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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:54 pm to fightin tigers
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:54 pm to fightin tigers
Haha I am one of those people.
0
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:54 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:Not really anything in the cards except if Sally weakens considerably and drifts west as a result.
Duke I know you don’t like making certainties but what are the factors that could make this a threat to New Orleans again if they have any?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 11:57 pm to DhanTigers212
quote:
I know you don’t like making certainties but what are the factors that could make this a threat to New Orleans again if they have any?
At this point to get to New Orleans, it would need to fall apart about right now and a much weaker but still rain filled storm moves to about due south of the city by mid morning.
In other words...it's getting difficult to imagine a realistic scenario that could really do it.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 12:09 am to Duke
HWRF and HMON correct for the current state of the system. Maybe still too quick to strengthen out the gate but show not much strength added overnight and don't really get a proper core wrapped around until tomorrow. Both do get the storm sub 970 and back to about 100-105 mph.
HWRF goes to Biloxi and HMON Dauphin Island. Also both landfall in 24-30 hours from now. Long slow march ahead.
And now, sleep
HWRF goes to Biloxi and HMON Dauphin Island. Also both landfall in 24-30 hours from now. Long slow march ahead.
And now, sleep
Posted on 9/15/20 at 12:44 am to rds dc
so much for orange beach for a while
Posted on 9/15/20 at 2:54 am to rds dc
You Mississippi and Alabama baws and gaws have my prayers. It’s too bad we can’t send this thing packing up to Portland.
Robert Palmer - Sneaking Sally through the alley (trying to keep her out of sight)
Robert Palmer - Sneaking Sally through the alley (trying to keep her out of sight)
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:12 am to OldHickory
Looking at this recon pass there were some 981 readings and one 980.8 near the center. It might be strengthening again
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:34 am to antibarner
Looks like it moved west again while I slept a bit. I’m beginning to wonder if this will continue that way slowly and hit central Mississippi or east of New Orleans.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 3:49 am to Ramblin Wreck
Anyone post the lawn chairs meme yet? Looks like we dodged another one out in Metairie.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:10 am to TigahJay
A little west again on 4 AM update. Downgraded to a Cat 1 and moving 2 mph. Weather Channel app now showing landfall just on the west side of the Alabama - Mississippi state line. Guess at this rate it will hit in about a week.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:16 am to Ramblin Wreck
Landfall pushed back to noonish wednesday
Posted on 9/15/20 at 4:30 am to Cosmo
quote:
Landfall pushed back to noonish wednesday
Meanwhile, a shite ton of rain here.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 5:18 am to Ramblin Wreck
For the new orleans people- It needs to stay due West or extreme WNW for the next solid 12-14 hours, before y'all can get excited. As of now, the experts have it making the Northern push prior to that.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 5:21 am to Cosmo
quote:
Landfall pushed back to noonish wednesday
Holy shite. Good morning everybody. So she’s stalled out and weakened a bit?
Posted on 9/15/20 at 5:24 am to tilco
Dauphin Island shouldn't really have homes on it, and after this week there may not be many left
Posted on 9/15/20 at 6:02 am to East Coast Band
It's still just not making much headway west at all,and upwelling and shear are becoming factors.
If I were in Pensacola I would be wary of this thing pulling an Ivan on me,it's likely never going to see Louisiana or Mississippi and once it starts trying to creep poleward it 's going to want to turn NNE or NE IMO.
If I were in Pensacola I would be wary of this thing pulling an Ivan on me,it's likely never going to see Louisiana or Mississippi and once it starts trying to creep poleward it 's going to want to turn NNE or NE IMO.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 6:05 am to antibarner
I'm in Perdido key right now on the beach.. haven't really seen much info on the escambia county facebook pages.. just thought to look here.. what's this thing doing? Getting weaker, moving west away from us or what? Not mich light outside to see anything yet.. on vacation here this whole week!
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 6:09 am
Posted on 9/15/20 at 6:11 am to antibarner
Mobile radar site is down. Bad time for that. They think they’ll have it back up later this morning, though.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 6:14 am to Roll Tide Ravens
As slow as this thing is it probably won't have moved much
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