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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:28 pm to OceanMan
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:28 pm to OceanMan
quote:
I’m trying to decide if I’m going to even pick up my yard on the north shore. Got the essentials done yesterday like generator gas and shopping. Rather not fill up my garage if not necessary
good problem to have
we dodged another bullet thankfully
1
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:28 pm to deltaland
Any chance that big I10 tunnel floods and traps people underneath?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:29 pm to Python
quote:
it’s pretty obvious Sally is no threat to Louisiana
thats not true at all....she's stationary right now and not even moving.
Parts of SELA will experience storm surge and some wind and possible power outages.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:30 pm to tgrbaitn08
Will New Metairie experience power outages?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:30 pm to TulaneLSU
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/31/21 at 9:11 am
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:30 pm to Python
Yeah I'm getting pretty nervous right now. I've been through a bunch of storms, including Katrina, but can't remember being there when a hurricane was a direct hit. I'm also scared to death of bad weather since a tree almost fell on my house a year ago.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:30 pm to Sal Minio
quote:
Will New Metairie experience power outages?
10000%
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:31 pm to Sal Minio
quote:
New Metairie
Trashy
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:31 pm to Duke
quote:
A great example of what the middle line means.
I was trying to come up with an analogy of a shotgun slug at 25 yards, 50yards and 100yards.
Yeah, you know where they are aiming, but standing close to the target still could mean a direct hit.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:32 pm to onelochevy
What’s the height difference from dock to your house?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:33 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
I was trying to come up with an analogy of a shotgun slug at 25 yards, 50yards and 100yards. Yeah, you know where they are aiming, but standing close to the target still could mean a direct hit.
Not if you are using a rifled barrel.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:34 pm to 4LSU2
quote:
Not if you are using a rifled barrel.
Mother Nature is pulling the trigger, she a B.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:35 pm to cgrand
quote:
good problem to have
we dodged another bullet thankfully
The 11 inches we got a few months ago one random Sunday evening looks like it’ll be the year’s largest rainmaker for 2020.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:36 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Herp derp, cone has shifted
I'll try the explanation of the cone one last time...
NHC makes a forecast of where they believe the center is most likely to be in 12, 24, 36, 48, 72, 94, and 120 hours. They take the 5 year errors at each of those intervals and find the standard deviation. They then create a circle around the center predictions that has a radius of 1 standard deviation - essentially creating a circle that should encompass 65% of track errors. That circle has nearly shrunk in half over the last 15 years as forecasting has improved greatly. Lastly, they take the 7 circles they've created and connect them all at the edges to make a cone.
The cone can move every 6 hours at the full updates. When people say the storm has never left the cone, what they mean is that the storm's current location was in every previous cone that was provided over the last 5 days. The cone moves for lots of reasons, but you cannot find a cone for Sally that didn't encompass where she CURRENTLY is.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:37 pm to Easye921
quote:
I'm also scared to death of bad weather since a tree almost fell on my house a year ago.
My biggest fear with 40 or so trees on my property in Mandeville. Stayed home through Tropical Storm / Low Cat 1 and saw enough trees come down in the neighborhood to leave every time a storm comes through, now.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:38 pm to John Casey
Does florabama have a live feed?
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:39 pm to Mud_Till_May
quote:
Any chance that big I10 tunnel floods and traps people underneath?
Nah
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:39 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Sounds like NOLA
That's kind of a southern thing in general. If you ask people across Louisiana where they went to school, they almost always mean your high school.
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:39 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
thats not true at all....she's stationary right now and not even moving. Parts of SELA will experience storm surge and some wind and possible power outages.
Then please stop screwing up a thread that people use to make important decisions for themselves and their families.
Thanks
Posted on 9/14/20 at 8:39 pm to Mud_Till_May
quote:
Any chance that big I10 tunnel floods and traps people underneath?
Maybe in, but probably not underneath the tunnel
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