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Message
re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 4/21/23 at 7:03 pm to Jim Rockford
Posted on 4/21/23 at 7:03 pm to Jim Rockford
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Posted on 4/21/23 at 8:28 pm to LSUCanFAN
quote:
Key Takeaways
Russian forces used a new delivery of Shahed drones to strike Ukraine for the third consecutive day, targeting Kyiv for the first time in 25 days
Commander of the Russian Baltic Sea Fleet Admiral Viktor Liina reportedly assumed command of the Russian Pacific Fleet following the completion of Russian drills in the Pacific.
A Russian fighter-bomber accidentally bombed Belgorod on April 20.
The Angry Patriots Club accused Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin of supporting efforts to freeze the war in Ukraine.
Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a law aimed at supporting the Kremlin’s ongoing efforts to set conditions for domestic crackdowns and the removal of officials who have fallen out of favor.
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.
Russian forces continued to advance in and around Bakhmut, although Russian forces have not completed a turning movement around the city.
Russian forces continued offensive operations along the Avdiivka-Donetsk front and conducted a limited ground attack in western Donetsk Oblast.
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces have established positions on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast.
Russian federal subjects are forming new cross-regional volunteer formations to support the ongoing force generation campaigns.
Russian authorities are expanding the logistics capabilities and security measures on the Arabat Spit likely to prepare for a possible Ukrainian counteroffensive.
Posted on 4/21/23 at 9:03 pm to StormyMcMan
Why is it that in several years the Russian navy will have glass bottom boats in the Baltic? So the new Russian navy can see the old Russian navy
Posted on 4/21/23 at 10:24 pm to DalenSA
(no message)
This post was edited on 4/21/23 at 10:24 pm
Posted on 4/22/23 at 6:25 am to GOP_Tiger
NY Times
quote:
RAMSTEIN AIR BASE, Germany — Ukrainian troops will begin training on American M1 Abrams tanks in Germany in the next few weeks, U.S. defense officials say, in what would be a major step in arming Kyiv as it seeks to seize back territory from Russia.
Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III announced the timeline on Friday during a meeting with allies at Ramstein Air Base. Defense officials said that about 31 tanks were expected to arrive in Germany to begin a training program for Ukrainian troops that is expected to take 10 weeks. Combat-ready tanks could reach the battlefields in Ukraine by the fall, said the officials, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss security matters.
quote:
American defense officials had initially said that the M1 Abrams tanks would not arrive in Ukraine until next year. But since January, when the Biden administration announced that it would send the tanks, senior defense officials have said they wanted to accelerate the plans.
The Ukrainian troops training on the Abrams tanks will have to go through qualification testing, maintenance training and drills on how to operate the advanced battle tank. They also will have to learn how to coordinate tank maneuvers with other military units, in what the American military calls “combined arms” tactics.
quote:
Pentagon officials had initially expressed misgivings about sending the Abrams, citing concerns about how Ukraine would maintain the advanced tanks, which require extensive training and servicing. And officials had said it could take years for them to actually reach Ukrainian battlefields.
But Mr. Austin eventually came around to the view that committing to sending American tanks was necessary to spur Germany to follow with its coveted Leopard 2 tanks. Officials at the State Department and the White House argued that giving Germany the political cover it sought to send its tanks outweighed the Defense Department’s reluctance, the officials said.
And as it turned out, American officials were able to move Abrams tanks to Ukraine faster than expected. Defense officials said they moved quickly to expedite the delivery, and now say that they believe the tanks can be used in combat in a few months.
“I am confident that this equipment, and the training that accompanies it, will put Ukraine’s forces in position to succeed on the battlefield,” Mr. Austin said.
General Milley said the M1 tanks coming to Germany are “training tanks,” so they are not combat ready. But, he added about the eventual weapons heading to Ukraine, “I do think the M1 tank when it’s delivered, will make a difference.”
Posted on 4/22/23 at 6:26 am to RLDSC FAN
British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 22 April 2023
The Russian state is struggling to maintain consistency in a core narrative that it uses to justify the war in Ukraine: that the invasion is analogous to the Soviet experience in the Second World War.
On 18 April 2023, Russian state media announced the cancellation of this year's Immortal Regiment 'Great Patriotic War' remembrance marches on 'safety' grounds. In reality, the authorities were highly likely concerned that participants would highlight the scope of recent Russian losses.
This follows Wagner Group owner Yevgeny Prigozhin publicly questioning whether there are actually any 'Nazis' in Ukraine, going against Russia's justification for the war. The authorities have continued attempts to unify the Russian public around polarising myths about the 1940s.
On 12 April 2023, state news agency RIA Novosti reported 'unique' documents from FSB archives, implicating the Nazis in the murder of 22,000 Polish nationals in the Katyn Massacre of 1940. In reality, FSB's predecessor agency, the NKVD, was responsible. Russia's State Duma officially condemned Joseph Stalin for ordering the killings in 2010.
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 22 April 2023
The Russian state is struggling to maintain consistency in a core narrative that it uses to justify the war in Ukraine: that the invasion is analogous to the Soviet experience in the Second World War.
