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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 8/31/22 at 1:50 pm to
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
28324 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

If they have that many troops backed up by Western weaponry then if this war isn’t wrapped up in a week it means that either Ukrainian troops are garbage or Russian troops are some bad motherfrickers.



Nobody believes that 1,000,000 number are ready to go. But they are able to replace combat loss and gradually build numbers.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15687 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 1:56 pm to
The old saw, "Amateurs talk strategy, pros talk logistics"
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45554 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

Nobody believes that 1,000,000 number are ready to go. But they are able to replace combat loss and gradually build numbers.


I would estimate that they have between 500,000-750,000 (veterans + trained reserves) ready to go. You have to remember that they have been sending 40,000 troops per year in the Dobass war before this invasion. So 500,000 is easy to believe. I was told there were 200,000 in the Dnipro area when I was there a month ago and from the number of tents and men in arms I saw, I believe it.

ETA: Another huge problem that is slowing the Ukrainians down is there locomotive fleet. They have been pushing those 50 year old locomotives hard for 6 months and they are starting to break.
This post was edited on 8/31/22 at 2:08 pm
Posted by AU86
Member since Aug 2009
26257 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 2:19 pm to
You are the American equivalent to that Russian Ivan that posts on here.

Two peas in a pod.
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5896 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

It’s good to remember just what Zelensky risked when he remained in Kiev, with his family, while the Russian army poured across two international borders toward Kiev in a seek and destroy mission.


To juxtapose leadership styles for just a minute, the Russian appointed head of the Kherson regional administration, Kirill Strenousov, has urgently left Kherson to attend a “communicative leadership seminar” in Russia.

Now in defense of Strenousov, the guest keynote for the seminar is Zelensky so you don’t want to miss that.
Posted by MNCTigah
Member since Oct 2011
192 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 3:00 pm to
Russia currently has a vulnerable logistics tail in the south.

ETA: It's almost like they didn't model the introduction of Western munitions, intelligence, targeting, etc.
This post was edited on 8/31/22 at 3:13 pm
Posted by alpinetiger
Salt Lake City
Member since Apr 2017
5864 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 3:02 pm to
"Western Allies Led By UK's Johnson Sabotaged Tentative Ukraine-Russia Peace Deal... In April"

Greed and graft. The thieves and traitors are inside the US government. Ukraine is an ATM and a vassal state for these rent-seeking shitbags.

April Peace Deal
This post was edited on 8/31/22 at 3:03 pm
Posted by StormyMcMan
USA
Member since Oct 2016
4669 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

Greed and graft. The thieves and traitors are inside the US government. Ukraine is an ATM and a vassal state for these rent-seeking shitbags.


So looking at this article I found this a little humerous:
quote:

Now, this week there's been yet more bombshell smoking gun confirmation to emerge on the role of powerful Western countries in thwarting the potential for ceasefire between Russian and Ukrainian forces...


References this tweet:
quote:

Ex US National Security Council official confirms citing "multiple former senior U.S. officials" that Russia & Ukraine agreed in April on peace deal framework of #Russia withdrawing to pre-war positions & #Ukraine promising not to seek #NATO membership. Deal was stopped by UK PM.

LINK

Which is referencing this tweet:
LINK
quote:

Was alerted to this new Foreign Affairs piece by
@alexjordanATL
, where Fiona Hill accidentally lets slip a key fact: Russia & Ukraine agreed to a tentative settlement in April that would've halted the war, Course, Hill doesn't mention UK PM flew to Kiev instantly to scuttle it.





The final sentence is this: "But as Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated in a July interview with his country’s state media, this compromise is no longer an option."

So your source's source's source acknowledges that the source material makes no claim of this, but they claim it happened anyway and then 2 people say "SEE LOOK WHAT THE WEST DID!!!!" and then you post a link to the article on tigerdroppings as proof that that the West did this.


*not saying that Boris couldn't have done this, but the article literally disproves itself as hyperbole without actual backup
This post was edited on 8/31/22 at 3:20 pm
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11847 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 3:32 pm to
The Tyler Durden byline for ZeroHedge is notorious as a place for anonymously sourced pieces like this that push the Kremlin line and have been appearing there promoting the Russian invasion of Ukraine since 2014, but they've also run interference for the Kremlin on all sorts of other issues that are problematic for them in the West like the Skripal poisoning, interference with Western elections, MH17, etc. Posting it here is diagnostic of having been pulled into the Russian infosphere. The American IC called it out specifically in February as a front for Russian prop.
This post was edited on 8/31/22 at 4:15 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15687 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 3:50 pm to
Ukraine lacks logistics in the form or 18 wheelers to get supplies to the front as well. It is having to rely on the equivalent to the Paris Taxi Cab rescue of Paris during WWI
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15687 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 3:53 pm to
I've been onto Zero Hedge for years. It's nothing more than some real hard facts mixed with a little Russian misinformation via a Bulgarian based site. It always has enough right of truth for the uninformed to take the bait and swallow the hook.

