between New Orleans and the coast. And the eye wall which is the worst part of the storm is out in front of the center so by the time the center makes landfall the eye wall could almost be a third of the way to New Orleans. It won’t strengthen on it’s way to New Orleans but I wouldn’t make my plans based off it weakening any.
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:47 am to MrLSU
Link to surge picture?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:48 am to MrLSU
I never like when conditions are favorable for substantial strengthening the day before landfall. I’m not saying it’s a Laura or a Michael or a Harvey but it’s not good when hurricanes have a chance to make landfall at peak intensity.
This post was edited on 9/13/20 at 9:50 am
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:48 am to CaptainJ47
My grandparents who never leave for any storms are leaving venetian isles. So take that for what it's worth for those out that way
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:48 am to MrLSU
quote:
Storm Surge has been upgraded to 11-15 ft for the NOLA area
And Laura was supposed to bring 15-20 ft to Lake Charles. Unsurvivable, remember?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:48 am to geauxtigers87
Any rainfall total maps out there?
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:49 am to DVinBR
quote:
it is still fairly unorganized and has only little over a day before it's starting to knock on the door of the coast
i'd be surprised if it makes hurricane status, but of course i've been wrong before
DVinBR meet Peej.
quote:
No. They are saying a Tuesday landfall... not enough time to intensify. It may reach hurricane strength, but will not get to a cat 2. Even though the weather channel is hoping it will.....
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:49 am to tgrbaitn08
quote:
And Laura was supposed to bring 15-20 ft to Lake Charles. Unsurvivable, remember?
and 17 ft storm surge verified by Creole/Grand Chenier
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:49 am to tgrbaitn08
quote:
And Laura was supposed to bring 15-20 ft to Lake Charles. Unsurvivable, remember?
Yall need to stop saying this if she doesn't do that wobble towards landfall it gets close to that. Still brought 17 feet of surge
Posted on 9/13/20 at 9:49 am to tgrbaitn08
quote:
And Laura was supposed to bring 15-20 ft to Lake Charles. Unsurvivable, remember?
The lake was supposed to cover all of Lake Charles according to TWC and put houses underwater much like Katrina.
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