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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update

Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:58 am to
Posted by AHM21
Member since Feb 2008
32191 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 12:58 am to



Pressure still at 978
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 12:59 am
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95037 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:00 am to
No track change. Time for rest.

Fairly sure I won’t be sleeping tomorrow night.
Posted by loopback
Member since Jul 2011
5017 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:01 am to
So I live in Youngsville just south of Lafayette. No trees around me, underground power lines, house didn't come close to flooding in the great flood of 2016. I've got generators and a couple AC window units. We're thinking of riding it out. Just incase I booked a hotel room in Metairie. If we decide, we'll jump on hwy 90 and head southeast. Should we stay or go? If we go, any problems seen with taking 90 the back way into NOLA?
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182682 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:06 am to
According to the KPLC weather app it'll be a cat 1 by the time it's around Leesville. Probably the STDs from the nudie bars killing it.

In all seriousness, that's a pretty rapid deceleration.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33559 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:09 am to
quote:

National Hurricane Center
@NHC_Atlantic
Hurricane #Laura is rapidly intensifying over the Gulf of Mexico and now has maximum winds of 105 mph. Life-threatening storm surge, extreme winds, and flash flooding expected to begin later today in eastern Texas and portions of Louisiana.
Posted by Scooba
Member since Jun 2013
20015 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:12 am to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50860 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:24 am to
That wind field will have to expand some more for Baton Rouge to feel wind of any significance.
Posted by Sev09
Nantucket
Member since Feb 2011
15849 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:26 am to
I disagree. My weather app is already showing sustained winds in 30+ mph for a few hours, and 20+ most of the day. It’s nothing crazy, but enough to knock out some power with some strong gusts sprinkled in.
Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
12863 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:29 am to
The NOAA wind graph disagrees. Giving Baton Rouge a pretty good chance of having tropical storm force winds.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50860 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:30 am to
I know, mine is saying that too. I know for the past few systems it said the same thing and more and we didn’t get shite. I’m not holding my breath for bad winds. If we do get some and the power goes out, I’m fully prepared with 35 gallons of gas for the generator but I just don’t anticipate needing it now. I also believe the wind field is going to shrink as it gets stronger.

We’ll see.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50860 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:33 am to
quote:

The NOAA wind graph disagrees. Giving Baton Rouge a pretty good chance of having tropical storm force winds.


Can you link that? I’m not being a smartass, I really do want to see it. I’m looking there and only see less than 20 mph sustained and it doesn’t even give gust info like it usually does. Maybe I’m looking in the wrong place.
Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
12863 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:37 am to
Sure thing. Maybe I'm reading it wrong, but I'm pretty sure that's what it is saying. Now as Laura tightens up that field could shrink. Though as she had come closer to landfall the percentages for Baton Rouge have increased.

NOAA wind
This post was edited on 8/26/20 at 1:40 am
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33559 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:41 am to
quote:

Philippe Papin
@pppapin
Unfortunately the latest vortex data message from
@53rdWRS
shows Laura pace of intensification has become rapid. 104kt FL & 85kt SFMR winds translates to ~90 kt.

Also concerning is the 20nm circular eye, suggesting the vortex has tightened & an inner core has become established.
Posted by biohzrd
Central City
Member since Jan 2010
5906 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:43 am to
With similarities so close to Rita, that's what im figuring on getting this time around too. Will all depend on the rain bands.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
33559 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:44 am to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50860 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:50 am to
quote:

With similarities so close to Rita, that's what im figuring on getting this time around too. Will all depend on the rain bands.

I was in college for Rita and spent the night at my girlfriends house in St. Amant. I remember Rita brought us some decent winds, maybe 40-50 mph gusts, and power outages but I think the wind field was much larger then. This one is likely to be tightly wound at landfall. I think BR may see gusts to 40ish a few times and that’s it.


Like just about everything else, I’m probably wrong though
Posted by Misnomer
Member since Apr 2020
3737 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:51 am to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50860 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 1:53 am to
That only shows the probabilities. I thought you were talking about a specific forecast. One that’s not on the weather channels app.
Posted by bbrownso
Member since Mar 2008
8985 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 2:08 am to



May the mighty Blue Shed give protection and strength to those who need it in the coming days!
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
59879 posts
Posted on 8/26/20 at 2:15 am to
quote:

Sure thing. Maybe I'm reading it wrong, but I'm pretty sure that's what it is saying. Now as Laura tightens up that field could shrink. Though as she had come closer to landfall the percentages for Baton Rouge have increased.



I don’t think the wind field will shrink. I could be wrong though.

Here is a model which represents wind speed. It’s listed in knots so you must add some for MPH.

LINK
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