Tyler Durden byline to grab the attention of younger adult males.
This post was edited on 8/31/22 at 3:54 pm
Posted by Lakeboy7
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2011
28324 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

18 wheelers to get supplies to the front as well. It is having to rely on the equivalent to the Paris Taxi Cab rescue of Paris during WWI


This is the biggest problem, the closer to the from the more exposed transport become.

So it takes weeks to build up supplies for a big effort.
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5896 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 3:57 pm to
Al Jazeera

Tidy write up on the current Ukrainian counter offensive. Who knows about the veracity of the various sources quoted, but this makes sense to me:

“The villages along the front line – these the Ukrainians broke easily. In the second line of defence there was blood spilled. I heard 1,000 Ukrainians and 1,500 Russians [were killed],” said Pantelis Boubouras, Greece’s honourary consul in Kherson, who runs a construction business in Odesa.

“The second line isn’t falling easily. There are 25,000-30,000 soldiers, they’ve been there five months, and are very well equipped and dug in,” Boubouras told Al Jazeera.“
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5180 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

Also earth to y’all, the fall of Kiev came directly from CNN and US generals. When you bring that shvt up, you are hurting your own credibility lmao.


Considering you and OML rail on and on about the msm and then both turn around and supply CNN links as the one you can finally trust from them, it is in fact you two who are hurting your own credibility. To be fair, neither of you have any so I guess you can’t really hurt it more.
Posted by DabosDynasty
Member since Apr 2017
5180 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

Russia doesn’t need Kiev, it’s a liability.


Directly counter to your own posts 5-6 months ago.

quote:

gaining combat experience against top western weaponry


I guess if that’s what you want to call discovering their own weaponry is decades behind what they’re facing as it’s blowing up their own outdated weaponry.

quote:

and has a dominant negotiating position with the EU.


For starters they won’t be negotiating with the EU on this conflict. Besides that, I wouldn’t call negotiating at a time they’re actively losing ground and having to move high value assets from territory they’ve held for 8 years a position of strength. American, British, central & Eastern European assistance is not stopping, but Russia is eroding their fighting capabilities daily.
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
11847 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 5:15 pm to
Two anonymous DOD sources here, but encouraging if true.

quote:

The U.S. has assessed that Ukraine has a “good chance” to retake territory that Russia captured in its initial invasion, after Kyiv on Monday launched a counteroffensive, according to two Defense Department officials.

Ukrainian forces have taken out “most” of the bridges crossing the Dnipro River using U.S.-supplied High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems and other weapons, said the officials, speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss a sensitive operation. The bridges serve as a crucial route to resupply Russian troops stationed to the west of the river, which are now at risk of being cut off from the rest of Moscow’s occupying forces...

The conflict has offered the U.S. the rare opportunity to assess the HIMARS capability, and that of Russian defenses in action, one of the DoD officials said. U.S. officials are “a little surprised” at how well the HIMARS is performing — and by how poorly Russian defensive capabilities have fared against the attacks, the person said.

“The Ukrainians are doing very well at what they are doing with them and how they are employing them, but we are also learning that they are able to get through a lot of Russian systems,” the person said.

The next question, one of the DoD officials said, is whether Russian forces decide to surrender the captured territory in the south or reposition units from the fight in the east.




Ukraine has ‘good chance’ to retake territory, U.S. assesses
Posted by ruff fish
Member since Feb 2021
526 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

No a month ago I was in Kharkiv treating innocent civilians wounded by random Russian shelling. I have seen the war and the up close with my own eyes. I have seen the Ukrainian women who have been raped by Russian troops and I have heard their stories with my own ears. Most importantly I have experienced the Russian war crimes in person. I heard Russian soldiers talking on unsecure radios trying to hit a civilian aid station run by the international red cross. Luckily your equipment is terrible or your soldiers cannot aim. My Russian is not great but it was good enough to understand a Russian commander yelling "V grebanuyu bol'nitsu! Bol'nitsa! Bol'nitsa - eto bol'shaya palatka s krasnym krestom! Pochemu vy, shlyukhi, ne mozhete popast' v gigantskiy krasnyy krest?" at his troops over the unsecured radio. The only thing I have not done is find who pissed on my pants during the shelling.

