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re: New thread started for Beryl
Posted on 6/13/24 at 5:31 am to Oates Mustache
Posted on 6/13/24 at 5:31 am to Oates Mustache
The EURO is on to something in the same general area around the same timeframe.
This post was edited on 6/13/24 at 6:13 am
1
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:31 am to TDsngumbo
now the +330hr shows a cat 3 up the Calcasieu pass. 
This post was edited on 6/13/24 at 6:37 am
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:49 am to LSURoss
quote:
now the +330hr shows a cat 3 up the Calcasieu pass.
Next run it will be gone or headed to south Texas.
Anything more than a week out is like looking at a crystal ball or magic 8 ball.
It might be time to add a disclaimer to all forecast models past 7 days as for educational or entertainment purposes, and to listen to your local weather office for more specific details.
This post was edited on 6/13/24 at 7:55 am
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:42 am to Tarps99
quote:
entertainment purposes
I def. posted for this.
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:49 am to LSURoss
GFS has windshield wiper-ed that system from Texas to Florida over a bunch of runs.
Hopefully nothing comes of it.
Hopefully nothing comes of it.
Posted on 6/13/24 at 11:25 am to mightynine
NHC has changed the area of uncertainty in the south western GOM to 40-60% chance of formation in the upcoming days.
Heres to hoping it is just a rain maker.
Heres to hoping it is just a rain maker.
Posted on 6/13/24 at 11:30 am to alphaandomega
quote:
Heres to hoping it is just a rain maker.
S. Texas says to bring that rainmaker!
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:30 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
S. Texas says to bring that rainmaker!
Happy Hour GFS tries but drops 40" of rain on South Louisiana in the process
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:41 pm to rds dc
This GFS run was crazy sits a hurricane off Mexico Texas border for like 4 days lol and Louisiana gets an outer rain band from it i will call and dumps on us.
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:45 pm to rds dc
Is that 41" over several days?
Map you populated shows 21" for SWLA..
Am I reading it incorrectly?
Map you populated shows 21" for SWLA..
Am I reading it incorrectly?
Posted on 6/13/24 at 6:46 pm to thejudge
quote:39.6" shown around Houma.
Am I reading it incorrectly?
Posted on 6/13/24 at 7:33 pm to FCP
If that 40 would verify...
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:15 pm to thejudge
quote:
Is that 41" over several days?
2 weeks
Posted on 6/13/24 at 9:15 pm to Cosmo
My Belle River camp says goodbye if we get 40 inches.
Posted on 6/13/24 at 9:32 pm to CaptainJ47
40 inches of rain???? Holy crap….
Posted on 6/13/24 at 9:36 pm to FCP
quote:
39.6" shown around Houma.
Time load up the ark and head for the mountains.
Posted on 6/13/24 at 9:38 pm to Tarps99
Id offer my mountain, but its currently on fire.
Posted on 6/13/24 at 9:40 pm to dukke v
Now the chances of this verifying are slim but I think the signs are starting to show that the active season is going to be here soon.
Posted on 6/14/24 at 9:34 am to SWLA92
quote:
Now the chances of this verifying are slim but I think the signs are starting to show that the active season is going to be here soon.
True, but the models (the GFS at least) has been consistently showing a named storm hitting the northern Gulf Coast in the June 22nd - June 24th timeframe.
The 6z run (of the GFS) has a strong tropical storm making landfall roughly around Navarre Beach a week from Sunday
LINK
Posted on 6/14/24 at 9:57 am to Govt Tide
Oh I think there will something hit the gulf coast, whether it be a lot of tropical moisture or an organized storm. I’m talking about 40 inches of in one spot I hope that isn’t the case
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