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Started By
Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/8/25 at 11:37 pm to John Barron
Posted on 5/8/25 at 11:37 pm to John Barron
2
Posted on 5/9/25 at 12:38 am to John Barron
Posted on 5/9/25 at 1:32 am to John Barron
Why didn't Fico just fly through Belarus?
Posted on 5/9/25 at 1:41 am to John Barron
Posted on 5/9/25 at 5:28 am to Coeur du Tigre
Richly deserved FAFO of the Month.
How it started...
and how it's going...
Yesterday we talked about taxes in the Russian economy and those groups trying to take control of these revenues. Raids on the Russian sovereign wealth fund via 'bank loans' have been a major source of revenue for these groups.
Now that the Russian banks are technically insolvent and are only shells used to put a mask on this theft, other banks come into focus. Other non-Russian banks that were gluttonous enough and stupid enough to allow €1.87B to remain in Russia three years ago.
This is what happens when you do business with the Mafia and think you're clever enough to actually keep your money.
Let's have a moment of silence for the Raiffeisen stock holders back in Europe. If recent history is a guide, the Austrian courts will do absolutely nothing about this. If there is any court system in Europe as corrupt as Russia's, it will be Austria's. Yes, they do have a lot in common, which is why this theft has happened. The bank's board were used to this kind of justice for sale in Vienna and thought they could get away with it in Moscow as well. It just breaks your heart...
LINK
How it started...
and how it's going...
quote:
Russia has forcibly confiscated €1.87B from Raiffeisen Bank’s account.
Nearly half of its post-2022 profits stuck in Russia due to capital controls. This was done by the decision of the Kremlin-controlled courts.
On the contrary, EU can't confiscate more than €200 billion in Russian frozen assets because of the legal struggle. Yes, Russia still can't use them but it is not the same.
In today’s Russia, your assets are only safe until they’re politically useful. Expropriation under legal cover is the new normal in a weaponized economy.
Yesterday we talked about taxes in the Russian economy and those groups trying to take control of these revenues. Raids on the Russian sovereign wealth fund via 'bank loans' have been a major source of revenue for these groups.
Now that the Russian banks are technically insolvent and are only shells used to put a mask on this theft, other banks come into focus. Other non-Russian banks that were gluttonous enough and stupid enough to allow €1.87B to remain in Russia three years ago.
This is what happens when you do business with the Mafia and think you're clever enough to actually keep your money.
Let's have a moment of silence for the Raiffeisen stock holders back in Europe. If recent history is a guide, the Austrian courts will do absolutely nothing about this. If there is any court system in Europe as corrupt as Russia's, it will be Austria's. Yes, they do have a lot in common, which is why this theft has happened. The bank's board were used to this kind of justice for sale in Vienna and thought they could get away with it in Moscow as well. It just breaks your heart...
LINK
This post was edited on 5/9/25 at 6:06 am
Posted on 5/9/25 at 6:15 am to Coeur du Tigre
ISW Updatw May 8 2025
quote:
Key Takeaways:
The Kremlin continues to seize on the Russian mythos of the Second World War ahead of Russia's May 9 Victory Day holiday to set informational conditions to justify a prolonged war in Ukraine and future aggression against NATO to Russian society.
Belousov explicitly identified large-scale Russian military reforms as preparations for a future conflict with NATO as Russian Security Council Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev threatened European countries that support Ukraine.
Russia claimed to have implemented its unilateral Victory Day ceasefire on May 8 and accused Ukraine of ceasefire violations even though Ukraine did not officially and publicly agree to Russia's ceasefire. Russia's unilateral Victory Day ceasefire and accusations of violations continue to demonstrate the necessity that any ceasefire or peace agreement be formally agreed to in advance by all parties and include robust monitoring mechanisms.
Ukrainian officials continue to highlight Ukraine's willingness to implement US President Donald Trump's desired 30-day ceasefire to precede peace talks.
The Kremlin is attempting to exploit its unilateral Victory Day ceasefire to blame Ukraine for the lack of progress toward a longer-term ceasefire and peace negotiations despite Russia's continued rejection of such a longer-term ceasefire.
Russian President Vladimir Putin and People's Republic of China (PRC) President Xi Jinping conducted a series of bilateral engagements in Moscow on May 8, showcasing deeper Russian–Chinese cooperation and alignment.
The joint Russian–Chinese statement on May 8 referenced Putin's original aims in launching his full-scale invasion of Ukraine in an attempt to lend international support and legitimacy to Russia's goals and attempted justifications for the war.
The joint Russian–Chinese statement supported Putin's proposed Eurasian security architecture and Russia's ongoing efforts to create a Russia-dominated alternative, anti-Western bloc.
The United Nations Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine’s (UN HRMMU) reported that Ukrainian civilian casualties have significantly increased between 2024 and 2025.
The Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada ratified the US-Ukrainian bilateral economic partnership agreement on May 8.
Ukrainian forces recently advanced in Kursk Oblast and near Toretsk. Russian forces recently advanced in Kursk and Sumy oblasts and near Kupyansk, Borova, Toretsk, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka.
Posted on 5/9/25 at 7:05 am to StormyMcMan
UN records highest civilian casualty toll in Ukraine in April since September
09.05.2025 09:39
April this year became the deadliest month for civilians in Ukraine since September 2024, primarily due to Russia's widespread use of ballistic missiles.
According to Ukrinform, this is stated in the monthly report of the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine (HRMMU).
"Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Kyiv, and Kharkiv all endured devastating attacks that left dozens killed or injured. One of the main reasons for the sharp rise in civilian casualties was the intensified use of ballistic missiles in major cities across the country," said Danielle Bell, Head of the HRMMU.