Something lately I have been meeting a lot of Americans who have been to Ukraine.
The fact that you write serious accusations. Can you provide a proof for at least one charge and I will transfer it to the military prosecutor's office and post all the stages of its consideration here on the forum?
Or your photos of being there in a hospital, city, etc.?
quote:

Most of that is a load of horse shite and you know it. If Ukraine had the military power to strike Donetsk, Crimea, or Russia. Why did it not strike any of those targets in the past? The only thing that is true is that Putin and Hitler both invaded a neighboring nation.

I don't understand what the hell are you talking about? Are you going to deny that Kyiv has been regularly and methodically shelling Donetsk for all 8 years?

I don’t specifically post it on photo hosting so that there is no dancing on the bones
LINK

And this is a Ukrainian soldier. Translate what is written on the shells? "All the best for children"

LINK
I hope the bastard is no longer among the living

quote:

A government that was elected with over 70% of the vote in a free and fair election with international observers is not a pocket government. I realize that you are a Russian and Russians do not understand the concept of an election that is not already rigged to decide the winner.


what 70% are you talking about? Take a look at wikipedia
Poroshenko "gained" 54.7% with a total voter turnout of 59.48%. Residents of Donbass and Crimea were not allowed to vote.
These elections were recognized by international observers of which countries? China or India were there? So how the votes are counted in the United States was very well illustrated by Biden's election. The whole world saw. On the Maidan it was similar.
LINK

quote:

Sweden and Finland are now off limits to Russia. Now thanks to Finland joining NATO the USA can put THAADs or the Aegis Ashore system in northern Finland and intercept any ballistic missile launched from the arctic. Also the shipping lanes into and out of Murmansk are now within range of land based ASM in a NATO nation. Plus NATO now has two more countries to stage stealth fighters in. Since Russia has been unable to knock out the weak Ukrainian Air Force. What makes you think Russia could ever hope to defeat NATO air power?

I would like to bet, I will reduce the time. The Baltics have been in NATO for many years. Which of the above is there?
quote:

Turkey has been part of NATO since 1952. Just because Turkey bought 4 S400 launchers and wanted Finland and Sweden to extradite people who had been charge with crimes in Turkey does not mean that leaving NATO.


What about Turkey's announcement of joining the SCO? Did you know about it?
The Sultan is not a fool, being in a bloc that has "brain death" (Macron said) and hoping to join the growing organization is preparing a "gift" as is customary in the east. Being in two military organizations will be uncomfortable for him, besides, he remembers well the failed coup d'état with Gülen, who lives in the United States and was preparing from the United States (consider all of NATO). So sleep peacefully under the lulling that long since 1952 ...
Everything happens for the first time
quote:

Ukrainians are not Russians and do not want to be Russians. If they wanted to be Russians they would thrown down their arms and the special military operation would not still be going on.


Instead of a thousand words. The IAEA arrived with an inspection at the nuclear power plant that Ukraine is shelling out of 777 and along the way it meets a huge queue of people who want to get into the territory where there is no Kyiv power
LINK
And the Ministry of Defense expresses its gratitude for the reports from the citizens of Ukraine about the location of military targets
quote:

The Ukrainian people have not been oppressed for the last 8 years. The Ukrainian people are not the ones being feed lies. Russia is the nation that is lying. Russians like yourself are the ones who are living in an alternate reality because of propaganda. I am sorry to tell you but your nation is the nation full of fascists and war criminals. As I have said above. I have seen those war crimes with my own eyes. Heard the orders being given to commit them with my own ears. Felt the ground shake from the shells landing around a field hospital that was clearly marked with a red cross indicating it was a nonmilitary target. Held and tried to comfort terrified children in my own arms.

And here you are lying. How many Russian schools are left after Maidan? How many% were expelled from work because they spoke Russian, how many people were denied the issuance of an earned pension on the grounds that they were Russian?
Have you noticed that your rather big post with accusations does not contain a single proof? I hope you provide them.

quote:

I hope that he is lucky enough to not get wounded or killed. If he is unlucky and does get wounded then I hope he does not end up in a field hospital that his fellow Russian soldiers are intentionally hit with artillery. Also I hope he is careful about where he throws his cigarette after he has finished smoking it. There have been a lot of incidents caused by Russians who were too casual with their cigarettes.

I already asked about the proofs above
Posted by OldmanBeasley
Charlotte
Member since Jun 2014
11172 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 5:26 pm to
Do you like Putin? Do you think he’s a good leader? More importantly, what’s your favorite fish?
This post was edited on 8/31/22 at 5:27 pm
Posted by facher08
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
6082 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

what 70% are you talking about? Take a look at wikipedia


Lol. To play devil's advocate, Wikipedia to a Russian is probably as credible as a leading STEM journal to us.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15687 posts
Posted on 8/31/22 at 5:36 pm to
Likely some trash fish
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