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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:09 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:09 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Dumb question but I need some knowledge. What times do the spaghetti models themselves run? I know they are 00z, 06z, 12z, and 18z but what times do they actually come out?
My (very basic and possibly wrong) understanding is that those times represent when the model started being run, therefore marking the point that the data collection froze in order to be fed into the model. Those number you're referencing are GMT on a 24 hour scale, so 00 is midnight, 6 is 6am, 12 is noon, and 18 is 6pm. GMT is +6 from CST, so the 00 run starts at 6pm for us. When it "comes out" is simply based on when the model finishes running and the result is uploaded. I'm sure it depends on the model, but just eyeballing it over the last few days, it seems to take an hour or two from start to finish.
But like I said, I'm just figuring this shite out, so I could be all kinds of wrong

ETA: Changed 8pm to 6pm because I apparently can't subtract tonight.
This post was edited on 9/24/22 at 10:15 pm
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:11 pm to Joshjrn
quote:
Just a little more tense than I generally am this far out, which as a rule, is not tense at all. Just an odd shift for me. But like I said, I assume I'm still a bit off from last year.
Man, you just described most of Louisiana the last couple of years. I get it… Laura PTSDed a lot of SWLA, just like Ida did for you.
A hate this time of year.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:13 pm to zsav77
quote:
Man, you just described most of Louisiana the last couple of years. I get it… Laura PTSDed a lot of SWLA, just like Ida did for you.
A hate this time of year.
Been through a handful of major hurricanes living in south Louisiana over the last three and a half decades or so, but Ida was my first time staring one down as a homeowner. Just hits different

Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:13 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Dumb question but I need some knowledge. What times do the spaghetti models themselves run? I know they are 00z, 06z, 12z, and 18z but what times do they actually come out?
Clink the link to see the correlating times.
LINK
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:13 pm to Duke
My problem here Duke is that the cone’s west boundary was at 85W. Now that is the center line. Again… SELA still in good shape but FML I hate the gradual shifts 5 days out.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:17 pm to Duke
quote:
IDK, I wait for someone to post them here most of the time.
Lol same, I never know when they’re actually coming out. I know the run times for most of the main models, but I never know when the spaghetti models actually run.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:19 pm to LSUTiger23
quote:
Clink the link to see the correlating times. LINK
Very helpful link. The only issue with the spaghetti models is that they don’t seem to actually run at 0z, 06z, 13z, and 18z.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:23 pm to Joshjrn
quote:
But like I said, I'm just figuring this shite out, so I could be all kinds of wrong
Looks right to me.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:36 pm to Duke
I admire back in the days people. No tech no warning no composite shingles to blow off hold a tree and weeeeeeeeeeee
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:37 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
My problem here Duke is that the cone’s west boundary was at 85W. Now that is the center line. Again… SELA still in good shape but FML I hate the gradual shifts 5 days out.
If it is any consolation, I thought the original NHC cones were too far East and South to start with.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:41 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
Chad504boy
Being a dick is one thing, though nothing new from you.
Post another bullshite graphic, and you'll be taking a timeout.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:43 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
RummelTiger
Sorry about your Longhorns
Don’t take it out on Chad
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:47 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Sorry about your Longhorns
You have me mistaken for someone else.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:47 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
Post another bullshite graphic, and you'll be taking a timeout.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:50 pm to RummelTiger
quote:
You have me mistaken for someone else.
Aren’t you and Winston Cup roommates in Austin and are huge Longhorn fans?
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:51 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Aren’t you and Winston Cup roommates in Austin and are huge Longhorn fans?
You're a weird guy.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:52 pm to RummelTiger
You didn't deny it though.
Posted on 9/24/22 at 10:53 pm to Duke
quote:
You didn't deny it though.
That was actually what I was about to type
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