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re: IHME model is getting better for the US...stabilizing as we get more and more good data

Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:12 am to
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43823 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:12 am to
quote:

For the world? Definitely not the US.

I'm looking at a screenshot from April 1st from the IHME model.


Maybe two weeks ago. Whenever Fauci released his statement.

quote:

The low end was ~40k deaths. High End ~178k. Middle of the road, which most people have been using during this for COVID, was 93,531.


So still steadily dropping? If the trend holds for two more weeks and this falls right in line with the flu, then what? Does this just become another seasonal virus that we have to take precaution against?

These questions were scoffed at by many a month ago, but here we are.
This post was edited on 4/8/20 at 11:19 am
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35319 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:13 am to
You think Fauci used the low estimate in that statement?
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
43823 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:17 am to
quote:

You think Fauci used the low estimate in that statement?


I would hope a "medical expert" isn't going on mass media outlets and giving only the worst case scenario.
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83571 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:18 am to
quote:

Does this just become another seasonal virus that we have to take precaution against?



eventually, yes, this will be the case
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83571 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:19 am to
quote:

I would hope a "medical expert" isn't going on mass media outlets and giving only the worst case scenario.



oh my sweet summer child
Posted by hehateme2285
Katy, TX
Member since Dec 2007
5122 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:22 am to
quote:

I would hope a "medical expert" isn't going on mass media outlets and giving only the worst case scenario.


How do you think they got their spot on mass media? Good news doesn't sell.

Also, doctors, including Fauci, would have us never leave our homes. Can't get spread disease if you never go outside.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
52977 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:27 am to
It’s funny how many of y’all were scared at first and wanted your vacation but now that your wife’s boyfriend drinks all your orange juice all the time you want everybody to go back to work
Posted by Salmon
On the trails
Member since Feb 2008
83571 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:29 am to
he didn't even buy pulp free

Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37093 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 11:33 am to
Stay at home is working.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
52977 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 12:03 pm to
The pulp is good for testosterone levels
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
48917 posts
Posted on 4/8/20 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

Do any of you even read" is a *chef's kiss* argument from someone who reads exclusively Conservative Treehouse


You should lower your soy intake and lay off Slate and Vanity Fair
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