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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - August 6, 2020 Update: 127,246 cases - 4028 deaths - 1,484,972 tested

Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:35 pm to
Posted by Dale Doubak
Somewhere
Member since Jan 2012
6000 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:35 pm to
First person I know that does also Dan. He definitely will be missed.
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76809 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:36 pm to
don't think that ever had a shot.

but

"related to the types of activities you have at bars where you have people close together drinking without masks, talking to each other, talking loudly over music"

because people getting shitfaced in a place that serves food would never do any of this.
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
19015 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

Where are all these Covid deaths occurring???


A nursing home in LCH reported 6 new deaths bringing their total to 20. Several other nursing home deaths in SWLA. This thing went through several homes like wildfire this go around. Last case count I heard from the previously mentioned nursing home was 113 and that was a couple weeks ago.
Posted by Epic Cajun
Lafayette, LA
Member since Feb 2013
37499 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:40 pm to
What's the point of the stupid line about the percentage of cases of those who are 29 and below? Are we supposed to be surprised that a segment of the population that is roughly a third of the population has a third of the cases?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40277 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:41 pm to
It stayed out of the parish where I live for quite a while but Is here nkwnwith a vengeance. Also at my grandmothers nursing home in Evangeline parish — they’ve got about 50% of residents as new cases if I read the chart right.
Posted by shiftworker
LP
Member since Dec 2011
5378 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

quit getting tested so that they go down.




I agree with this part of your statement.
Posted by HeadSlash
TEAM LIVE BADASS - St. GEORGE
Member since Aug 2006
56679 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:48 pm to
3.1% mortality rate
Posted by AmosMosesAndTwins
Lake Charles
Member since Apr 2010
19015 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

It stayed out of the parish where I live for quite a while but Is here nkwnwith a vengeance. Also at my grandmothers nursing home in Evangeline parish — they’ve got about 50% of residents as new cases if I read the chart right.


Calcasieu had a later spike as well, IMO, directly attributed to misinformation downplaying significance and public being fed up with quarantine.
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104494 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Phase 3

NOW


No Phase 3 until deaths start decreasing.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:03 pm to

quote:

Dr. Billioux also defended the restrictions on gatherings. He says an individual has a 90% chance of coming into contact with someone infected with COVID-19 in a gathering of 50 people,


Can someone figure the math on that?
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
11679 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:08 pm to
The math is simple. The great doctor is saying that 45 of the 50 people at the gathering are positive.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
61747 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:10 pm to
The nursing homes are being ravaged and until a vaccine they will continue to struggle,
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

I refuse to believe the daily death numbers.


They are probably old. I doubt they can report until death certificate is issued.
Posted by SouthEndzoneTiger
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2008
11679 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

Can someone figure the math on that?


In all seriousness, I too would like to know how that was quantified.

If I had 50 people over to my house, and 1 person had it, I could see how over the course of the evening most other 49 people would at some point have contact with that person, thus increasing all of our chances by some percentage.

However, if I'm at Hooters and their are 50 people in there, I would only have contact with my server and maybe a couple of other people at most. I would think that percentage would be much lower than in my other example.

So how she came up with that number seems quite arbitrary given that she didn't specify the conditions.
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11843 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:17 pm to
I don't think of a gathering of 50 as a trip to Hooters. I think of it as like a wedding. If 1 person has it at a wedding then I can see where you would come into contact with it. Bathroom, Bar, Food, Tables, etc.
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

The nursing homes are being ravaged and until a vaccine they will continue to struggle,


Like I said earlier after weeks of no cases a staff member brought it in & infected 2 residents at my Grandpas home

You are not going to keep it out of nursing homes with the massive amount of staff turnover
This post was edited on 8/6/20 at 1:23 pm
Posted by LSUJML
Central
Member since May 2008
56855 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

If I had 50 people over to my house, and 1 person had it, I could see how over the course of the evening most other 49 people would at some point have contact with that person, thus increasing all of our chances by some percentage.


Isn’t there a qualifier of 15 minutes so passing someone in the hall at a wedding venue on the way to a restroom shouldn’t count


CDC

Data are insufficient to precisely define the duration of time that constitutes a prolonged exposure.
Recommendations vary on the length of time of exposure, but 15 minutes of close exposure can be used as an operational definition.
Brief interactions are less likely to result in transmission; however, symptoms and the type of interaction (e.g., did the infected person cough directly into the face of the exposed individual) remain important.
This post was edited on 8/6/20 at 1:23 pm
Posted by burdman
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2007
22814 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

He says an individual has a 90% chance of coming into contact with someone infected with COVID-19 in a gathering of 50 people,


So there's a 90% chance one person will get covid at a 50 person gathering?

What is that? Like 1.8% chance per person?
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
25964 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

Them masks doing work


Yes, by utilizing time travel.
Posted by etm512
Mandeville, LA
Member since Aug 2005
21061 posts
Posted on 8/6/20 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

3.1% mortality rate


That's only for positive tests too. The actual rate is much lower
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