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Started By
Message
re: Potential Hurricane in the gulf 9 days out
Posted on 6/11/18 at 6:54 am to CaptainJ47
Posted on 6/11/18 at 6:54 am to CaptainJ47
Updates?
4
Posted on 6/11/18 at 6:57 am to fishfighter
It's all good now.
Posted on 6/11/18 at 7:29 am to fishfighter
System is gone from latest GFS but Euro increasing moisture.
So looks like a depression or low end TS at most, and some rain for the gulf coast
So looks like a depression or low end TS at most, and some rain for the gulf coast
Posted on 6/11/18 at 8:24 am to fishfighter
Posted on 6/11/18 at 8:28 am to fishfighter
NWS Houston discussion this morning:
quote:
Later in the week we should see an area of unsettled wx emerge
from the Caribbean into the southern and western Gulf (the vast
majority of 00z guidance indicating this in the form a broad
trough/wave). As the wave makes it`s way westward we`ll probably
see a long fetch of deep tropical moisture make its way up into
se Tx this weekend and into early next week bringing higher
chance of precip during that time period.
This post was edited on 6/11/18 at 8:29 am
Posted on 6/11/18 at 8:36 am to LSUJuice
Thanks guys. 
Posted on 6/11/18 at 8:51 am to LSUJuice
quote:
we`ll probably see a long fetch of deep tropical moisture make its way up into se Tx this weekend and into early next week bringing higher chance of precip during that time period.
Posted on 6/11/18 at 9:08 am to 91TIGER
No predictions . We will just let Mother Nature do her thing.........
Posted on 6/11/18 at 10:10 am to dukke v
frick...
We're all gonna die...
We're all gonna die...
Posted on 6/11/18 at 1:01 pm to GeauxOCDP
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 11 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A broad area of showers and thunderstorms has persisted over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea for the past several hours. This activity
is associated with a tropical wave over northwestern Venezuela and
a surface trough located just east of Nicaragua interacting with a
large upper-level trough. Little development of this area of
disturbed weather is expected over the next few days due to
interaction with Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula. However,
environmental conditions could become somewhat more conducive for
some limited development when the system moves into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. Regardless of development,
this disturbance will produce locally heavy rainfall across portions
of Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula
through Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Stewart
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 11 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A broad area of showers and thunderstorms has persisted over the
southwestern Caribbean Sea for the past several hours. This activity
is associated with a tropical wave over northwestern Venezuela and
a surface trough located just east of Nicaragua interacting with a
large upper-level trough. Little development of this area of
disturbed weather is expected over the next few days due to
interaction with Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula. However,
environmental conditions could become somewhat more conducive for
some limited development when the system moves into the southwestern
Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week. Regardless of development,
this disturbance will produce locally heavy rainfall across portions
of Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula
through Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Stewart
Posted on 6/11/18 at 1:02 pm to dukke v
quote:
No predictions . We will just let Mother Nature do her thing.........
Early prediction is Mexico or South Texas.
Posted on 6/11/18 at 1:45 pm to Double Oh
Mexico sounds good.
Posted on 6/11/18 at 2:00 pm to Double Oh
quote:
Early prediction is Mexico or South Texas
Not wishing for another hurricane but we could use some rain
Posted on 6/11/18 at 2:06 pm to Dire Wolf
yep. could be rough summer for Texas if we don't get some consistent rain pretty soon.
My water bill is already getting out of hand due to lawn drought.
My water bill is already getting out of hand due to lawn drought.
Posted on 6/11/18 at 2:26 pm to Dire Wolf
quote:
Not wishing for another hurricane but we could use some rain
12z Euro gets some rain into LA but looks better for TX. Flooding could be an issue depending on how things setup over the next week.
12z Euro
On an actual named system. The GFS has trended towards the weak or no development side of things.
Posted on 6/11/18 at 4:49 pm to rds dc
I’ll take an inch here or there. Don’t need the ground saturated until I can get my pond finished
Posted on 6/11/18 at 4:53 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:3 inches and you wouldn't see it in two days.
I’ll take an inch here or there. Don’t need the ground saturated until I can get my pond finished
Posted on 6/11/18 at 4:54 pm to rds dc
We gon get some rain in swla...long as my power doesn’t go out, I don’t give a frick. We’re immune to flooding where I am.
Posted on 6/11/18 at 10:26 pm to rds dc
Bud to the west, dry air over the southern Gulf, and an area of sheared convection across the WCAB
Posted on 6/12/18 at 9:51 am to rds dc
Looks like some much needed rain is coming to South Texas this weekend. Space City write-up
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