re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

quote:

---

Why would Ukraine give up its sovereignty when it still controls > 80% of its territory.

---

Push comes to shove; they won't have any territory.

Have followed account for awhile, similar to another one I posted recently they post very sporadically and usually of footage not seen elsewhere.

In this tweet they claim to show the results of a Russian attack near Spirne, Donetsk oblast which was a repeated attempt after a similar one on 07.08.23 (Translation looks a bit spotty on that as it claims the repeat on this date by the looks of it)

https://twitter.com/OSINTua/status/1693320448489013587

quote:

---

23.07.23 Russian army using 5 tanks tried to capture our positions near Spirne, Donetsk oblast.

My friend shared photos of that attack and told me some details.
RUAF launched their attack using kamikadze MT-LB. Fortunately for us, it didn’t reach the goal.



During the attack UAF destroyed 2 Russian T-80BV and MT-LB. 3 more tanks were hit and retreated.

07.08.23 they repeated the attack.

Now they used BMP-1 as a kamikadze (was destroyed), more tanks, BMP-2s, a company of infantry.



During the attack UAF destroyed 3 Russian T-80BV tanks and one damaged one BMP-2.

The enemy didn’t reach the goal.



It’s just a “small” episode of war. Every day Ukraine fighting. From Kherson to Kharkiv oblast.

Advancing (remember a fairly tail about 3 days?), defending, fighting. Every day.

---

Andrew Perpetua's war map now has the ability make concentric circles which is very handy for estimating ranges of different types of artillery and longer range munitions.

https://twitter.com/AndrewPerpetua/status/1693992047383117998

map.ukrdailyupdate.com

Random tweets

quote:

---

Putin: “Sometimes I look at what the opposing side is doing — the impression is that it's not their people at all. Who they push into minefields, into our artillery strikes. Acting like they're not their own citizens. It's astounding. But it's their business and their problem.”

---

Pot meet Kettle

quote:

---

The President of Russia, Vladimir Putin held a meeting in Moscow tonight with the Appointed-Leader of the Luhansk People’s Republic, Leonid Pasechnik to discuss the ongoing War in Ukraine as well as additional “Assistance” for the LPR.

---

LINK

quote:

---

The Health of Former-Officer in the Russian Army and Mil-Blogger, Igor “Girkin” Strelkov has reportedly Declined since he was Arrested and placed in a Pre-Trial Detention Center in July, with Sources stating that he has now developed a Severe Case of Chest Pains and is beginning to have Trouble Breathing; Russian Authorities have also reportedly Denied him necessary Healthcare causing his Health to further Decrease.

---

LINK

quote:

---

Medvedev says that Russia may annex the Georgian regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia if the "west continous to inflame the situation in Georgia" - TASS

---

LINK

quote:

---

The Health of Former-Officer in the Russian Army and Mil-Blogger, Igor “Girkin” Strelkov has reportedly Declined since he was Arrested and placed in a Pre-Trial Detention Center in July, with Sources stating that he has now developed a Severe Case of Chest Pains and is beginning to have Trouble Breathing; Russian Authorities have also reportedly Denied him necessary Healthcare causing his Health to further Decrease.

---

I didn't see this coming said nobody, ever.

Apc arent invincible. AT weaponry will take them out no matter how advanced.

The differences in safety come in crew survivability even when the vehicle is damaged or otherwise made inoperable.

In all the pictures ive seen of these destroyed strykers, it looks like all the hatches are opened. Generally indicates there were atleast some survivors from inside.

Some people seem to have gotten an over inflated perception of the advantages of modern equipment. They aren’t invulnerable, they just dont light up like a box of tinder the same way older equip does like old M113 and older soviet era BMPs

Yes, i have no info on how many survived. Im just clarifying what one would realistically be looking for on the western supplied apcs that get taken out.

There was atleast one i saw that was still burning when the picture was taken and all the hatches were open.

It would be very unlikely that one was from looting atleast.

quote:

---

Apc arent invincible. AT weaponry will take them out no matter how advanced.

The differences in safety come in crew survivability even when the vehicle is damaged or otherwise made inoperable.

In all the pictures ive seen of these destroyed strykers, it looks like all the hatches are opened. Generally indicates there were atleast some survivors from inside.

Some people seem to have gotten an over inflated perception of the advantages of modern equipment. They aren’t invulnerable, they just dont light up like a box of tinder the same way older equip does like old M113 and older soviet era BMPs

---

This has been the consensus on both of the Strykers as in both cases it appears that the passengers survived due to open hatches/rear ramps of the after hit footage.

This mirrors many of the Bradley and other NATO armoured vehicle hits seen previously and is the major difference exhibited thus far between NATO and Russian equipment as neither has proven less likely to get taken out in the static form of warfare currently being undertaken.

There is a reasonable argument that NATO gear has proved hardier in that it can be repaired more often if recovered, though this could just be the optics being presented thus far.

ISW Update

quote:

---

Key Takeaways:

Ukrainian forces continued to make advances in and around Robotyne in western Zaporizhia Oblast as of August 22 amid indications that Russian forces likely have a limited presence in the settlement.

Russian forces appear to be concentrating their limited available reinforcements from elsewhere in the theater in the Orikhiv direction in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Ukrainian offensive operations in other sectors of the front remain important because they can fix Russian units in place and prevent further lateral reinforcements. Criticisms of continued Ukrainian efforts in other sectors and calls for Ukraine to concentrate all available reserves on a single axis are thus problematic.

The Ukrainian advance in the Robotyne area brings Ukrainian forces closer to launching operations against second lines of defense that may be relatively weaker than the first Russian defensive line in the area.

Russian forces appear concerned about recent Ukrainian advances in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Russian President Vladimir Putin reiterated Russia’s unwillingness to renegotiate the Black Sea Grain Initiative until all of Russia’s extensive terms are met during the BRICS Business Forum in South Africa on August 22.

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin may be trying to increase Wagner’s presence in Africa as part of an effort to maintain Wagner as a cohesive and independent organization.
A Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) delegation arrived in Libya on August 22, likely as part of the Russian MoD’s efforts to set conditions to possibly replace the Wagner Group with MoD-affiliated private military companies (PMCs).

The Kremlin is reportedly planning to cancel gubernatorial elections in the Republic of Khakassia in order to prevent a Russian veteran’s loss and ensure a United Russia victory, likely demonstrating the Kremlin’s concern over domestic support for the war and the fragility of its veneer of electoral legitimacy.

Russian forces conducted offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line, in the western Donetsk-eastern Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia on August 22 and advanced in certain areas.

Ukrainian forces conducted offensive operations on at least two sectors of the front on August 22 and made advances near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.

Russian authorities continue their campaign of religious persecution in occupied Ukraine.

---

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2023/08/17/if-i-don-t-go-they-ll-start-shooting

Very interesting article about a fire fighter from Kherson who has been accused of collaboration.

This is going to be a significant problem for Ukraine to deal with if they are able to successfully retake more areas, how do they deal with people who have collaborated primarily out of selfless interests or due to being trapped by circumstance as it appears in Oleksiy Levchenko's case from the article?