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Oil Price Article: The Petrochemical Industry To Explode, Driving Continued Oil Demand

Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:29 pm
Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
21099 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:29 pm
quote:

-The global movement to ditch fossil fuels is largely focused on transport and industry, but the petrochemical industry will need fossil fuels for decades to come.

-The value of the petrochemical market is forecast to grow to $1 billion by 2030, increasing its demand for crude oil and natural gas.

-While the petrochemical industry is all but certain to see growth in the coming decade, it will need to invest heavily in decarbonizing operations.


quote:

As countries around the globe are setting ambitious targets to reduce their dependency on fossil fuels, many will remain reliant on oil and gas for petrochemical production for decades to come. However, the decarbonization of oil and gas operations may well become key to the success of the industry, as many governments strive to keep their climate pledges while also responding to global demand. A recent petrochemical report suggests that the petrochemical market size will reach around $1 trillion by 2030, increasing at a CAGR of 6.2 percent over the next eight years. The increase in demand will be mainly centered around the construction, textile, medical, pharmaceuticals, consumer goods, automotive, and electronics industries.

At present, ethylene, propylene, and benzene are the main petrochemicals being used across the packaging, electronics, plastics, and rubber industries. Most petrochemical products are manufactured using crude oil and natural gas, making many industries highly reliant on the fossil fuel sector.


quote:

The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts that global crude demand will continue to increase until 2025, before decreasing at a CAGR of 1 percent between 2026 and 2050. The IEA believes that oil use as a petrochemical feedstock is the only area that will see an increase in demand, with 55 percent of all global oil demand contributing to the petrochemical market by 2050.


quote:

Savut suggests that big investments in carbon-cutting technologies now will help oil and gas companies to stay relevant post-2035. Establishing low-carbon operations over the next decade could help fossil fuel-driven firms to remain competitive as larger-scale renewable energy becomes more affordable, and innovative alternatives to petrochemical products are introduced to the market.

Most major oil and gas companies have already begun to introduce CCS technologies into their operations, in a bid to enhance their longevity in a world that is gradually moving away from fossil fuels in an attempt to decarbonize. Despite huge hopes for renewables, there is no doubt that the rising global fuel demand will mean a continued reliance on fossil fuels until the renewable energy industry becomes large enough to meet these needs.


quote:

The petrochemical industry is expected to continue to grow well into the next two decades, with the demand for petrochemical products continuing to increase worldwide. This will be a major driver for oil and gas demand over the next 30 years, even as we see a decrease in the reliance on fossil fuels for heating and transport. However, as governments put pressure on oil firms to decarbonize their operations, large investments will be required to introduce CCS and other technologies into projects to ensure that the petrochemical industry can remain relevant in a low-carbon world.


LINK

Granted much of these "predictions" are speculation, though common sense should lead one to believe that even if more vehicles using EV technology become a larger portion of what is driven, continued worldwide population growth will keep demand for other byproducts of oil & gas increasing.

The Greenpeace types better buckle in for the ride. Fossil fuel demand and production ain't going anywhere for a long time.
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83510 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

Fossil fuel demand and production ain't going anywhere for a long time.


I just need like 20 more years

Posted by ragincajun03
Member since Nov 2007
21099 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:32 pm to
quote:

I just need like 20 more years


Or 15 REALLY, REALLY good ones?
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
48588 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:33 pm to
Meanwhile China/India/Third world laughing at us.
Posted by BigWillyMetry
Member since Dec 2021
1548 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:34 pm to
You’ll be plenty fine on that note. India and African nations are getting very thirsty and have huge populations.
Posted by Abstract Queso Dip
Member since Mar 2021
5878 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:35 pm to
I don't need no petrochemicals. I got brute strength, cattle, mules and horses to do my heavy lifting. I can til a field or haul heavy loads. Yah Mule!
Posted by lgh
In your head
Member since Jan 2019
235 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:38 pm to
Who would have thunk it. Where do they think all this shite comes from. Practically everything on a electric vehicle is made from oil
This post was edited on 6/20/22 at 2:39 pm
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51394 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:41 pm to
quote:

The petrochemical industry is expected to continue to grow well into the next two decades, with the demand for petrochemical products continuing to increase worldwide. This will be a major driver for oil and gas demand over the next 30 years


That's okay, we only have around 9 years left anyway.
Posted by CuyahogaTigerJr
Northeast ohio
Member since Aug 2018
2180 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:42 pm to
Great post
Posted by whiskey over ice
Member since Sep 2020
3243 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:49 pm to
Wait….petrochemicals are made from fossil fuels?


Posted by MardiGrasCajun
Dirty Coast, MS
Member since Sep 2005
5343 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

Who would have thunk it. Where do they think all this shite comes from. Practically everything on a electric vehicle is made from oil



Most vehicles, right?
Posted by lake chuck fan
westlake
Member since Aug 2011
9112 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

The value of the petrochemical market is forecast to grow to $1 billion by 2030, increasing its demand for crude oil and natural gas.


I don't understand this $1 billion figure. Surely revenue from all petrochemical plants surpasses $1 billion many times over.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37383 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:03 pm to
quote:

A recent petrochemical report suggests that the petrochemical market size will reach around $1 trillion by 2030, increasing at a CAGR of 6.2 percent over the next eight years.


Lake chuck stacked.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37383 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:03 pm to
I think they meant trillion.
Posted by roguetiger15
Member since Jan 2013
16138 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:03 pm to
i went visit my customer , Marathon Refinery in Garyville, and they're all driving two sets of truck nuts.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98282 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:06 pm to
quote:

The value of the petrochemical market is forecast to grow to $1 billion by 2030


this seems remarkably low
This post was edited on 6/20/22 at 3:19 pm
Posted by jnethe1
Pearland
Member since Dec 2012
16143 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

I just need like 20 more years


Same here, the consultant game is paying big for me. Hell if I finish the year like this I’ll be beyond blessed.
Posted by Turf Taint
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2021
6010 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:11 pm to
Avoid
Eliminate
Offset

It will take all 3.

Agree, petrochem will be reliant on hydrocarbons for a long time. Offset via nature-based solutions and carbon credits, via market efficiency.

All or nothing mindset ain't it.

Will take all 3 and time to transition.
Posted by GetBackToWork
Member since Dec 2007
6246 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:12 pm to
Gee no shite.

The media and the politicians actually believe we can produce our economy without oil. They are educated but ignorant beyond measure.
Posted by The Godfather
Surrounded by Assholes
Member since Mar 2005
41432 posts
Posted on 6/20/22 at 3:13 pm to
quote:

I just need like 20 more years




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