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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 17, 2020 Update: 23,118 Cases - 131,987 tested - 1,213 dead

Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:04 pm to
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:04 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/18/21 at 4:52 pm
Posted by 91TIGER
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2006
19267 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

And yet people in my parish are still screaming to "lock it all down".




I'm curious, who are these people ? In Lafayette or Vermilion Parish ? In Lafayette everyone is tired of this bullshite and ready to get back to work. Less than 400 cases in a Parish of nearly 250,000 people !
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
38871 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:04 pm to
There are a bunch of Karen’s in the VP
Posted by OsTiger78
Ocean Springs, Ms.
Member since Aug 2019
878 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:04 pm to
Probably safe to assume the actual cases are triple??? 60,000 to 70,000? Are they testing people who don’t have a serious health risk yet?
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:05 pm to
7-Day Rolling Averages:

Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
20727 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:05 pm to
Check out the Date of Onset of Symptoms for Cases and Deaths page. 20,163 of the cases had symptoms at or before 4/5. That represents 87% of the total positive cases began feeling symptoms before 4/5. With a 3-5 day period before the average person begins feeling symptoms, that would imply that at least 80% were infected before April 1st.
Posted by Tigergymfan25
Member since Apr 2019
92 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:05 pm to
So under the new phase guidelines, would we be currently counting towards the phase 1? Or do we not have enough decreases to start counting yet?

Still trying to understand what the gating period means...
This post was edited on 4/17/20 at 12:07 pm
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40279 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

You're pretty much arguing the opposite of your point. Still seeing cases with limited hospitalizations means we are building herd immunity. That is a great thing.



I'm happy with the numbers
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39991 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:06 pm to
Yes I'd like to know that as well ... also what happens if it "goes up" like it did today from yesterday? 5 new cases (if my math is right) imo is nothing to worry about.

Can someone explain how this reopening calculation will work? Thanks.
Posted by DomincDecoco
RIP Ronnie fights Thoth’s loafers
Member since Oct 2018
11684 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:06 pm to
Posted by danilo
Member since Nov 2008
24772 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:06 pm to
I wonder how many test were we predicted to do?
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40279 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:08 pm to
Louisiana arguably could move into Phase 1 now. I think we move to phase 1 beginning of May.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:


I don't know how we would do that until we do it, though, just be prepared for the brakes to be applied quickly if this shite starts going way up again.


there will be a second wave and people will ignore the recommendations just like a voluntary hurricane evacuation.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:09 pm to
I think we move into phases by LDH region, IMO.
Posted by 91TIGER
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2006
19267 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

quote:

I don't know how we would do that until we do it, though, just be prepared for the brakes to be applied quickly if this shite starts going way up again.


there will be a second wave and people will ignore the recommendations just like a voluntary hurricane evacuation.



Good, b/c this whole ordeal set a terrible precedent that can not be repeated.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40279 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

I think we move into phases by LDH region, IMO.


I agree. Based on the numbers, we should have all LDH regions in phase 1 very soon.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Case increases not good. Hospitalizations and vents good.



Cases are going to increase in total until there is a vaccine. The rate of new cases is slowing down, that is what you need to look at.

Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
39991 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:16 pm to
Vermilion. They believe that the sky is falling. Seriously. I htink that we have 28 cases BUT I'd be curious to know by date when the positive test was taken. Many I'd suspect are clear.

The one death that was reported==I saw a comment about this person having kidney issues/transplant prior to covid starting SO was it really a covid death???
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:16 pm to
quote:

We should be going down. We've held steady on the new cases for a week. Sorry you don't like that.



Look at total tests given.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 4/17/20 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

Cases are going to increase in total until there is a vaccine. The rate of new cases is slowing down, that is what you need to look at.


And if you look at my new cases/test chart you can see clearly that the number of new tests continues to remain at the same level while new cases declines.
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