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re: OT Math problem

Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:58 pm to
Posted by mlminbtr
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2003
682 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:58 pm to
I would say D...99% as the true definition of a 100-year flood is not a flood that will occur every 100 years, but rather a flood that has a 1% chance of occurring in any given year.
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

Civil/Structural


A friend of mine passed, his main study material was the "civil engineering academy" YouTube channel. He swears by it.


Check it out, or don't, I'm not your fricking dad.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43009 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

The probability of success is still 1%, not 2%.

The rest of the math is correct, and you'll get .415% chance of 2 100-year floods in a 10 year stretch. The .43% comes form the possibility that there are 2 or more 100 year floods in a 10-year stretch.


Yep! Thanks bud

Posted by monkeybutt
Member since Oct 2015
4584 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

I hate you slack, im reading distributions at work




n = 10

X = 2

45 * p^(x) * q^(n-X)

p(x) is the probability of success = 2% or 0.02 (2/100)
q(x) is the probability of failure = 98% or 0.98 (98/100)

p^(X) = 0.02^2 = 0.0004

q^(n-X) = 0.98^(8) = 0.850

45 * 0.0004 * 0.850 = 0.0153

Edit: im friggin up somewhere.


Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
103538 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:06 pm to
quote:


Check it out, or don't, I'm not your fricking dad.


That's what you think.
Posted by mdomingue
Lafayette, LA
Member since Nov 2010
42806 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:21 pm to
Here's the math, I had to look it up.


where T is the threshold return period (e.g. 100-yr, 50-yr, 25-yr, and so forth), and n is the number of years in the period.

1 - (.99)^100

1-.366

.634

63.4%
Posted by lnomm34
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2009
12702 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:33 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/3/25 at 6:59 am
Posted by tokenBoiler
Lafayette, Indiana
Member since Aug 2012
4982 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:36 pm to
.99 chance of no flood per year.
.99^100 = chance of no flood per 100 years.
1 - .99^100 = chance of flood in 100 years.

1-.99*100
0.6339676587

(in my desk calc app '*' is exponentiation)
Posted by Wolfhound45
Member since Nov 2009
126237 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

OT Math problem
quote:

Math
quote:

problem
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9781 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

OT Math problem



That's not a math problem.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21695 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

That's not a math problem.


A word problem?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43009 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:43 pm to
Probability is most certainly math...
Posted by LucasP
Member since Apr 2012
21618 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:43 pm to
quote:

A word problem?


A first word problem? Those are popular now.
Posted by Red5LSU
Knoxville
Member since Aug 2011
494 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

Civil/Structural


I'm taking the PE in October in Civil/Structural as well. What state?
Posted by Placebeaux
Bobby Fischer Fan Club President
Member since Jun 2008
51852 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:44 pm to
1
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21695 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:46 pm to
La
Posted by Cowboyfan89
Member since Sep 2015
12960 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 3:53 pm to
Frick you and your dumbass math questions.
Posted by Red5LSU
Knoxville
Member since Aug 2011
494 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 4:19 pm to
quote:

La


Me too. Good luck to you.
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
22121 posts
Posted on 9/12/17 at 4:42 pm to
Y'all are out of your minds. Transportation or bust
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