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Started By
Message
rds - where ya at? MAJOR winter storm showing up on GFS right before Christmas
Posted on 12/10/19 at 11:38 am
Posted on 12/10/19 at 11:38 am
Yes, just one run and obviously there needs to be consistency but for something this major to be showing up there has to be some smoke to this fire, right?
Also, the Canadian model is showing some pretty cold air intrusion coming up as well.
6:00 am December 19
12:00 am December 20th
The Canadian model ends right there. The GFS has us 22 degrees warmer at the same time.
EURO at 6:00pm shows us at 44.
8
Posted on 12/10/19 at 11:54 am to TDsngumbo
Forget the storm, I'm just happy there is a chance it won't be 75+ for Christmas Day.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 12:12 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
Forget the storm, I'm just happy there is a chance it won't be 75+ for Christmas Day.
This
Posted on 12/10/19 at 12:13 pm to BallsEleven
Yep. It seems like it's been several years since we've had even a moderately cool Christmas Day.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 12:15 pm to BallsEleven
Except that prediction is for December 20th. Five days later and it’s likely to be 85 degrees
Posted on 12/10/19 at 12:27 pm to tigerfootball10
quote:
Except that prediction is for December 20th. Five days later and it’s likely to be 85 degrees
Posted on 12/10/19 at 12:27 pm to tigerfootball10
double post
This post was edited on 12/10/19 at 12:29 pm
Posted on 12/10/19 at 12:28 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
Forget the storm, I'm just happy there is a chance it won't be 75+ for Christmas Day.
Might want to check those dates on the pics, bub.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 12:32 pm to TDsngumbo
Praise god I won’t be in Kansas.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 12:50 pm to TDsngumbo
frick Louisiana, is it going to ice in DFW???
Posted on 12/10/19 at 3:19 pm to SUB
quote:
Might want to check those dates on the pics, bub.
I did, pal.
If you go look at the rest of the model, it shows it being in the 50s for Christmas Day with another front coming on the 26.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 3:38 pm to Bard
quote:
That's going to be quite a stretch. Current 10-day forecast for BR:
quote:
December 19 - 61/46
December 20 - 68/46
December 21 - 65/43
December 22 - 64/43
December 23 - 66/46
December 24 - 69/49
Are people here EVER going to learn the difference between official forecasts and model runs?
Posted on 12/10/19 at 3:55 pm to TDsngumbo
I’m already over the cold that came in today.
Bring back yesterday’s temps.
Bring back yesterday’s temps.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 4:16 pm to TDsngumbo
Damn, gfs has about a 36-hour ice storm for NTX and Ok... .5" to 1.5" (liquid) qpf but all as freezing rain. Hopefully it's just a fantasyland run.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 4:26 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
but for something this major to be showing up there has to be some smoke to this fire, right?
Nah, no smoke and no fire. Never trust a model showing snow in the South unless it's a mesoscale model within 24 hours of the event.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 4:27 pm to TDsngumbo
I always take those with a grain of slat in the winter. Seems like the models always have a deep cold front in the 12-15 day range that more than not never materialize.
Posted on 12/10/19 at 4:38 pm to TDsngumbo
A model run 11 days out, I'd bet money on the exact opposite to occur.
So, sunny and highs in the 70's
So, sunny and highs in the 70's
Posted on 12/10/19 at 4:43 pm to TDsngumbo
This is nothing but the OP trying to get ahead of something that might happen so he can have a thread with a bunch of pages
Posted on 12/10/19 at 4:52 pm to Bard
You can't trust any forecast 2 weeks out. Too many variables out there
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