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Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:00 am to rds dc
Since we are catching this thing early, will it result in the longest thread in TD history?
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:05 am to James11111
quote:
I was listening to NPR, and they said that the NOAAs forecast of a historically active season was due to high ocean temps. They then went on to explain that the high ocean temperatures are the result of climate change caused by humans burning fossil fuels.
My understanding is that the higher SST will lead to higher intensity hurricanes, not necessarily a higher total. Warmer surface water means more energy to fuel the mechanics/engine of hurricanes.
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:08 am to KamaCausey_LSU
Don't forget about the Hunga Tonga eruption. Could alter our weather for a while.
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:13 am to Z Cavaricci
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:17 am to rds dc
GFS Next Sunday 6/15 - In the way too early department:
This post was edited on 6/5/24 at 8:19 am
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:18 am to Dire Wolf
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:20 am to rds dc
We always have 1 or 2 of these in June, then nothing in July and then boom come Aug 15th and the storms line up with the first kelvin wave that passes through the Caribbean
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:20 am to rds dc
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:28 am to rds dc
quote:
Between what the models show and what we know about early to mid-June in the Gulf, it would be plausible to expect either a disjointed “plume” of moisture lifting north and northeast across the Gulf next weekend. Or, less likely but not improbable, a sloppy, marginally organized tropical storm moving in that same direction.
I kind of hope these weak low pressure systems in the Gulf form more frequently through the hurricane season. It's always better to release the energy softly over a long period of time with several low pressure systems or tropical storms than one or two cat 4-5s.
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:32 am to SloaneRanger
quote:
quote:
Or, less likely but not improbable,
When people write like this I immediately stop reading.
Whatever gets you through the day. The Space City Weather crew is top notch.
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:35 am to Midtiger farm
quote:
We always have one or two of these in June…
I’ve lost count over the years of how many times in June I’ve been at the beach in the Florida panhandle and had three or four days straight of solid tropical rain and wind.
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:35 am to James11111
quote:
listening to NPR
But why
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:36 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
The GFS loves its long-range tropical systems.
It has some support but might be jumping the gun. CAG, favorable MJO cycle, warm SSTs, all point to above climo potential.
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:38 am to rds dc
Red alerts
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:44 am to rds dc
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:44 am to rds dc
One is a two day forecast. The other ten days.
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:48 am to rds dc
Posted on 6/5/24 at 8:48 am to rds dc
LFG!!! Termite swarms, Love Bug invasion, mosquito swarms, Hurricanes.....we got this!! Let's go South Louisiana!!
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