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Mississippi River going down. Are we saved?

Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:01 am
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178325 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:01 am
Looks like a slow but steady fall in June based on current conditions. Of course subject to change.



No problems on the Ohio River through June which is where most of our water comes from.



Looks like Farmer Brown can move back into the Spillway.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51596 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:01 am to
quote:

Mississippi River going down

Giggidy
Posted by stapuffmarshy
lower 9
Member since Apr 2010
17507 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:02 am to
So Jesus really did answer them prayers?
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25961 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:05 am to
If you noticed, the delays and cancellation of opening the Morganza coincided with levee breaches/over-toppings in Arkansas.

Water going elsewhere up north helped ease things down here.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:06 am to
Don't get too excited about the dropping Ohio River just yet. The overall set up depicted by the models would yield a bunch of rain for the Ohio Valley. Not sure we're going to be talking Morganza again or anything like that, but bet on the river staying high well into July.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41632 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:06 am to
Still so much water pushing against levees for so long. So I don't think we are "saved" yet but clearly this is good news.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178325 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:08 am to
This flood wasn't shite. Sure it was high for a long long time but it was way higher everywhere in 2011.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:09 am to
Pond crawfish season over so this is fine. I won’t have to lower prices
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
45512 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:10 am to
The interest is up and the stock markets down and you only get mugged if you go downtown.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
89369 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Looks like a slow but steady fall in June based on current conditions. Of course subject to change.


Get ready to be disappointed. I remember back in March when it was supposed to be dropping to an acceptable level in mid April. Still waiting for that number to be hit
Posted by spaceranger
Member since Jan 2017
1627 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:18 am to
time to build that riverwalk!!
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41632 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:26 am to
quote:

This flood wasn't shite. Sure it was high for a long long time but it was way higher everywhere in 2011


This flood only "wasn't shite" because it broke so many levees upstream that the water spread out geographically and timeliness.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53963 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:31 am to
Jay Grymes said last week this would be the case, should be smooth sailing for the rest of the summer.
He also stated the Jeans and rolled up sleeves are pressed and ready for hurricane season.

This post was edited on 6/18/19 at 10:35 am
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
178325 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:45 am to
quote:

This flood only "wasn't shite" because it broke so many levees upstream that the water spread out geographically and timeliness.


You don't think levees were broken in 2011?

The Arkansas River only contributes to 20% of the river's flow past Memphis.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:47 am to


This is at Cairo. The long range forecast has it push 50 ft again in about a week and a slower fall and error range suggests it might take longer. This shouldn't be pushing a third high crest for us down here unless the rainfall projections are underdoing it by a fair bit.

The long range rainfall that's being produced by the computers:



The operational GFS is more aggressive than the ensemble mean over the Ohio valley, but lean more to the ensemble mean at the 384 hr range. Just note the wet pattern that wants to take hold well into July.

Bad news for farmers up in Illinois, Iowa, Indiana, and Ohio. They're already late getting planting done and aren't likely to get near 100% of what they planted last year.

Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 6/18/19 at 10:59 am to
quote:

So Jesus really did answer them prayers?

Who do you think made all the rain fall to make the rivers full in the first place.

Sounds like a protection racket if you ask me.
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