The UN reported at least 209 civilians killed and 1,146 injured in April.
On April 4, a ballistic missile attack in Kryvyi Rih killed 20 civilians and injured at least 63.
A week later, on Palm Sunday (April 13), two missiles hit the city of Sumy, killing at least 31 civilians and injuring 105.
On April 18, a missile attack in Kharkiv killed one person and injured at least 102.
On April 24, an attack with missiles and loitering munitions on Kyiv killed at least 11 civilians and injured 81.
This pattern of attacks on large Ukrainian cities has continued in May.
New missile and loitering munition strikes have been recorded in Kharkiv, Odesa, Zaporizhzhia, and Kyiv, once again causing civilian casualties.
The HRMMU noted that children have also been significantly affected. In April, at least 19 children were killed and 78 injured, marking the highest monthly verified child casualty toll since June 2022.
Drone strikes in areas near the front line acounted for 23% of all civilian casualties in April.
In total, from January to April 2025, 664 civilians were killed and 3,425 injured, which is a 59% increase over the same period in 2024.
Ukrinform
09.05.2025 09:39
April this year became the deadliest month for civilians in Ukraine since September 2024, primarily due to Russia's widespread use of ballistic missiles.
According to Ukrinform, this is stated in the monthly report of the UN Human Rights Monitoring Mission in Ukraine (HRMMU).
"Kryvyi Rih, Sumy, Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Kyiv, and Kharkiv all endured devastating attacks that left dozens killed or injured. One of the main reasons for the sharp rise in civilian casualties was the intensified use of ballistic missiles in major cities across the country," said Danielle Bell, Head of the HRMMU.
The UN reported at least 209 civilians killed and 1,146 injured in April.
On April 4, a ballistic missile attack in Kryvyi Rih killed 20 civilians and injured at least 63.
A week later, on Palm Sunday (April 13), two missiles hit the city of Sumy, killing at least 31 civilians and injuring 105.
On April 18, a missile attack in Kharkiv killed one person and injured at least 102.
On April 24, an attack with missiles and loitering munitions on Kyiv killed at least 11 civilians and injured 81.
This pattern of attacks on large Ukrainian cities has continued in May.
New missile and loitering munition strikes have been recorded in Kharkiv, Odesa, Zaporizhzhia, and Kyiv, once again causing civilian casualties.
The HRMMU noted that children have also been significantly affected. In April, at least 19 children were killed and 78 injured, marking the highest monthly verified child casualty toll since June 2022.
Drone strikes in areas near the front line acounted for 23% of all civilian casualties in April.
In total, from January to April 2025, 664 civilians were killed and 3,425 injured, which is a 59% increase over the same period in 2024.
Ukrinform
Posted on 5/9/25 at 8:27 am to cypher
Posted on 5/9/25 at 8:40 am to cypher
Now which one is JB? The one with the fancy haircut?
Posted on 5/9/25 at 9:29 am to Coeur du Tigre
quote:
In today’s Russia, your assets are only safe until they’re politically useful. Expropriation under legal cover is the new normal in a weaponized economy.
It’s both sides. The U.S. does this and calls it “sanctions”
I don’t know why you think this is some special gotcha.
Posted on 5/9/25 at 9:37 am to doubleb
Also in attendance was Oliver Stone. Which gives us one American who is a poster boy for what drugs can do to your brain and another that never had to worry about that problem.
Posted on 5/9/25 at 10:21 am to Warfox
quote:
In today’s Russia, your assets are only safe until they’re politically useful. Expropriation under legal cover is the new normal in a weaponized economy.
It’s both sides. The U.S. does this and calls it “sanctions”
I don’t know why you think this is some special gotcha.
What is illegal about the US sanction regime? Both discussed entities broke legally established and communicated regulations and both paid the price for ignoring them. One directly and one indirectly. As I wrote, FAFO.
Posted on 5/9/25 at 10:31 am to John Barron
Posted on 5/9/25 at 10:33 am to John Barron
Posted on 5/9/25 at 10:46 am to cypher
Segal is the perfect image of the pro Russian anti-American of 2025. He’s prob pro Chinese too.
Posted on 5/9/25 at 10:54 am to John Barron
Posted on 5/9/25 at 11:05 am to Coeur du Tigre
You don’t understand, it’s OK to invade your neighbor and take his property, but it’s not OK to sanction the aggressor or take his property if the aggressor has a good reason.
Good reasons:
There are Nazis
The neighbor wants to join a defensive alliance.
The neighbor wants to unite with others for economic reasons.
20% of your neighbor speaks your language.
The global elites want you to.
It’s your destiny.
Good reasons:
There are Nazis
The neighbor wants to join a defensive alliance.
The neighbor wants to unite with others for economic reasons.
20% of your neighbor speaks your language.
The global elites want you to.
It’s your destiny.
Posted on 5/9/25 at 2:31 pm to doubleb
quote:
Good reasons:
There are Nazis
The neighbor wants to join a defensive alliance.
The neighbor wants to unite with others for economic reasons.
20% of your neighbor speaks your language.
The global elites want you to.
It’s your destiny.
Putin just wants to re-establish the Russian Empire in Peter the Great style. Evidently, he was born in the wrong century.
Posted on 5/9/25 at 2:52 pm to Auburn1968
quote:
It’s your destiny.
Putin just wants to re-establish the Russian Empire in Peter the Great style. Evidently, he was born in the wrong century.
It’s Putin’s destiny.
Posted on 5/9/25 at 2:56 pm to John Barron
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