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Started By
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re: Laura - President Trump visits Lake Charles, Louisiana for Hurricane Response Update
Posted on 8/24/20 at 4:52 pm to BRgetthenet
Posted on 8/24/20 at 4:52 pm to BRgetthenet
Nope
1
Posted on 8/24/20 at 4:52 pm to BRgetthenet
I’m Don Aimes
Posted on 8/24/20 at 4:59 pm to redneck
Did you joxy yourself?
Posted on 8/24/20 at 4:59 pm to Paul Allen
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:00 pm to GingerMerkin
Looking at Havana Cuba radar, center appears to more north than what NWC coordinates. About 50 or so miles. If Laura crosses Cuba and enters gulf somewhat more north, could shift track more east
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 5:03 pm
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:01 pm to BRgetthenet
This is the most stressful time of year to be a citizens safety coordinator of a master planned community working hand in glove with the local sherrifs office. Thankfully we just got our new windbreakers in.
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 5:01 pm
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:03 pm to NorthEndZone
Laura getting her shite together, that northerly shear looks to be lightening up
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:05 pm to rds dc
I just walked 18 at city park for free - thanks Marco
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:06 pm to buford4LSU
The center is right over the isle of youth which is where the NHC has it
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:11 pm to buford4LSU
quote:
Looking at Havana Cuba radar, center appears to more north than what NWC coordinates.
I saw this being discussed on another site. It sure appears that the center is further north than the NHC position. Even if that’s just a MLC, after she clears Cuba and gets back over open water, that could evolve into the dominant circulation.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:12 pm to deltaland
5 p.m. Advisory
Key Messages:
1. Laura is forecast to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast as a hurricane late Wednesday and early Thursday. Do not focus on the details of the official forecast given the typical uncertainty in NHC's 2 to 3 day track and intensity predictions. In addition, storm surge, wind, and rainfall hazards will extend well away from Laura's center along the Gulf Coast.
2. There is a risk of life-threatening storm surge from San Luis Pass, Texas, to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, within the next 48 hours, and a storm surge watch has been issued for these areas outside of the southeast Louisiana Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials.
3. Hurricane conditions are possible by late Wednesday from Port Bolivar, Texas, to west of Morgan City, Louisiana, with tropical storm conditions possible by Wednesday afternoon, and a hurricane watch has been issued. Additional hurricane watches may be needed farther south along the Texas coast if the track forecast shifts toward the south and west tonight and Tuesday.
4. Tropical storm conditions and heavy rainfall are expected across central and western Cuba through tonight. These rains could cause mudslides and life-threatening flash and urban flooding.
Key Messages:
1. Laura is forecast to reach the northwestern Gulf Coast as a hurricane late Wednesday and early Thursday. Do not focus on the details of the official forecast given the typical uncertainty in NHC's 2 to 3 day track and intensity predictions. In addition, storm surge, wind, and rainfall hazards will extend well away from Laura's center along the Gulf Coast.
2. There is a risk of life-threatening storm surge from San Luis Pass, Texas, to Ocean Springs, Mississippi, within the next 48 hours, and a storm surge watch has been issued for these areas outside of the southeast Louisiana Hurricane and Storm Damage Risk Reduction System. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials.
3. Hurricane conditions are possible by late Wednesday from Port Bolivar, Texas, to west of Morgan City, Louisiana, with tropical storm conditions possible by Wednesday afternoon, and a hurricane watch has been issued. Additional hurricane watches may be needed farther south along the Texas coast if the track forecast shifts toward the south and west tonight and Tuesday.
4. Tropical storm conditions and heavy rainfall are expected across central and western Cuba through tonight. These rains could cause mudslides and life-threatening flash and urban flooding.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:12 pm to deltaland
The center on radar is no where close to where the models have it’s starting point. The center on Havana radar is south of Havana but north of isle. The path / direction likely won’t change but the models may have to shift to adjust where the center leaves cuba
This post was edited on 8/24/20 at 5:35 pm
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:12 pm to deltaland
Somebody remind me what mph was Rita at landfall? The eye of Rita went over my town and spawned a shite pile of tornadoes.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:13 pm to TDsngumbo
It’s a shame that no one evacuates cause all weathermen suck
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:13 pm to BOSCEAUX
quote:
The eye of Rita went over my town
Aren't you in Starks?
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:14 pm to stout
Yea. Starks got its shite pushed in by Rita.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:14 pm to BOSCEAUX
Hard to imagine how a storm that is crisscrossing the path of a storm that went right ahead of it is going to be so much more intense.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:14 pm to stout
quote:
Aren't you in Starks?
I thought he was in Toomey
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:14 pm to buford4LSU
quote:
The center on radar is no where close to where the models have it’s staring point.
Which is why I'm not big on just following the individual models on low pressure location at this point.
Ensembles and watching the ridge evolution.
Posted on 8/24/20 at 5:16 pm to stout
If Laura makes landfall south of LC or further East I’ll probably stay put.
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