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Started By
Message
re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:27 am to alabamabuckeye
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:27 am to alabamabuckeye
quote:
Both GFS and Euro have consistently been moving west with every run
By the weekend the GFS could be on Houston and Euro on the panhandle.
0
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:27 am to alabamabuckeye
Both operational models are showing their usual biases so wouldn't take anything from them
The ensembles are still squarely calling for central-eastern gulf
The ensembles are still squarely calling for central-eastern gulf
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:27 am to SlowFlowPro
quote:
Way off? I asked for the information
You asked if it was entering the gulf first week of October and it clearly shows landfall 10/2 on that model.
If that’s not way off with the info staring you in the face, I don’t know what is
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:28 am to Midtiger farm
quote:
Both operational models are showing their usual biases so wouldn't take anything from them
The ensembles are still squarely calling for central-eastern gulf
This is the only thing keeping me from a full on melt. Hell I won't even be in the country when this thing hits, I just don't want to come home to a pine tree bisecting my house
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:30 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
You asked if it was entering the gulf first week of October and it clearly shows landfall 10/2 on that model. If that’s not way off with the info staring you in the face, I don’t know what is
You realize storms travel at different speeds right?
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:31 am to BallsEleven
quote:
You realize storms travel at different speeds right?
He asked for a timeframe with it staring him in the face.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:31 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
You asked if it was entering the gulf first week of October
My actual quote was:
When is the estimated entrance into the gulf? First week of October?
I asked when it was with 1st week of October as an option. I also asked when it was entering the gulf, not making landfall.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:32 am to SlowFlowPro
Gulf is early to mid next week, landfall is closer to next weekend I think
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:32 am to alabamabuckeye
Thank you
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:35 am to SlowFlowPro
TEAM EURO
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:36 am to rds dc
While hurricanes suck, one threatening the gulf coast will raise oil and gas prices which should help hurt Biden in the midterms. Short term pain, long term gain.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:38 am to SlowFlowPro
Wtf dude. This isn’t a forum. You’re not allowed to ask questions or have discussions.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:38 am to GeneralLee
Actually it just gives Biden an excuse for it
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:40 am to deltaland
Is this schedule of model updates still accurate?
Hurricane Tracking (Central Time)
GFS
0z: 10:30pm
6z: 4:30am
12z: 10:30am
18z: 4:30pm
ECMWF (EURO)
0z: 12:30am
12z: 12:30pm
12:30am Euro
1:00am Tropical Tidbits spaghetti
4:00am NHC full update
4:30am GFS
7:00am Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
10:00am NHC full update
10:30am GFS
12:30pm Euro
1:00pm Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
4:00pm NHC full update
4:30pm GFS
7:00pm Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
10:00pm NHC full update
10:30pm GFS
Hurricane Tracking (Central Time)
GFS
0z: 10:30pm
6z: 4:30am
12z: 10:30am
18z: 4:30pm
ECMWF (EURO)
0z: 12:30am
12z: 12:30pm
12:30am Euro
1:00am Tropical Tidbits spaghetti
4:00am NHC full update
4:30am GFS
7:00am Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
10:00am NHC full update
10:30am GFS
12:30pm Euro
1:00pm Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
4:00pm NHC full update
4:30pm GFS
7:00pm Tropical Tidbits Spaghetti
10:00pm NHC full update
10:30pm GFS
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:55 am to ABucks11
F that GFS run and I know it's still early
If another one hits Lake Charles I am going to take the insurance money, sell my house as is and GTFO. My family can stay and I will come to visit but I don't want to have to worry for 5 months every year about getting hit, evacuating, rebuilding, etc
In the past 17 years since Rita, we have had some direct hits and too many near misses and the only benefit I have in SWLA is to be around extended family. I can work from anywhere so I don't need to be here.
Oh and insurance will be nonexistent or very expensive. My insurance premium took a huge jump last year and my property taxes also keep going up. My taxes and insurance yearly will be more than paying high property taxes and lower insurance in other states.
Just tired of worrying
/rant
If another one hits Lake Charles I am going to take the insurance money, sell my house as is and GTFO. My family can stay and I will come to visit but I don't want to have to worry for 5 months every year about getting hit, evacuating, rebuilding, etc
In the past 17 years since Rita, we have had some direct hits and too many near misses and the only benefit I have in SWLA is to be around extended family. I can work from anywhere so I don't need to be here.
Oh and insurance will be nonexistent or very expensive. My insurance premium took a huge jump last year and my property taxes also keep going up. My taxes and insurance yearly will be more than paying high property taxes and lower insurance in other states.
Just tired of worrying
/rant
Posted on 9/22/22 at 7:59 am to stout
quote:
I am going to take the insurance money, sell my house as is
And, therein lies the rub.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:01 am to stout
Someone needs to add "Stout saying he is leaving the state if another storm hits LC" to the hurricane thread bingo card
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:02 am to BRgetthenet
quote:
And, therein lies the rub.
I know every RE investor in SWLA. I could easily sell it to one of them at a price fair to both of us. Plenty of people here that are still not ready to give up on LC.
The worst case is I half-arse repair it and rent it.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:03 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
The dude asked about timeframe when it’s clearly printed on the model
He asked when it would enter the gulf
Posted on 9/22/22 at 8:03 am to VanRIch
quote:
I’m slated to make $3k and if it’s cancelled, that’s it. No rescheduling.
IDGAFFFFFF about your $3k.
I got Punta Cana all inclusive on the calendar, bub.
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