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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/8/25 at 1:29 pm to John Barron
Posted on 5/8/25 at 1:29 pm to John Barron
1
Posted on 5/8/25 at 1:30 pm to John Barron
Posted on 5/8/25 at 2:10 pm to CitizenK
quote:The breakeven for the Russian Federal budget, said to be approximately US$70 /Bbl, is derived from how much tax revenue is generated from sales. All Federal budget revenue is tax. Therefore, although the price / volume adjustments sometimes lag (lower volumes needed at higher pricing and vice versa, especially as of late the vice versa), product source and final revenue source are not as important as with well head breakeven.
That price per barrel breakeven is likely due internal sales, rather than international sales. Most refineries are inland unlike the US with most near the coast.
What does this mean? In Russia, the Federal budget is separate from the financially significant private budgets of the various oligarch groups. And yes, they're very much competing for the same shrinking revenue sources. The pressure to replace tax revenue lost to the artificial restraints of the sanctions and resulting below-market Chinese pricing leads all players to the same door - the sovereign wealth fund held by the Russian Ministry of the Treasury.
The Kremlin support of these oligarch groups with forced bank loans at far below real interest rates is quickly running out of effectiveness as the bank's reserves are long dried up, forcing them to go to - ready for it? - the Treasury for direct payments from the sovereign wealth fund. I think we're all feeling a bit of vertigo at this point, but you have to admire the perseverance of the employees of Treasury at this time. It has been said that they have all moved their offices to the basement of the building.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 2:11 pm to cypher
EU chief diplomat says "final political endorsement" of tribunal for Putin to take place in Ukraine on 9 May
Tetyana Vysotska, Tetyana Oliynyk — Thursday, 8 May 2025, 18:51
European Union foreign ministers are expected to give final political approval for the creation of an international tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine – commonly referred to as a tribunal for Putin and other top Russian officials – during their visit to Ukraine on 9 May.
Source: EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas following an informal meeting of EU foreign ministers in Warsaw on 8 May, as reported by European Pravda’s correspondent
Details: Kallas announced that during the 9 May visit of EU foreign ministers to Ukraine, a political decision would be adopted to establish the international tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine.
Kaja Kallas said that the EU would give final political endorsement for the creation of the tribunal for war crimes and crimes of aggression tomorrow. She emphasised that there would be no impunity and that accountability would follow for the crimes committed.
She added that the core group had already reached agreement at the technical level on how the tribunal would be established, and now they also had approval at the political level. Kallas stated that the tribunal for the crime of aggression would be established under the Council of Europe and that the secretary general of the Council of Europe would join the meeting via video link.
Kallas also noted that an announcement would be made on 9 May regarding the allocation of €1 billion to support Ukraine’s defence industry.
Meanwhile, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski clarified that EU foreign ministers would travel to Lviv on 9 May.
Ukrainska Pravda
Tetyana Vysotska, Tetyana Oliynyk — Thursday, 8 May 2025, 18:51
European Union foreign ministers are expected to give final political approval for the creation of an international tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine – commonly referred to as a tribunal for Putin and other top Russian officials – during their visit to Ukraine on 9 May.
Source: EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs Kaja Kallas following an informal meeting of EU foreign ministers in Warsaw on 8 May, as reported by European Pravda’s correspondent
Details: Kallas announced that during the 9 May visit of EU foreign ministers to Ukraine, a political decision would be adopted to establish the international tribunal for the crime of aggression against Ukraine.
Kaja Kallas said that the EU would give final political endorsement for the creation of the tribunal for war crimes and crimes of aggression tomorrow. She emphasised that there would be no impunity and that accountability would follow for the crimes committed.
She added that the core group had already reached agreement at the technical level on how the tribunal would be established, and now they also had approval at the political level. Kallas stated that the tribunal for the crime of aggression would be established under the Council of Europe and that the secretary general of the Council of Europe would join the meeting via video link.
Kallas also noted that an announcement would be made on 9 May regarding the allocation of €1 billion to support Ukraine’s defence industry.
Meanwhile, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski clarified that EU foreign ministers would travel to Lviv on 9 May.
Ukrainska Pravda
Posted on 5/8/25 at 2:28 pm to cypher
I’m sure this tribunal will be very effective.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 3:10 pm to Philzilla
quote:
I’m sure this tribunal will be very effective.
It’s got to be a joke.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 3:53 pm to John Barron
I was about to say that literally makes no sense because
A) planes routinely fly from Kaliningrad to Moscow
B) why would Belarus close their airspace?
C) why wouldn't they just fly over the Black Sea and go that way
And then here is the actual flight path
A) planes routinely fly from Kaliningrad to Moscow
B) why would Belarus close their airspace?
C) why wouldn't they just fly over the Black Sea and go that way
And then here is the actual flight path
Posted on 5/8/25 at 4:05 pm to StormyMcMan
quote:
I was about to say that literally makes no sense because
He's citing a known liar.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 4:35 pm to John Barron
quote:
Putin and Xi Agree: Root Causes of Ukraine Crisis Must Be Addressed for Lasting Peace
Posted on 5/8/25 at 4:49 pm to John Barron
Must be humiliating to be 6 inches shorter than a rather normal sized Chinaman
This post was edited on 5/8/25 at 4:50 pm
Posted on 5/8/25 at 5:25 pm to John Barron
Posted on 5/8/25 at 5:36 pm to StormyMcMan
Yeah. He corrected the Map. Does not change the fact the Baltic States closed their airspace causing a longer route to be taken
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 5/8/25 at 5:50 pm to John Barron
quote:
Yeah. He corrected the Map. Does not change the fact the Baltic States closed their airspace causing a longer route to be taken
It doesn’t change the fact that you were spreading a lie either.