On 18 April 2023, Russian state media announced the cancellation of this year's Immortal Regiment 'Great Patriotic War' remembrance marches on 'safety' grounds. In reality, the authorities were highly likely concerned that participants would highlight the scope of recent Russian losses.
This follows Wagner Group owner Yevgeny Prigozhin publicly questioning whether there are actually any 'Nazis' in Ukraine, going against Russia's justification for the war. The authorities have continued attempts to unify the Russian public around polarising myths about the 1940s.
On 12 April 2023, state news agency RIA Novosti reported 'unique' documents from FSB archives, implicating the Nazis in the murder of 22,000 Polish nationals in the Katyn Massacre of 1940. In reality, FSB's predecessor agency, the NKVD, was responsible. Russia's State Duma officially condemned Joseph Stalin for ordering the killings in 2010.
Posted on 4/22/23 at 6:38 am to GOP_Tiger
NY Times
Airman Shared Sensitive Intelligence More Widely and for Longer Than Previously Known
Airman Shared Sensitive Intelligence More Widely and for Longer Than Previously Known
quote:
The Air National Guardsman accused of leaking classified documents to a small group of gamers had been posting sensitive information months earlier than previously known and to a much larger chat group, according to online postings reviewed by The New York Times.
In February 2022, soon after the invasion of Ukraine, a user profile matching that of Airman Jack Teixeira began posting secret intelligence on the Russian war effort on a previously undisclosed chat group on Discord, a social media platform popular among gamers. The chat group contained about 600 members.
quote:
The newly discovered information posted on the larger chat group included details about Russian and Ukrainian casualties, activities of Moscow’s spy agencies and updates on aid being provided to Ukraine. The user claimed to be posting information from the National Security Agency, the Central Intelligence Agency and other intelligence agencies.
The additional information raises questions about why authorities did not discover the leaks sooner, particularly since hundreds more people would have been able to see the posts.
quote:
A chain of digital evidence collected by The Times ties the posts containing the sensitive information to Airman Teixeira. The posts were made under a user name that The Times has previously connected to Airman Teixeira. The person leaking the information said he worked at a U.S. Air Force intelligence unit. Details in videos and photographs he posted matched images posted by family members inside the Teixeira home in North Dighton, Mass. Fellow Discord members sent the user birthday wishes on Dec. 21, the same date Airman Teixeira’s sister wished him a happy birthday on Facebook. And he posted a photograph of an antique German rifle for which The Times found an online receipt in Airman Teixeira’s name.
The posts reviewed by The Times appear to be detailed written accounts of the classified documents themselves, and identify which intelligence agency they are from. While it appears that the user likely posted pictures of some documents, those have since been deleted from the chat group.
quote:
At one point he offered to share information privately with members of the group living outside the United States. “DM me and I can tell you what I have,” he wrote.
quote:
“I was very happy and willing and enthusiastic to have covered this event for the past year and share with all of you something that not many people get to see,” he wrote on March 19, before adding, “I’ve decided to stop with the updates.”
Posted on 4/22/23 at 6:38 am to cypher
similar to post above
This post was edited on 4/22/23 at 6:39 am
Posted on 4/22/23 at 6:57 am to cypher
Before the Leopard and Challenger deliveries, the US and the Netherlands jointly agreed to finance the modernization of 90 Czech T-72s. The extensive nature of these upgrades means that these are superior to any Russian tanks on the battlefield.
An update on that: LINK
An update on that: LINK
quote:
According to Blažkovec, as part of the Czech tripartite project with the United States and the Netherlands on the supply of more than 90 tanks to Ukraine, 37 modernized T-72 tanks have already been delivered, and there are more of them every month.
As part of this project, the United States will pay for the restoration of 45 units, while the Netherlands will fund the restoration of 45 tanks totaling about $90 million.
quote:
During the meeting in the Ramstein format, the Czech Republic invited its partners to expand the T-72 tanks modernization program for Ukraine.
This was reported by the Czech Ministry of Defense.
The Czech Republic expressed its readiness to modernize several dozen additional tanks as part of the joint project
This post was edited on 4/22/23 at 6:58 am
Posted on 4/22/23 at 7:12 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:LINK
In Belgorod, a second air bomb was found at the site of the explosion, which did not explode. Authorities are evacuating over 3,000 people.
Bomb in #Belgorod is being dug up with shovels
The day before, journalist Nikita Parmenov warned that two bombs had fallen in the city, and the authorities were deliberately hiding this.
Posted on 4/22/23 at 7:23 am to StormyMcMan
Other random tweets
LINK
LINK
quote:
The German authorities have decided on the mass expulsion of russian diplomats, representatives of the russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs reported in a comment to russian mass media.
Also, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of therussian federation promised a mirror response in the form of the expulsion of German diplomats from russia.
LINK
quote:
More than 30 percent of the territory of Ukraine is mined, - the representative of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine on human rights.
