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re: Oof, Home Prices Posted Largest Annual Drop in More Than 11 Years in April

Posted on 5/18/23 at 11:44 am to
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
130450 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 11:44 am to
I really want to sell and move, but my mortgage is 2.25%, and no way I would move and go up to a 5%+ mortgage.
Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
53350 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 11:44 am to
I've seen houses around me sitting on the market for noticeably longer times now.
Posted by molsusports
Member since Jul 2004
36697 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 11:45 am to
quote:

this isn't a real estate for money it's a place to live.





Best reason to buy. The leveraged investors are a different story.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
75079 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 11:59 am to
quote:

Best reason to buy. The leveraged investors are a different story.



Yeah mortgage is less than 25% of our net income.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
77257 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Yeah mortgage is less than 25% of our net income.


Up to 35% is ok if the home is in a great area and you have no other debt.
Posted by White Bear
Yonnygo
Member since Jul 2014
16393 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 12:02 pm to
From $15 wall studs to crash!!!!!!
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
175826 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

Baw you spent the first 6 months of 2022 screaming about a 2008ish housing crash was imminent lmao



Liar.

I specifically said numerous times it would never be as bad as 2008 as that was a perfect storm. I can even link my post saying such.

I did say there would be a correction but we do not know as of yet how bad it will be.
This post was edited on 5/18/23 at 12:43 pm
Posted by Shoalwater Cat
Pville
Member since Dec 2017
765 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 12:17 pm to
Not here in south Louisiana.
Posted by TxWadingFool
Middle Coast
Member since Sep 2014
5103 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 12:30 pm to
Still trying to hold off on buying as I believe things are still going to get worse. In my recent looking almost all the homes in the million dollar range outside of San Antonio have reduced prices from their listing prices, some reduced as much as 15% or more. A bunch have been on the market 100+ days. None of the above was true 2 to 4 years ago.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32635 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 12:38 pm to
It would be a bigger drop if people weren’t so unwilling to move. Nobody wants to ditch a sub 4% mortgage. And we didn’t build enough houses in the past 12 years either. That might be the only factors saving the broader housing market from a 2009 level collapse.

Commercial real estate can’t find buyers. Residential can’t find sellers.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65865 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

I really want to sell and move, but my mortgage is 2.25%, and no way I would move and go up to a 5%+ mortgage.


This is a MAJOR factor that will resonate for years.
Posted by Northshoretiger87
Member since Apr 2016
4897 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 12:58 pm to
“We need a *insert cost of fricking anything here* correction”

We need a *change in presidency* correction
Posted by armsdealer
Member since Feb 2016
12003 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 1:05 pm to
A 1500sft cookie cutter house built in Denham springs in the 90's shouldn't sell for a quarter million dollars and I just watched it happen. It was a $130k house 3 years ago.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
38901 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 1:17 pm to
quote:

I really want to sell and move, but my mortgage is 2.25%, and no way I would move and go up to a 5%+ mortgage.



home renovations are going to explode over the next few years for this reason.


Posted by ellesssuuu
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2016
3089 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 1:31 pm to
You won’t be moving ever
Posted by The Goat
Right here, Chief
Member since Nov 2006
2972 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

maybe if you're buying points


go run the numbers on what it would cost to buy down 2 points on a $300K loan and get back to me, Baw. Sum bitches on the MS Gulf Coast must be paying cash because shite is going up left and right over here in The Pass. Rates were too low for too long anyway. You've got any entire generation of spoiled borrowers that think %5.5 on 30 yr money is high. frick those entitled whipper snappers with their instagram and their trap music
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
38901 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 4:55 pm to
Here is a city look at it



https://epbresearch.com/us-home-prices-comparing-depth-duration-dispersion/

quote:

The upper left shows the areas that have been least affected, and the bottom right shows where the housing downturn is hitting the hardest. Cleveland, Chicago, Atlanta, Miami, and Charlotte have seen virtually no correction at all, with home prices within 1% or 2% from their peak levels and no consistent declines. On the other extreme, San Francisco, and Seattle have seen prices decline almost 15% in less than a year. This is on par with 2008-type declines. In the middle, we see cities like Dallas, Denver, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, and Portland where there has been a clear shift, and home prices have fallen about 6%-10%. So there is no doubt, based on depth, duration, and dispersion, that the US is nationally in a home price downturn. Depending on the location, the downturn is anywhere from non-existent to severe, with the national average so far in a moderate correction.
Posted by RealDawg
Dawgville
Member since Nov 2012
10731 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 5:06 pm to
It is going to take 11-16 months imo to get closer to “old” prices. Interest comes down 1.5% and prices come down 12-15%. They will never go back to where they were without a major recession.

The lack of supply and buyers will keep them from dropping to much further down for a while.

Local government is cleaning up on the 20% tax raise they got.
Posted by Jester
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
34710 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 5:20 pm to
It's almost like repetitive rate hikes affect the real estate market.
Posted by Jester
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
34710 posts
Posted on 5/18/23 at 5:27 pm to
quote:

We are headed below "pandemic buying craze":


Your graph doesn't show what you think it shows.
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