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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/10/23 at 10:31 am to GOP_Tiger
Posted on 5/10/23 at 10:31 am to GOP_Tiger
Well we now know who will be the spearhead of Ukraine’s offensive. It’s without question going to be the 82nd Air Assault Brigade. They have 2,000 mechanized infantry, all 14 Challenger 2 tanks, all 40 German Marder IFVs, all 90 of the Strykers we sent along with M113 APCs and are being covered with 24 M119 105 mm howitzers with the digital fire control computers to increase accuracy which are a better option than the M777s because of their light weight and ability to work with a fast maneuvering force.
2
Posted on 5/10/23 at 10:35 am to stout
Well, Stein is definitely in disagreement with a personal friend on Trump's campaign team.
He laughed his arse off at Obtuse1's T-34 gif, "Typical Russian!"
He laughed his arse off at Obtuse1's T-34 gif, "Typical Russian!"
This post was edited on 5/10/23 at 10:37 am
Posted on 5/10/23 at 10:37 am to GOP_Tiger
https://twitter.com/HerrDr8/status/1654469277242605569
quote:
Russian Loss Rate returns to pre RUS Winter Offensive levels as Putin's /General G's meat vs metal strategy (#BakhmutHaig) ends in yet another military debacle. Stage set for UKR spring/summer offensive.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 10:38 am to LSUPilot07
quote:
24 M119 105 mm howitzers with the digital fire control computers to increase accuracy
The ones with AI targeting? This may turn out to be a massacre of Soviet, oops I mean Russian, forces
Posted on 5/10/23 at 10:41 am to Chromdome35
https://twitter.com/HerrDr8/status/1654499131233120262/photo/1
quote:
Good thread below by
@michaeldweiss
and
@holger_r
regarding current condition/prep for UKR counteroffensive.
quote:
Time for a new thread from "Karl," the Estonian military analyst. As told to @holger_r and myself:
"Today we can say with certainty that the success of the Russian winter offensive was extremely limited. In the area around Bakhmut, they advanced on a 10-15 kilometer-wide area. That is all the success they achieved."
"Elsewhere, the frontline remained either completely unchanged -- at Kupyansk and Kreminna in the northern direction and at Vuhledar to the south. Or they advanced by a few kilometers: for example, at Avdiivka, at Marjinka. This is a very meager advance compared to the losses the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"At the moment, we waiting for the start of the Ukrainian offensive. The events of the last week indicate that this time is near. Systematic attacks on Russian fuel depots is a clear sign that an offensive is being planned. Russian logistics are difficult when there is no fuel… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"Ukraine has 15-20 brigades, which have had over half a year of proper training in war conditions. This is a considerable number, which can certainly achieve a breakthrough on certain fronts. If they break through the defenses, the Russian front may collapse as it did in Kharkiv… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"A major Ukrainian ground assault should be preceded by strikes against Russian airfields. The goal would be to get the Russian air force down so they would have to start coming from farther away than the airfields near the front. This would be a clear sign that the time for a… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"Whether this will happen in a month or a few weeks is anyone's guess. When a serious maneuver starts, we will know about it. I think there will be disguised attempts. They will start attacking from direction X, to see if Russian bring in additional units. If they don't, Ukraine… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"If you look at the map, Russia will have to take a longer route to bring in units than the Ukrainians will have to travel. This gives Ukraine a couple of days' advantage once the maneuvering gets going."
"What is the expectation of the Ukrainian offensive operation? The liberation of territory. The biggest prize would be winning back southern Ukraine, Melitopol. And severing the land link with Crimea."
"Luhansk and Kharkiv in the north are an option for Ukraine. I can't rule out Ukraine trying to fortify the Dnipro River, but I don't think that is very likely. Success could also be achieved in Donetsk. While Melitopol is still 60-70 km away from the frontline, the centre of… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"Political context: I believe the Western allies' support will certainly hold at least as long as there is hope that the summer offensive will bring military success and Ukraine will be able to liberate territory."
"The only person showing signs that make me worried is Macron with his visit to China and his grossly unsuccessful message that Taiwan is not a European problem. Also his talk about the strategic autonomy of Europe, which was a poorly chosen criticism of the U.S. China is not the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"Russian attempts to get more support from China have not had much effect. Politically, China is more likely to support the Russians, but arms and technology assistance have come in very limited quantities. There has been no arms in any serious form."
"In the context of the Russian politics, nothing has changed. So far the domestic situation is under the control of the Russian political elite. There is no sign of major shifts in society. It's a brainwashed and imperialist society, where at least until the next major defeat,… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"The only period when Putin's public support dropped was September-October, when there was the first round of mobilization. But maybe Putin also doesn't have the full picture of how difficult the situation for Russians really is. Perhaps he is hoping for an immediate breakthrough… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"I wouldn't pay too much attention to Prigozhin's video. No independent unit of Prigozhin can fight without being supplied with weapons and officers by Russian army. These units are still under general command, not operating separately. His statements may indicate moderate… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
On the drone strike at the Kremlin: "I'm 99% sure it wasn't the Ukrainians. It may have been organised by Russia itself to mobilize society. Or it could have been representatives of the security structures outside the control of the Russian authorities. Usually information about… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
"Zelenskyy rejected Ukrainian involvement outright. Usually the Ukrainians fudge it: somebody was smoking, etc. Their tactic is not to reject, not to embrace. This time Zelensky clearly rejected it."
