re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

I used to sympathize with Brits, as I saw them as fellow Europeans. But after seeing what a cuckfest police state where migrants are given more preference than citizens they've become, I feel little sympathy for them. Gave their country away. They've become the red headed step child of the whites and have nobody to blame but themselves.

Recently a British man was burned to death in his home by migrant yutes and they got off with a probation. A fricking probation for burning an elderly man in his home after he was subjected to multiple acts of vandalism prior.

Russia’s National Welfare Fund at Risk of Depletion By 2026

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Russia’s National Wealth Fund, the country’s key financial cushion built over the years from oil and gas profits, could be exhausted by 2026 if current economic trends persist, according to economists from the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) and the Gaidar [thank God for vowels...] Institute.

The warning, contained in a report on the federal budget for 2025, underscores the mounting fiscal pressure facing the Kremlin as oil prices fall and the ruble strengthens — two forces that have combined to erode the revenues that traditionally underpin Russia’s public spending.

As of June 1, the fund held 2.8 trillion rubles (about $36.4 billion) in liquid assets, its lowest level since 2019. That figure represents a dramatic decline from the prewar peak of $113.5 billion in early 2022. Since then, the fund has shrunk by more than half in ruble terms, and by two-thirds when measured in dollars.

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In May, the Finance Ministry withdrew 35.9 billion rubles ($466.7 million) to help cover the federal deficit, and another 532 billion rubles ($6.9 billion) was spent on large-scale state-backed projects.

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As a result, the NWF holds only 153.7 billion yuan (roughly $21 billion) in foreign currency assets, the lowest amount since its creation in 2008. It also has 139.5 metric tons of gold, down sharply from over 400 tons before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.

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If oil prices continue to hover around $52 per barrel — well below the $69.70 benchmark assumed in the budget — and the ruble remains relatively strong, the fund could be depleted in just over a year, said Ilya Sokolov, head of the Budget Policy Research Laboratory at RANEPA.

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The expected budget deficit has also ballooned to 3.8 trillion rubles ($49.4 billion), prompting plans to withdraw an additional 447 billion rubles ($5.8 billion) from the fund.

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The strain on the budget comes at a time when Russia’s broader economic indicators are also weakening. Oil and gas revenues fell 10% year-over-year from January to April, and dropped by 34% in May alone.

While the government plans to collect 4 trillion rubles ($52 billion) in business profit taxes this year, corporate profits fell 34% as of March, according to Russia’s state statistics service.

“Falling short of the corporate profit tax target in 2025 is a risk to the Russian budget that is at least as serious — and likely more realistic — than the threat of reduced oil and gas revenues,” he said.

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This is a mild puff piece issued by a Russian think tank, discussing budget allocations for a high speed rail line, aircraft (passenger?) purchases and the metro rail system in St. Petersburg. Hilarious.

But let us focus on this line:

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The expected budget deficit has also ballooned to 3.8 trillion rubles ($49.4 billion), prompting plans to withdraw an additional 447 billion rubles ($5.8 billion) from the fund.

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As the entire Reserve fund held 2.8 trillion rubles (about $36.4 billion) in liquid assets on June 01, we can see that the term 'balloon' is not hyperbole. This also tells us the basis for the forecast of this Reserve being exhausted next year. As this seems to be a straight-line prediction, with no allowances of further unexpected ballooning, we could see the Kremlin spending the entire Reserve before next year. That would be my bet.

In normal economies, overspending the budget leads to the government 'creating wealth' with the printing presses. The expenditures are internal and can be extended / paid down with tax revenue with only the cost of inflation to worry about. But as inflation benefits the borrower, the government benefits additionally to the cost of the taxpayers.

But Russia is not a nomal economy. These ballooning budget allocations are not being made internally. They are being paid to the Chinese and North Koreans, two regimes that are very much cash-up-front vendors. So the Reserve funds being depleted are not going to be replaced as fast as they are spent. And printing money won't help. The Chinese have their own inflation-proof forex calculators.

Once this Reserve fund dries up, all that Chinese / Nork hardware stops. Unless of course the Kremlin starts selling real estate. Large tracts of valuable, mineral and water rich real estate. Get ready, it's coming -




LINK

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But after seeing what a cuckfest police state where migrants are given more preference than citizens they've become, I feel little sympathy for them.

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They actually sacrificed their daughters to these animals and have done nothing about it. Grooming gangs.

Sadly the Brits have became cucks, similar to the ones we see in this thread. Weak and pathetic.

Britain, the home of my ancestors is as big of a shite hole as California. Invaded by foreign animals and ruled by pathetic woke politicians.

SPRAVDI — Stratcom Centre
@StratcomCentre
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5h
Russian Lie: “Russia only hit military targets, because only four civilians were injured in Kyiv.” That’s the narrative Z-channels are spreading after the massive overnight attack on June 10.

Reality: Russia’s so-called “military targets” include apartment buildings, shopping areas, and even the former consular building of a foreign nation. Fires broke out across Kyiv, with confirmed destruction in Desnyanskyi, Obolonskyi, Shevchenkivskyi, Solomianskyi, Podilskyi, Darnytskyi, and Holosiivskyi districts.

The number of civilian casualties is still being clarified—but only a terrorist state could claim “only four” as if that excuses mass missile strikes on a sleeping city.

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Russia relied heavily (totally) on the Shahed drones last night, which are pretty much just motorized projectiles without precise targeting. They're not surgically striking anything.

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they're hitting schools, apartments, maternity wards...

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So by your own definition they aren't hitting those on purpose necessarily.

Which is strange because you've absolutely said they are doing it on purpose in the past.

Bleed them dry.

How can you tell who downvoted me? Might have been you for all I know.

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LSURussian and Narax who are the same poster

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Lets get wild with the theories..... LSU Russian, Narax, PoppedRiser, and John Barron are all the same poster

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Chinese war with us almost a fricking certainly.

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Honestly as long as Xi and people like him keep running the country, I'm not really worried about war with China. He is obviously not a good guy, but he is pragmatic and far more focused on economics than militarism. The US is absolutely key to their economy.