- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:24 am to alabamabuckeye
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:24 am to alabamabuckeye
quote:
GFS seems to have moved way more west
Look at 850mb Vorticity. The storm takes longer to get organized this run, keeping it South longer and pushing it farther West before gaining latitude and starting the turn. Compare the Vort. of this run to prior runs.
0
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:24 am to Duke
frick. Three H shifts west at least
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:25 am to maisweh
Damnit to hell!
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:26 am to maisweh
937 mb just in the tip on the Yucatan 156 hours out
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:27 am to DVinBR
12z GFS has it at least scraping the Yucatan now. Quite a shift from yesterday.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:27 am to gaetti15
957 sitting on Cancun 168hr out
This post was edited on 9/21/22 at 11:28 am
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:28 am to Roll Tide Ravens
What kind of timeframe we looking at for coastal impact? Week?
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:29 am to alabamabuckeye
963mb entering the gulf. That's a lot of open water ahead.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:29 am to Midtiger farm
The other complicating factor is the depth of warm water to support a hurricane is deeper than ever before. Its been hot and long stretches of calm seas allow the water temperature to increase lower and lower. There is a lot of high octance fuel in the Gulf if all other conditions in the Gulf allow a hurricane to form and grow.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:30 am to BallsEleven
Landfall on the tip of the Yucatan, emerging into the Gulf at 174 hrs.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:30 am to deuce985
My baws in the Yucatan aint gonna like this run.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:30 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiit
Last thing we wanted was that much of a western shift.
Have to just hope it keeps shifting West and dies on Mexico right?
Last thing we wanted was that much of a western shift.
Have to just hope it keeps shifting West and dies on Mexico right?
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:32 am to BallsEleven
It may still hool and hit Florida *fingers crossed*
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:33 am to maisweh
F5 F5 F5 F5 F5
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:34 am to Fun Bunch
Guys, just a friendly reminder, watch the ensembles and their runs this far out. You're going to lose all your hair if you watch each operational run and latch onto it. Way too much time left in this story to play out.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:34 am to Oates Mustache
What if we have no hair?
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:34 am to Oates Mustache
quote:
Guys, just a friendly reminder, watch the ensembles and their runs this far out. You're going to lose all your hair if you watch each operational run and latch onto it. Way too much time left in this story to play out.
oh god oh god we are all going to die
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:35 am to BallsEleven
You'll lose your back, ear, and ballsack hair too!
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:35 am to Oates Mustache
Have any hurricane hunter data been imported into the models yet? Once the models have some upper atmospheric data will start seeing models get fine tuned and honed in.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 11:35 am to Duke
quote:
quote:
126 hours it's 20mb weaker than the last run
Thats interesting
The 06z Euro EPS had an overall weaker and SW trend as well.
Page 40 of 465
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News