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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/11/20 at 10:38 pm to deuce985
Posted on 9/11/20 at 10:38 pm to deuce985
quote:
Well, sorry to say you don't want to wishcast it but they're better equipped to take the storm over us right now. I'm not sure how the storm surge from a hurricane would look on Louisiana in that current path. With how slow it's moving on the forecast I wouldn't want to find out especially with the potential flooding. Even if it moved further north it would make a pretty big impact.
Nobody wants a storm to hit their area. I’m in Louisiana, and don’t want any of it, but neither do folks in other states. Best just to leave those thoughts unspoken I think. Just remember that the tropics have dragged its nuts up and down Florida for the last 5 years it seems.
1
Posted on 9/11/20 at 10:42 pm to Mudminnow
quote:
If the center does go towards the convection to the south does this give the storm a westward shift for landfall?
It would shift the potential track west some potentially but I'm going to worry about that if it actually happens.
It could end up going the other way where the mid level center actually pulls NW to the low level center.
This post was edited on 9/11/20 at 10:45 pm
Posted on 9/11/20 at 11:05 pm to Duke
GFS coming in. Still too weak. It is stacking it more vertically at least. Generally a little south of the NHC track.
ETA: it does end up going north after a slow track near the mouth of the river.
ETA: it does end up going north after a slow track near the mouth of the river.
This post was edited on 9/11/20 at 11:09 pm
Posted on 9/11/20 at 11:07 pm to Duke
Meanders near SE Louisiana for a while then moves slowly Northward up into Mississippi.
Posted on 9/11/20 at 11:18 pm to Duke
quote:
bought a house in SE EBR in late July of 2016
Same, actually
Posted on 9/11/20 at 11:19 pm to lsuman25
If it was a 70-80 mph storm on that GFS track, it would push a lot of water into the lake, St. Bernard, and the MS coast.
This post was edited on 9/11/20 at 11:20 pm
Posted on 9/11/20 at 11:35 pm to NorthEndZone
Trend on the GFS. That little ridge getting stronger over Mississippi pushes it farther west and a little faster before the hard north turn.
Posted on 9/11/20 at 11:38 pm to Clockwatcher68
Posted on 9/11/20 at 11:49 pm to John88
May be pulling an all nighter Wednesday to clean up after the storm before heading out to Bristol for the night race. Of course this bitch would hit the day before a fricking 2 week vacation #TDBINGO
Posted on 9/12/20 at 12:11 am to rds dc
In!
I ain't gonna get called up.
I ain't gonna get called up.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 1:04 am to NorthEndZone
quote:
If it was a 70-80 mph storm on that GFS track, it would push a lot of water into the lake, St. Bernard, and the MS coast.
Looking like Hurricane Isaac 2.0 heading this way. Hurricane Isaac surprised a bunch of people on the southwest side of Lake Pontchartrain of all places.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 1:16 am to The Boat
00Z Euro
Posted on 9/12/20 at 1:17 am to auwaterfowler
quote:
Literally just checked into beachfront house at Cape San Blas for a no-kids long weekend with friends. 2nd time in 3 years dodging tropical storms this weekend. Unbelievable......
There is a season in the Atlantic Ocean between June and November called Hurricane season. If you don’t want to worry about tropical weather, you schedule it opposite those months.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 1:19 am to lsuman25
The frick
Posted on 9/12/20 at 1:23 am to lsuman25
My God that EURO model is a bitch.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 1:24 am to lsuman25
But what does it mean Basil?
Posted on 9/12/20 at 1:57 am to fightin tigers
quote:
Philippe Papin
@pppapin
Seeing numerous radar velocity bins of 60-75mph very close to #KAMX radar (~100 meters AGL) in the intense band on east of the center of #TD19.
Even assuming a significant reduction factor, these radar derived velocities may support upgrading TD19 to a tropical storm.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 2:42 am to Bobby OG Johnson
Another 
Posted on 9/12/20 at 2:52 am to PUB
Posted on 9/12/20 at 6:42 am to Duke
Damn latest GFS has a Cat 1-2 into SE La. HWRF going with a major hurricane into Biloxi
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