"On Russia's military situation... The offensive capability is exhausted. How strong is the defensive capability, we will see when the Ukrainian attack starts. It is easier to defend. According to one version, the Russian military leadership is trying to make it clear that it is…
Posted on 5/10/23 at 10:53 am to LSUPilot07
quote:
with 24 M119 105 mm howitzers with the digital fire control computers to increase accuracy which are a better option than the M777s because of their light weight and ability to work with a fast maneuvering force
Pretty sure the M777 can be towed by a Humvee so it’s pretty mobile itself but in any case over 50 M777s have been destroyed already. I’m not sure how many we have them to begin with.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 10:58 am to stout
quote:
Alex Stein wrote a rap song for you guys
It's got to sting when even the poli board doesn't care to acknowledge your dorky-arse song.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:06 am to GeauxxxTigers23
quote:
Pretty sure the M777 can be towed by a Humvee so it’s pretty mobile itself but in any case over 50 M777s have been destroyed already. I’m not sure how many we have them to begin with.
I believe the M777 was generally towed by a five ton or Duce & a half. Not saying a Humvee can’t do it, but it’s not usually tasked with it. Even if it can tow the M777, you’ll still need the 5 ton to haul the 155mm ammo.
This post was edited on 5/10/23 at 11:07 am
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:07 am to rhar61
quote:
what do I win?
This question... wasn't there already an Arkansas fan, with 61 in their name, who always posted like a prolapse anus? You not claiming Georgia tech anymore?
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:15 am to GeauxxxTigers23
The M777 is a very light howitzer for its caliber at about 10,000 lbs but the M119 weighs half that which makes a lot of difference when you’re planning on maneuvering frequently not to mention the weight on the shells. It all adds up. As light as it is you wouldn’t want to tow the M777 with a Humvee. You would want a 2.5 ton truck. The M119 on the other can and is towed with a Humvee. You also would like to keep your heavy caliber howitzers further back if possible whereas you could bring the M119 105 closer to the front lines. It’s a great weapon to have for what Ukraine is planning, especially if we are talking about river crossings.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:23 am to Chromdome35
Interesting post from @Wartranslated where a Russian is discussing the disarray and lack of cohesive command structure that led to the small tactical break through Ukraine made yesterday.
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1656256203432013824
https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1656256203432013824
quote:
"All against all...complete disunity of the front" - Russian volunteer Anastasiya Kashevarova explains what happened between Wagner and the 72nd Brigade in Bakhmut in a long Telegram post.
She says Russian Forces are not allowed to communicate with Wagner. Wagner was forced to retreat in one area as Ukrainians exploited weakness and broke through. She says the 72nd had no idea and no troops in the area to cover.
She also says Russian sides all hate each other, making fun of each other. She calls for unity or the war will not be won.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:27 am to LSUPilot07
quote:
The M777 is a very light howitzer for its caliber at about 10,000 lbs but the M119 weighs half that which makes a lot of difference when you’re planning on maneuvering frequently not to mention the weight on the shells. It all adds up. As light as it is you wouldn’t want to tow the M777 with a Humvee. You would want a 2.5 ton truck. The M119 on the other can and is towed with a Humvee. You also would like to keep your heavy caliber howitzers further back if possible whereas you could bring the M119 105 closer to the front lines. It’s a great weapon to have for what Ukraine is planning, especially if we are talking about river crossings.
I’m familiar with the systems. The 105 is great and all arty is good arty. I wonder how many 120mm mortars they have. The USMC recently divested from their 120mm mortars. Those have 9km range, digital fire control, are more mobile and pack a bigger punch than 105 howitzers.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:31 am to Chromdome35
With the Ukrainian offensive looming, now would be a good time to share sources.
This is my list of sources on Twitter for news on the war. I have a bunch of Russian sources on Telegram as well, but I haven't taken the time to put them into a sheet. I'll try to get around to doing so.
If any of you have good sources for info, please post them in the thread. I will add your contributions to the list
Link the the google sheet with these in it
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v2Xp_54BCPj08MlGeRVaqKz0hS57zm78jm4kBSV0T5s/edit#gid=0
This is my list of sources on Twitter for news on the war. I have a bunch of Russian sources on Telegram as well, but I haven't taken the time to put them into a sheet. I'll try to get around to doing so.
If any of you have good sources for info, please post them in the thread. I will add your contributions to the list
Link the the google sheet with these in it
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1v2Xp_54BCPj08MlGeRVaqKz0hS57zm78jm4kBSV0T5s/edit#gid=0
This post was edited on 5/10/23 at 11:44 am
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:36 am to Darth_Vader
105 is the top end for Humvee
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:36 am to Chromdome35
Thanks for the list. One correction, Mick Ryan is Australian.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:38 am to Chromdome35
quote:
Interesting post from @Wartranslated where a Russian is discussing the disarray and lack of cohesive command structure that led to the small tactical break through Ukraine made yesterday.
We can only hope that this kind of confusion is the standard when Ukraine rolls through them in the next month or so. Very good to read.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:38 am to Lakeboy7
quote:
105 is the top end for Humvee
Ok. I thought so. I knew I’d never seen a 155 towed by anything less than a Duce & a half.
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:40 am to Jim Rockford
Thanks, I will change it
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:42 am to Darth_Vader
Here's the daily Prigozhin, from @WarTranslated:
Posted on 5/10/23 at 11:43 am to Lakeboy7
quote:
105 is the top end for Humvee
I thought for sure that one of the requirements for the M777 when it was being developed was to be able to be towed by the Humvee. I know it’s much lighter than the old M198’s. Either way it doesn’t really matter. It looks like a healthy portion of them have already been destroyed or damaged.
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