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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:06 am to LaLadyinTx
quote:
They wreck Houston. Our most recent bad storms were Ike and Harvey.
Ike was a weak Cat 3 rapidly weakening on landfall. Harvey was crazy amount of rain, no wind for Houston.
It would be catastrophic if a storm like IDA hit Houston.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:06 am to deltaland
quote:
HWRF and HMON usually give us doomcanes but they won’t run until there is actually a LLC formed I believe
They have been running
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:08 am to Turftoe
It’s almost impossible to read through the BS. It’s a shame because there’s a couple people on there that know and give valuable info but that other 90% are complete idiots
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:11 am to SWLA92
GFS model on tropical tidbits now has a SWLA landfall? WTF... not liking any type of westward gulf push 
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:12 am to SWLA92
Just search rds, Duke, and other TD Mets you trust posts.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:13 am to gaetti15
quote:
They have been running
Yep.
With hmon following gfs and hwrf following euro
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:18 am to Cosmo
HWRF before the Euro.
Since structure will matter quite a lot in the early game, makes the HWRF more useful than normal right now.
Since structure will matter quite a lot in the early game, makes the HWRF more useful than normal right now.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:18 am to rds dc
12z global runs about to start. Typically when the GFS and Euro are at odds a blend of the two is a good guess... Not sure that applies here given the tricky setup.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:18 am to DVinBR
quote:
at least it's a male name
male names typically don't wreck louisiana
Andrew?
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 10:23 am
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:20 am to rds dc
Duke and rds posting within seconds of each other
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:20 am to Rhinotiger50
FWIW, the 12z ICON appears to have folded to the Euro solution through 72 hrs. That GFS island is nearly isolated.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:21 am to Cosmo
The citation is fueled up and ready to head wherever necessary. Im thinking J-Hole
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:21 am to Ingeniero
quote:
Duke and rds posting within seconds of each other
in the last part of meteorology school, they implant them with cybernetics where they can read the minds of each other...they form like one superbrain that only interprets model outputs
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:23 am to lsugolfredman
frick the GFS
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:24 am to rds dc
quote:
Typically when the GFS and Euro are at odds a blend of the two is a good guess... Not sure that applies here given the tricky setup.
This is a one caves way more to the other scenario, if you ask me.
Especially since normal track biases for the two dont apply.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:27 am to Duke
quote:
This is a one caves way more to the other scenario, if you ask me.
Especially since normal track biases for the two dont apply.
I don't follow what you're saying here.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:28 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
I don't follow what you're saying here.
the two models need to frick and get back on track with each other.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:28 am to Duke
quote:
This is a one caves way more to the other scenario, if you ask me.
Especially since normal track biases for the two dont apply.
That is probably a safe bet. However, ridge strength and trough progression biases of each model do give me some pause.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:31 am to rds dc
Levi and Tidbits already bracing for the meltdown.
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