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Posted on 2/9/21 at 3:36 pm to TDsngumbo
I'm going to pick up a custom mesa 4x12 in Washington tomorrow
I think I'll probably see some snow
I think I'll probably see some snow
Posted on 2/9/21 at 3:45 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
When you’re feeling less lazy it’s probably time for the deep dive.
The problem isn't just my sloth though, it's also that it's going to be a lot of "IDK, somewhere in the SE".
The trigger for a deeper look is when we get a little better agreement overall on the timing and extent of cold air. It's getting there but without that detail being more certain, all I can offer is what will happen but not the where or the when (you know, the questions everyone else has too).
For Dallas specifically? Well the EPS has 49/50 members showing snow for Dallas (Addison) with the mean being 3". The spread is pretty vast, between just a trace and 10". Every single GFS ensemble member has snow for Dallas and a mean of 5".
Feeling pretty certain Dallas gets some snow and maybe some ice early next week based on that. The question for you is more about the precipitation type and just how cold it gets.
Posted on 2/9/21 at 3:46 pm to Duke
NWS forecast showing rain/snow showers likely on Monday night for BR
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=30.408&lon=-91.0136
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=30.408&lon=-91.0136
This post was edited on 2/9/21 at 3:47 pm
Posted on 2/9/21 at 3:46 pm to DVinBR
No way it snows in Metarie I’m assuming
Posted on 2/9/21 at 3:49 pm to DVinBR
quote:
NWS forecast showing rain/snow showers likely on Monday night for BR
There's still having to hedge some on temperature, take that only as increasing confidence in precip come Monday night.
Posted on 2/9/21 at 3:51 pm to DVinBR
Rain/snow showers mean 1 snowflake for every 10,000 rain drops
Posted on 2/9/21 at 3:55 pm to Duke
The weather app said low of 27 on Monday in Houston this morning now down to 21. Still trending down.
Posted on 2/9/21 at 4:20 pm to bigberg2000
This 18z GFS is one spicy meatball.
Posted on 2/9/21 at 4:25 pm to BallsEleven
The GFS has been pretty consistent calling for ice/sleet Monday night into Tuesday. The Euro is also beginning to show agreement with this also. Should have a better feel for the forecast in the next 48 hours
Posted on 2/9/21 at 4:27 pm to bigberg2000
quote:
The weather app said low of 27 on Monday in Houston this morning now down to 21. Still trending down.
They were pretty bearish on below freezing until yesterday. Now they are warming up to the lower temps the models are showing
If Monday plays out, I have no doubt my jackass “old school” employers will make us come in even though I work from home 40% of the time pre COVID
This post was edited on 2/9/21 at 4:28 pm
Posted on 2/9/21 at 4:33 pm to Dire Wolf
I am thinking the local guys will start talking about this a little more now.
Posted on 2/9/21 at 4:37 pm to bigberg2000
New GFS putting down reallllly low temperatures
Posted on 2/9/21 at 4:46 pm to bigberg2000
quote:
am thinking the local guys will start talking about this a little more now.
I hope they wait one more day so I can get an H-E-B run in before it’s a war zone
This post was edited on 2/9/21 at 4:47 pm
Posted on 2/9/21 at 4:52 pm to TDsngumbo
oh boy we back at it
Posted on 2/9/21 at 5:21 pm to DVinBR
Is it me or is this storm perpetually 1 week away? 
Posted on 2/9/21 at 5:26 pm to Lsuhoohoo
It's like moving goalposts
Posted on 2/9/21 at 5:28 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Usually when it keeps getting pushed back it never happens
Posted on 2/9/21 at 5:41 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
Usually when it keeps getting pushed back it never happens
Typically yeah, but this isn't just a one and done deal. We're gonna be trapped in arctic air til March. Precip pushing from saturday to monday isn't unusual.
This post was edited on 2/9/21 at 5:42 pm
Posted on 2/9/21 at 5:47 pm to LSUGrrrl
quote:
Once those go out, people start the panic.
I'm good. I bought the stuff for milk sandwiches a week ago.
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