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Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:54 pm to lsuman25
I'm not liking his update tonight.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:55 pm to lsuman25
quote:
saying Sally has a high ceiling. Levi that is
Yup.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:57 pm to Duke
I know it will never happen because he is so busy but wish Levi would post in these threads. 
This post was edited on 9/12/20 at 7:58 pm
Posted on 9/12/20 at 7:58 pm to WylieTiger
Cliff notes?
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:03 pm to JAlohaM
Basically the GFS doesn't have the lower level circulation and middle level circulation aligned until almost landfall, while the HWRF aligns them much sooner. This is why the GFS has a weaker storm (that's intensifying on landfall) than the HWRF. Also discusses that rainfall will be a problem as many have stated in this thread.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:05 pm to medtiger
Hopeful for the GFS solution.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:05 pm to JAlohaM
I just talked to the Captain of my boat and he is moving it tomorrow to Ocean Springs or Orange Beach to ride out this storm. If your boat is in the water in from Grand Isle to Bay St. Louis its time to move that sucker east or west tomorrow.
Hope this thing breaks up
Hope this thing breaks up
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:07 pm to MrLSU
Well that's an open book. Thanks Capt.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:09 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
18z Euro with a similar approach albeit further south and definitely weaker.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:10 pm to rds dc
Weaker as in Tropical storm, not cat 1?
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:10 pm to MrLSU
TVCN back west to the MS/LA line.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:13 pm to GEAUXmedic
levi's update doesn't exactly make me feel warm and fuzzy
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:13 pm to medtiger
Levi just stunned me
talking about Paulette going into Bermuda... he said the HWRF is running weaker than other solutions on that particular storm
I didn't know HWRF running weaker was a possibility
talking about Paulette going into Bermuda... he said the HWRF is running weaker than other solutions on that particular storm
I didn't know HWRF running weaker was a possibility
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:14 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
@NOLAnews
·
2h
New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell has issued a mandatory evacuation order for Orleans Parish residents living outside of the parish's levee protection system in preparation for Tropical Storm Sally.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:14 pm to Duke
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:16 pm to rds dc
Can someone explain the rainfall maps?
If reading correctly BR should get up to 4” & the ECMWF shows even less?
If reading correctly BR should get up to 4” & the ECMWF shows even less?
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:17 pm to LSUJML
Think it's 2" for Baton Rouge area.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:18 pm to LSUJML
quote:
If reading correctly BR should get up to 4” & the ECMWF shows even less?
That's the WPC forecast. It's going to be more aggressive on the fringes and less aggressive in the highest totals vs a model.
The rainfall gradient should be sharp on the western side though.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 8:20 pm to LSUJML
quote:
Can someone explain the rainfall maps?
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