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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:16 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:16 pm to
quote:

Opposite. Min is near sunset but that can be offset by a system with a well defined core. The fact that Sally degraded so much this afternoon in phase with the diurnal min points to the system not being as organized as it was earlier in the day.


I thought right before sunset was peak convection. I was a few hours off calling it early night hours. I might be using the wrong verbiage, or misunderstanding your post.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:17 pm to
quote:

Memphis says ‘hold my beer’


30 years ago, Memphis and Mobile were fair cities. Now, shite holes. About three steps below New Orleans.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:18 pm to
quote:

LSURussian


You serious Clark?

A) Those are ensembles and not models.

B) The post in question was discussing the NHC forecast.

C) The post also said it had changed 200 miles in 36 hours.

Y'all are amateurs.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109166 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:20 pm to
quote:

Mother was quite adamant last night that we evacuate from our home in Mid-City, so early this morning we packed her vehicle and headed east.


Posted by thadcastle
Member since Dec 2019
2843 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

30 years ago, Memphis and Mobile were fair cities. Now, shite holes. About three steps below New Orleans.

I wouldn’t put mobile in that category. Relatively safe, pretty good food, and some good bars.

ETA: and they don’t have LaToya
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 7:24 pm
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44742 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:21 pm to
Hurrcane Sally,

Girl you better slow your wind speeds down.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:21 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:21 pm to
quote:

This thing looks like it might be slowing down more? Slowly transitioning to the turn?



Steering is just breaking down and there's a push/pull between the low level and upper level steering that's getting toward a stalemate.
Posted by Lithium
Member since Dec 2004
64227 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:22 pm to
I came home from work and now in a Hurricane Watch
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53878 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

Look on the bottom of the sign. It says, "World's Whitest Beaches."


Hello Friend,

I see it now



Be careful and keep us posted.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:24 pm to
Sorry to say better you then me.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78352 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:25 pm to
Apologies the horrible font used caused my eyes to just pass over it.

quote:

P.S. Mobile is the absolute worst city in America. Everything about it is gross.


Mobile is home to 2 of the 10 longest bridges in the US which should have redeeming qualities to someone who doesn't suffer from gephyrophobia.
Posted by Hangover Haven
Metry
Member since Oct 2013
33553 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:25 pm to
quote:

Sorry to say better you then me.


Than*
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134824 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

A) Those are ensembles and not models.

B) The post in question was discussing the NHC forecast.

C) The post also said it had changed 200 miles in 36 hours.

If it makes you feel better about your earlier uninformed statement to resort to semantics, that's okay with me. But it makes you look a little childish.

There was a point in time over the weekend that some of the models showed the most likely path was west of New Orleans and coming very close to Baton Rouge. That's why I remembered the posts showing that possible path. They made my butt pucker seeing how similar the path near Baton Rouge was starting to look like Gustav.

But, as I said, if you think rds dc was just posting those graphics in order to confuse everyone, that's okay with me.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78352 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:27 pm to
quote:

There was a point in time over the weekend that some of the models showed the most likely path was west of New Orleans and coming very close to Baton Rouge


The centerline is not the path
Posted by deaconjones35
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2009
9896 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

Unlike my travels to Seattle and Portland, I believe this boarding was due to weather rather than riots.


Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

Was it Saturday night that Sally was going in west of the Lake around Hammond and going to destroy NOLA? It is approx 160 miles from Hammond to Mobile. Go check your distances please.


You said 50 miles west of New Orleans and now it's supposed to go 150 miles east. That is and was false.

Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134824 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:30 pm to
quote:

The centerline is not the path
Oh, okay.
Posted by Fishwater
Carcosa
Member since Aug 2010
6050 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:31 pm to
Winds are starting to pick up on the Eastern Shore of Mobile Bay.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78352 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

Oh, okay.


It just isn't. It is where computer modeling thinks it is going at that point out with limited knowledge. The cone is the margin of error and completely open to being the path.

What do you think the cone signifies? You think it is hot at the center and cold on the outside?
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 7:33 pm
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