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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:28 pm to Oates Mustache
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:28 pm to Oates Mustache
Or go east and catch the highway to hell (aka I-95).
1
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:28 pm to gaetti15
Ian is going to be one mean looking Mofo when it hits the open waters of the Gulf 
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:28 pm to gaetti15
quote:
makes sense given how the inlet is situated.
the approach of the storm upon landfall is absolutely one of the worst for that as well.
water is going to get thrown all over the place.
The underwater topography, or bathymetry, doesn't help at all, either.
LINK
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:29 pm to PTBob
Either get out or stay awhile. Don’t use 75. Use 95.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:29 pm to Duke
quote:
O/U 962 mb before they leave?
good number.
I'd go under. Microwave scans show it with a damn near symmetrical eyewall.
DMAX coming up. Should bomb out.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:29 pm to FLBooGoTigs1
quote:
Ian is going to be one mean looking Mofo when it hits the open waters of the Gulf
Let's hope the shear and dry air modeling is accurate because if not for that, the ceiling on Ian would be way higher.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:30 pm to VABuckeye
quote:
Or go east and catch the highway to hell (aka I-95).
17 and 19 are way more scenic paths north, while also not going another 30-40 miles east.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:30 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
The underwater topography, or bathymetry, doesn't help at all, either.
for sure!
that was always the most interesting part of the physical/coastal oceanography classes we took. Albeit we mainly focused on it from the perspective of tsunamis.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 5:36 pm
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:31 pm to VABuckeye
Thanks for recommendations everyone. Just confirming what I figured was the best option. We outta here.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:32 pm to HoboDickCheese
quote:
The fact that it costs $350 is OT appropriate
ge mr. Frommunda
This pig is apparently going to turn right at me. I have food drink, pellets for the Crossman, and bb's for the Daisy. I am going to have to get Otis, Duke, and RDS to tweak it a little.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:33 pm to gaetti15
From a well-respected tropical meteorologist, who is VERY conservative with his forecasting. When he says it's bad, it's going to be really bad if it verifies.
quote:
NHC track is precisely on top of mine. They have it at 100 kts west of southern Tampa Bay and 75 kts 12 hrs later when it's west of the northern part of Tampa. Moves very slowly right near the coast. Very bad for Tampa area. Time for a break, been going 13 hrs.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:34 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
From a well-respected tropical meteorologist,
Name names.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:34 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
From a well-respected tropical meteorologist, who is VERY conservative with his forecasting.
hes been nails on for this forecast for the length of the storm too.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:34 pm to Duke
quote:
Name names.
wxman57
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:35 pm to Duke
quote:
O/U 962 mb before they leave?
I say under. They should be in there at the perfect time to catch peak diurnal strengthening. We'll see.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:37 pm to Oates Mustache
Meanwhile, Typhoon Noru is strengthening again and could make a run at a super before making a Vietnam landfall.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:38 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
wxman57
Motherfricker.
I was afraid you were going to say that.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:38 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Baw, you ain't leaving if you're trying to take I-75 on Wednesday. You better leave now or just decide to stay and wait it out.
Already getting congested in Alachua Co.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:38 pm to gaetti15
quote:
hes been nails on for this forecast for the length of the storm too.
Yeah he has. I don't know how he does it honestly, but he's about as accurate as they come. And he's not a hype guy at all, very conservative when he speaks, though he's been pretty funny, capping on the GFS this season.
Posted on 9/26/22 at 5:39 pm to Duke
quote:
wxman57
Motherfricker.
I was afraid you were going to say that.
Right?
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