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re: JBE: Shelter in place "may be necessary" in LA

Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:48 pm to
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:48 pm to
quote:


what? no i don't

that's from the study our government is using to base their decisions on


Then why do you keep posting that link? ULL you’re using that link as part of your argument or whatever point you’re trying to make
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
62152 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

That means the coronavirus is expected to kill 700,000 to 1,400,000 Americans.


quote:

quote:
A recent CDC projection estimated that the U.S. coronavirus epidemic could infect between 160 million and 214 million people over a period of more than a year — and kill anywhere from 200,000 to 1.7 million people in the country.



fricktard. The quote you provided does not support your statement.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464797 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:49 pm to
quote:

Then why do you keep posting that link?


because it's

quote:

the study our government is using to base their decisions on


Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
127745 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:50 pm to
What a ludicrous “chart”, as if those are the only two possibilities.

How about the one where none of the state is shut down completely?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:50 pm to
You also said you think 10% of the population is walking around with Coronavirus
Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
11012 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:50 pm to
Do you want to put your money where your mouth is? Because I’ll bet huge sums that we won’t even exceed 200k globally.
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:51 pm to
I absolutely do not believe it gets to within even 20% of the low end of the number the CDC predicts. We don’t live on top of each other in the vast majority of this country like they do in China or Italy or South Korea.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

This is going to get much worse before it gets better,
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464797 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:51 pm to
quote:

What a ludicrous “chart”, as if those are the only two possibilities.

within the context of this discussion, you keep missing the fact that there has only been one possibility: regulations of the entire state

i'm saying it didn't have to be the entire state, especially immediately.

that means there would be less government overreach

so i don't see how you're saying my argument isn't libertarian when my solution means less government

quote:

How about the one where none of the state is shut down completely?

that's fine, too, but it was never going to happen
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464797 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:54 pm to
quote:

You also said you think 10% of the population is walking around with Coronavirus

that was a bit much and walked it back to has been infected

if we are assuming this got here initially at Mardi Gras, it's been here a month. we're seeing the initial wave and not the secondary, tertiary, etc. infections

it's likely it was here BEFORE Mardi Gras

remember, 50-75% of cases are asymptomatic. people don't even know they have it
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

remember, 50-75% of cases are asymptomatic. people don't even know they have it


If they don’t know they have then how do you?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464797 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

If they don’t know they have then how do you?

other countries tested everyone infected people came in contact with or large population groupings to get data. that's where we're getting that data (and why the spread is so large)

LINK (in Italian)

also, there are a few natural experiments like the cruise ship that was quarantined.
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
127745 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:01 pm to
quote:

i'm saying it didn't have to be the entire state, especially immediately.

that means there would be less government overreach


Yes, because YOU wouldn’t be effected.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464797 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:01 pm to
LINK

quote:

"Consequently, South Korea has detected more asymptomatic, but positive cases of coronavirus than Italy, in particular among young people."

The graph suggests that although younger people may feel fine they are in fact contagious.

"The surprisingly high number of tourists that have been diagnosed with coronavirus after returning from trips to Northern Italy suggests that the unnoticed and asymptomatic spread of the virus has probably been going on there for quite some time, building up to then ravage the elderly," Backhaus says.


this says the same thing but lower than 50-75%, and possibly implies the earlier origin
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464797 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Yes, because YOU wouldn’t be effected.

along with the majority of the state. it's not just about me

i don't go to bars or restaurants anyway
Posted by TeddyPadillac
Member since Dec 2010
29668 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:14 pm to
quote:


That means the coronavirus is expected to kill 700,000 to 1,400,000 Americans. Some OT douches will say it's only 0.4% of the population but 1.4 million dead is serious.


Please shut the frick up dumbass.
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
119953 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:16 pm to
quote:

We went from 27k to under 20k since the start of this.



Yes the Dow Jones closed out at 19,898 today. That sucks, but the stock market isn't always a direct view of how the economy is doing or a projection of how it will do.

Right now is a good time to get into the market because it will go back up and when it does, everybody getting fed.

Our economy isn't "fricked". Taking a hit? Yes. But saying its fricked is a bit overreacting.
Posted by Mo Jeaux
Member since Aug 2008
62152 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:17 pm to
quote:

Yes the Dow Jones closed out at 19,898 today. That sucks, but the stock market isn't always a direct view of how the economy is doing or a projection of how it will do.

Right now is a good time to get into the market because it will go back up and when it does, everybody getting fed.


Tell us more about your trading strategies, Chris.
Posted by uscpuke
Member since Jan 2004
6158 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

Our economy isn't "fricked". Taking a hit? Yes. But saying its fricked is a bit overreacting.

Posted by DCtiger1
Member since Jul 2009
11012 posts
Posted on 3/18/20 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

Many health experts have predicted that death rates overall will decrease as the number of cases rises and testing expands. The US's experience offers evidence of that: As of Tuesday, its death rate had dropped to 1.7% from 5.9% about two weeks ago; in the 12 days between calculations, the number of people tested in the US jumped to more than 58,000 from fewer than 2,000. Widespread testing could mean a lower death rate because most COVID-19 cases — about 80% — are considered mild. But the cases tested and reported first are often those with the most severe symptoms, since those people go to the hospital. Milder cases, on the other hand, could go uncounted or get reported later on, so the true number of infected people is likely much higher than the reported total.


These dumb fricks don’t understand data. There is no way in hell the death toll will approach anywhere near the numbers mojo fricktard suggests.
This post was edited on 3/18/20 at 5:22 pm
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