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OT mets: is this tornado possibility real?

Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:12 pm
Posted by DoctorTechnical
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2009
3044 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:12 pm
TV stations here in BHM are jumping up and down about the chance for a serious North Alabama tornado outbreak tomorrow afternoon/evening: "download our app, stay tuned, respect the polygon", etc.

What say y'all? Ratings-hype or something I should worry about?

Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
86110 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:12 pm to
I'd say the possibility is great
Posted by Yewkindewit
Near Birmingham, Alabama
Member since Apr 2012
22026 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:13 pm to
I’m in the Ham area and it sure seems they are puckering a bit now.
Posted by PrivatePublic
Member since Nov 2012
17848 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:14 pm to
there will either be a tornado or there won't.

so i'd say the possibility is real.
This post was edited on 3/18/18 at 6:17 pm
Posted by ThatMakesSense
Fort Lauderdale
Member since Aug 2015
15281 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:15 pm to
The red blob looks like a meme with arms outreached trying to get their long lost love back from South Georgia. It's creepy.
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82755 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:19 pm to
Not as serious as pink, purple, or black
Posted by DustyDinkleman
Here
Member since Feb 2012
20386 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:21 pm to
I'd say about a 30% chance of a tor in any given 25 square mile plot.
Posted by Mulat
Avalon Bch, FL
Member since Sep 2010
17517 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:30 pm to
a Forecast allows you to prepare, right or wrong it is a prep warning
Posted by HogX
Madison, WI
Member since Dec 2012
5667 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:32 pm to
It's Spring in the deep South. That's enough reason to be worried.
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
94024 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

OT mets: is this tornado possibility real?


Well, I mean...yeah.

Especially since that graphic is from NOAA, and not your local guys.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
67007 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:47 pm to
They get the forecast right about half of the time.
Posted by Koach K
Member since Nov 2016
4818 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:48 pm to
No need to get all technical on us doctor.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51961 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:56 pm to
Tomorrow is a very real threat for severe weather across northern and central Alabama. All modes of severe weather are possible: hail, straight line winds, and tornadoes (possibly a couple of strong tornadoes).

You definitely should be weather aware tomorrow and have a way to get warnings.

This post was edited on 3/18/18 at 6:59 pm
Posted by llfshoals
Member since Nov 2010
21035 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 6:56 pm to
If James Spann says worry....WORRY
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
50047 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:08 pm to
No one can predict a tornado specifically but they are getting much better at predicting a outbreak over a area or region.
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13231 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:28 pm to
In Alabama? I sure there is a chance but it's probably mostly media hype.

In Oklahoma or Kansas - yeah, make sure the shelter is stocked.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51961 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

I sure there is a chance but it's probably mostly media hype.

This is not some threat the media just came up with. The computer forecast models are in pretty good agreement showing the potential for a serious severe weather threat tomorrow.
This post was edited on 3/18/18 at 7:32 pm
Posted by vodkacop
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2008
8050 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:34 pm to
Is Jim Cantor there? If so update your insurance.
Posted by Flanders
Member since May 2008
9966 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:34 pm to
quote:

In Alabama? I sure there is a chance but it's probably mostly media hype. In Oklahoma or Kansas - yeah, make sure the shelter is stocked.
Alabama has had more violent tornados touch down than any where else in the country.
Posted by Cincinnati Bowtie
Sparta
Member since May 2008
11951 posts
Posted on 3/18/18 at 7:45 pm to
Steve Wilfong just crystal balled a tornado to Alabama. He’s pretty accurate.
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