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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:28 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15692 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:28 pm to
France is as corrupt as Ukraine. Russia is way more corrupt than Ukraine.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
39820 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

You think they trust China to cover that side of the country if all out war starts?



The danger would be from Japan, as they already have a long-standing dispute with Russia over the Kuril Islands. I'm not sure what China would have to gain by an invasion that they direct foreign investment couldn't provide in Russia though.
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8165 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:30 pm to
Thank you.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
44231 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:35 pm to
quote:

China's economy is much more linked to ours than it is to Russia's. Any Chinese decision-making will have that at the top of their list of factors to consider.


While the above is true, China has “diversified” by GREATLY expanding their influence globally (Belt and Road etc.). Additionally, with China’s “ban” on Australian coal, Russia is their go to right now. The new Aussie government is hard left...so I assume that they will be slobbing Xi pretty soon (like yesterday). If their coal starts rolling in, then Russia loses some influence with China.

quote:

Would they go so far as to invade Russia, no I don't think they will do that? They really don't have to do much but sit there. In a full-blown war, NATO doesn't need to cross Chinese territory to do anything. That gives China a clear path to staying neutral, which is what I think they will do.


I believe that China would wait until we are stepping on our dicks with Russia, and then they would invade Taiwan.

quote:

They need some time to incorporate the lessons learned into their military...once that happens, who knows.


They have known every detail about our weapons for quite some time. From a strategic standpoint, you are likely correct though.
This post was edited on 9/11/22 at 9:16 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15692 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:35 pm to
Meanwhile China and India filled up their storage with heavily discounted Russian crude oil, now the price is dropping. China also signed a big deal with Russia for natural gas, but that pipeline won't be ready for 3 more years. It is said to be 50% discount, but of what, the main indexes are Henry Hub, TTF (the Netherlands) and JKM (Japan/Korea). I don't care if China pays in fishheads, half price means Russia has big issues in future cash flow.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
44231 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:36 pm to
quote:

The danger would be from Japan, as they already have a long-standing dispute with Russia over the Kuril Islands.


While this is true, Japan has both eyes in one direction only...towards China.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
44231 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:39 pm to
quote:

France is as corrupt as Ukraine. Russia is way more corrupt than Ukraine.


That doesn’t negate my point.

Ukraine is a pit of corruption. There is no doubt in my mind that money is being siphoned off at a prodigious rate. Somewhere, somehow, the skim is in effect, and there are some people making BANK as a result (and I don’t mean ethically).
Posted by facher08
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
6083 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 8:40 pm to
quote:

Russia is clearly the aggressor here...denying that is like denying the earth is round.


Oh please don't open up that can of worms with those nutjobs.
Posted by lowspark12
nashville, tn
Member since Aug 2009
22581 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:05 pm to
I’m generally curious what everyone thinks….

- Are wars of occupation ever successful?
- if yes, what would it take for a war of occupation to be successful?
- if the answer isn’t murder everyone who opposes you, what else can be done?

This isn’t necessarily about Russo/Ukrainian War… just war in general.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15692 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:15 pm to
Russia occupied Ukraine for several centuries before Ukraine became independent.
Posted by MorgusTheMagnificent
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2014
1964 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:16 pm to
Bingo
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
23998 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:16 pm to
quote:

Ukraine is a pit of corruption.

I'm curious, is this corruption still going on as they fight for their national life? I mean if Russia could have executed better early on then they would own the country. Are the corrupticrats still corrupting while Ukraine slugs it out with Russia?

Now what I really think is calling Ukraine corrupt now is just meaningless clap trap as unimaginative in thinking as one can be.
Posted by alpinetiger
Salt Lake City
Member since Apr 2017
5864 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:18 pm to
You’re an ignorant moron.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
28570 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

Are wars of occupation ever successful?

There have been imperial wars of occupation that have lasted for centuries. The major European countries all have their former colonies. But in the modern post-20th century world, it seems a complete fantasy to believe that one country could invade another moderately sized and developed country and occupy it for more than a couple of years.

Yet despite the reality of the modern world, Russia thinks it can take over and occupy any other country. They are actually pretty good at it. They install puppet governments, like in Georgia and Belarus, but even in those places where they have had success, the grip on power is precarious.

Your question is good. It also exposes what appears to be the fact, that Russia is living in layers of self-delusion that prevents their leadership, media and population from operating in reality. That un-reality will doom them to make more mistakes.
This post was edited on 9/11/22 at 9:22 pm
Posted by Joshjrn
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2008
32879 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

I’m generally curious what everyone thinks…. - Are wars of occupation ever successful? - if yes, what would it take for a war of occupation to be successful? - if the answer isn’t murder everyone who opposes you, what else can be done? This isn’t necessarily about Russo/Ukrainian War… just war in general.


I think it depends on how you define successful. A war of occupation in which one distinct people/culture occupies another will end in strife, almost without exception. If you don’t care about the people and simply want the resources, geographic location, ports, etc, then that’s an acceptable price to pay.

If you’re actually trying to assimilate the population? Good fricking luck.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30452 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:20 pm to
Interesting Twitter thread that echos what many of us have been saying since the first few pages of the thread:

Twitter
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150130 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

Interesting Twitter thread that echos what many of us have been saying since the first few pages of the thread:

Twitter
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8165 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:21 pm to
Bingo??? Why does that matter? Lots of countries used to be part of other countries. That doesn’t give the former owner the right to invade them. Do you think it does? Does Britain have the right to invade India because India used to belong to Britian?
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
23998 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:22 pm to
quote:

You’re an ignorant moron.


Ok, first what is a moron? And then how much worse is it to be an ignorant moron? Can an ignorant moron even type in words on a message board? I don't think so. And using this as an insult is sophomoric.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30452 posts
Posted on 9/11/22 at 9:22 pm to
War_Mapper time-lapse GIF of the offesive in the Kharkiv AO over the last 5 days.

Twitter

As before I have made a kinda jerky frame by frame gif for the people that don't use twitter but if you do use twitter I suggest you give him a click because he has been doing great work. He may not have the most information dense maps but he has the most digestible maps.

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