"Almost a third of the forests have been affected by hostilities and ammunition explosions. The air is being polluted.
The ground cover is being destroyed. Water resources are having a complex negative impact. Animals are dying, plants are disappearing," Dmytro Lubinets added.
LINK
Posted on 4/22/23 at 8:04 am to StormyMcMan
LINK
quote:
Rybar about a new attempt to destroy the Kerch bridge reportedly this morning
"About the attempted strike of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Kerch from the Grom-2 OTRK
Today, at around 08.30, Ukrainian formations tried to deliver another blow to the Crimean peninsula from the Grom-2 operational-tactical missile system.
The missile was shot down over the Sea of Azov near Kerch by anti-aircraft gunners of the 3rd division of the 18th air defense division of the 31st air defense division of the RF Armed Forces. There were no casualties or injuries, fragments fell into the water."
Posted on 4/22/23 at 8:18 am to GOP_Tiger
quote:
The Air National Guardsman accused of leaking classified documents to a small group of gamers had been posting sensitive information months earlier than previously known and to a much larger chat group, according to online postings reviewed by The New York Times.
quote:
A chain of digital evidence collected by The Times ties the posts containing the sensitive information to Airman Teixeira. The posts were made under a user name that The Times has previously connected to Airman Teixeira. The person leaking the information said he worked at a U.S. Air Force intelligence unit.
quote:
The posts reviewed by The Times appear to be detailed written accounts of the classified documents themselves, and identify which intelligence agency they are from. While it appears that the user likely posted pictures of some documents, those have since been deleted from the chat group.
1. Still how the hell did this guy get the intel?
2. The NY Times can find this mess still available on the internet/discord? How has the military and intel agencies not done so and deleted their existence? Wtf is going on?
Posted on 4/22/23 at 8:40 am to DabosDynasty
quote:
1. Still how the hell did this guy get the intel?
From the same NYT article....
At times, he appeared to be posting from the military base where he was stationed. In one conversation, he said he was about to enter an area where people with security clearance can access classified computer networks, known as a SCIF — Sensitive Compartmented Information Facility.
How Airman Teixeira obtained the documents that he is accused of posting online has been a key question for investigators. They believe he used administrator privileges connected to his information technology job to access documents. In his posts, Airman Teixeira said his job gave him access to material that others could not see. “The job I have lets me get privilege’s above most intel guys,” he wrote.
Airman Teixeira also claimed that he was actively combing classified computer networks for material on the Ukraine war. When one of the Discord users urged him not to abuse his access to classified intelligence, Teixeira replied: “too late.”
Posted on 4/22/23 at 8:51 am to cypher
quote:
The authorities have continued attempts to unify the Russian public around polarising myths about the 1940s.
My dad was in WWII. He is long dead as are most veterans. Even children living at the time WWII are fewer and farther between. It takes a very good propaganda effort to make teens to 40 YOs long for the glory of the past mid century.
Posted on 4/22/23 at 8:52 am to cypher
quote:
At times, he appeared to be posting from the military base where he was stationed. In one conversation, he said he was about to enter an area where people with security clearance can access classified computer networks, known as a SCIF — Sensitive Compartmented Information Facility.
Gotta post stuff on the internet. It's an addiction. I'm logging out now.
Posted on 4/22/23 at 9:27 am to cypher
I am curious what this years Victory Day parade will look like on May 9th. I can’t imagine they have a whole bunch of equipment sitting around not deployed. I guess the T-14s and some throwback tanks will rumble down red square.
Posted on 4/22/23 at 9:47 am to cypher
quote:
Airman Teixeira said his job gave him access to material that others could not see. “The job I have lets me get privilege’s above most intel guys,” he wrote.
Still doesn’t make sense a National guardsman could access foreign intel of this sensitivity.
Posted on 4/22/23 at 10:13 am to DabosDynasty
LINK
No one seems to come out and say that Teixeira was pro-Russia and opposed to US aid to Ukraine, but all signs point to that.
quote:
There were over 9600 posts from Jack that were still living on this server yesterday morning. Only a fraction of those were intelligence documents, as the server mods/admin purged many of them. Regardless, it gives us a pretty full picture of his motivations and perspectives.
No one seems to come out and say that Teixeira was pro-Russia and opposed to US aid to Ukraine, but all signs point to that.
Posted on 4/22/23 at 10:15 am to DabosDynasty
quote:
Still doesn’t make sense a National guardsman could access foreign intel of this sensitivity.
Here's some more background regarding the Unit's mission.
The 102nd Intelligence Wing, which is based out of Joint Base Cape Cod in Massachusetts, is having its mission "paused and divided among other units," Frank Hartnett, a spokesman for Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall, told Military.com during the Space Symposium conference in Colorado Springs on Wednesday.
The wing's mission is to "provide worldwide precision intelligence" mainly "for expeditionary combat support and homeland security." It is more than 100 years old and started as the 101st Observation Squadron of the Massachusetts National Guard in 1921, according to its website.
Air National Guard Unit Where Alleged Leaker Worked Sidelined from Intelligence Work
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