Posted on 5/8/25 at 5:53 pm to John Barron
Posted on 5/8/25 at 6:20 pm to doubleb
quote:
It doesn’t change the fact
The information was accurate. The Map was incorrect not the actual information that a longer route had to be taken because the Baltic States closed their airspace and would not let Fico's plane fly over their airspace.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. Posted on 5/8/25 at 6:32 pm to John Barron
Posted on 5/8/25 at 7:39 pm to John Barron
Army Group North "Northwind" reports:
?? Zelensky's latest adventure: interim results of the enemy's offensive on the village of Tyotkino
Having concentrated about 1,000 personnel from the 225th separate regiment, the 47th separate mechanized brigade , the 425th separate regiment "Skala" , the 41st separate mechanized brigade and the 24th separate battalion "Aidar" , the enemy intended to carry out an operation to capture our border village of Tyotkino.
The Kiev regime considered the section of the front in the area of ??the settlement of Novy Put as a diversionary maneuver and a kind of reserve option.
?? Military objective: to divert our forces from creating a security zone in the Sumy region
?? Propaganda goals: demonstrating the ability of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to continue to resist Russian troops and an attempt to spoil the celebrations dedicated to Victory Day
?? Political goals: disruption of any peace initiatives of US President D. Trump and setting unrealistic conditions for conflict resolution
On the Tyotkinsky section of the front, the enemy used mainly mobile groups from the 225th separate regiment and neo-Nazis "Aidar".
Attempts to break through were carried out from the area of ??two border villages in the Sumy region - Ryzhevka and Iskriskovshchina .
Despite massive losses in manpower and equipment, the enemy has attempted to break through deep into Russian territory nine times since the announcement of the ceasefire (six times at night and three times in the morning).
Enemy losses amounted to:
?? 70 units of weapons and equipment (5 tanks, 6 armored fighting vehicles, 7 armored personnel carriers, 1 guided missile, 7 pickups, 19 ATVs, 8 motorcycles, 1 buggy, 1 mortar, 2 radars, 13 cars)
??at least 280 enemy personnel.
Russian pilots carried out about 33 airstrikes on enemy manpower concentrations, and the destruction of the occupiers' reserves of personnel and equipment was also carried out in the rear areas of the Sumy region - accordingly, the enemy's losses were significantly higher.
Also, the given statistical data does not reflect the enemy’s losses in the direction of the village of Novy Put , the analysis of which will be given a little later.
The "Tetkin adventure" is not over yet, but it is possible to draw some interim conclusions - the enemy suffered significant losses in manpower and equipment, without achieving a single one of its goals.
?? Zelensky's latest adventure: interim results of the enemy's offensive on the village of Tyotkino
Having concentrated about 1,000 personnel from the 225th separate regiment, the 47th separate mechanized brigade , the 425th separate regiment "Skala" , the 41st separate mechanized brigade and the 24th separate battalion "Aidar" , the enemy intended to carry out an operation to capture our border village of Tyotkino.
The Kiev regime considered the section of the front in the area of ??the settlement of Novy Put as a diversionary maneuver and a kind of reserve option.
?? Military objective: to divert our forces from creating a security zone in the Sumy region
?? Propaganda goals: demonstrating the ability of the Ukrainian Armed Forces to continue to resist Russian troops and an attempt to spoil the celebrations dedicated to Victory Day
?? Political goals: disruption of any peace initiatives of US President D. Trump and setting unrealistic conditions for conflict resolution
On the Tyotkinsky section of the front, the enemy used mainly mobile groups from the 225th separate regiment and neo-Nazis "Aidar".
Attempts to break through were carried out from the area of ??two border villages in the Sumy region - Ryzhevka and Iskriskovshchina .
Despite massive losses in manpower and equipment, the enemy has attempted to break through deep into Russian territory nine times since the announcement of the ceasefire (six times at night and three times in the morning).
Enemy losses amounted to:
?? 70 units of weapons and equipment (5 tanks, 6 armored fighting vehicles, 7 armored personnel carriers, 1 guided missile, 7 pickups, 19 ATVs, 8 motorcycles, 1 buggy, 1 mortar, 2 radars, 13 cars)
??at least 280 enemy personnel.
Russian pilots carried out about 33 airstrikes on enemy manpower concentrations, and the destruction of the occupiers' reserves of personnel and equipment was also carried out in the rear areas of the Sumy region - accordingly, the enemy's losses were significantly higher.
Also, the given statistical data does not reflect the enemy’s losses in the direction of the village of Novy Put , the analysis of which will be given a little later.
The "Tetkin adventure" is not over yet, but it is possible to draw some interim conclusions - the enemy suffered significant losses in manpower and equipment, without achieving a single one of its goals.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. Posted on 5/8/25 at 7:43 pm to John Barron
Posted on 5/8/25 at 7:54 pm to John Barron
You were spreading a lie.
How many of these posts you make are flawed?
How many of these posts you make are flawed?
This post was edited on 5/9/25 at 7:18 am
Posted on 5/8/25 at 10:30 pm to doubleb
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