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re: I think people need to accept that the housing window has closed

Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:20 pm to
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79515 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

Well sure, I mean everything is hypotheticals at this point in the discussion. I mean someone making $30k/year is never going to afford a $200k house with how things are right now anyways.


I pretty sure I said that they couldn't pay the note.

I was just saying that you can easily save for a 200k house and own it before 40.

Someone making 30k is failing. Why would we expect someone failing to have the American dream?
Posted by armytiger96
Member since Sep 2007
2862 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:20 pm to



quote:

They'd need their income to roughly go up to $70k to afford that $200k house, which the house is also going to be going up in those 7 years. Again, this is why people are stuck. It is the heart of the issue.



So in other words entry level pay for most degrees that are tied to a profession:


quote:

U.S. entry-level annual pay varies by field: engineering ($70,000–$85,000), finance ($65,000–$90,000), accounting ($55,000–$68,000), law ($75,000–$120,000 for public/small firm up to $225,000 for big law), doctor ($64,000–$78,000 for residency), and scientist ($60,000–$80,000).


I'm now convinced it's harder than ever to buy a house.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79515 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:23 pm to
quote:


I'm now convinced it's harder than ever to buy a house


As a single person how big of a place do you want?
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
16313 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:23 pm to
No one is capable of living within their means anymore and buying a starter home for a low/modest price.

I can filter my area on zillow and find 150 homes at less than $120,000.

Yes, at least half of those are in the hood, (thanks blacks for completely fricking the real estate market, yet another thing you've ruined), but half of them aren't. They are just old, BUT THEY ARE STILL MILES BETTER THAN BLOWING THAT MONEY ON RENTING.

$120,000 mortgage is appox a $750 note. The goal is to live here for 3-5 years.

Build equity, and then roll that equity into a modest/mid tier 150-175K house.

DON'T WASTE MONEY ON BRAND NEW VEHICLES. Learn to live without a vehicle note.

There is a path and it is an easy path. People just aren't disciplined and have been fed a lie about credit, credit cards, financing shite in general, and no one is taught to goal set, save, and live within their means.

I bought a $45k home that was 750 sq ft in 2007. I then rented it for 5 years while I moved into a $85k home in 2011. I sold it and then bought a $175k home in 2023. I have a $629 mortgage because I put $75k down. We will build a $300k-350k home in a few years and we will only finance half of that. We have no vehicle notes and are maxing our Roth accounts and trying to save as much as possible.

It's not rocket science, people are just not disciplined.
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
41724 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:23 pm to
quote:

I was just saying that you can easily save for a 200k house and own it before 40.



Again, nobody has said you can't. The problem is this though:

quote:

The point was more to illustrate that even with the numbers the other poster was deciding to use, you pretty much have to get yourself up towards the median income to afford pretty much the bottom of the housing market, which frankly just isn't a great position for society to be in
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79515 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

The point was more to illustrate that even with the numbers the other poster was deciding to use, you pretty much have to get yourself up towards the median income to afford pretty much the bottom of the housing market, which frankly just isn't a great position for society to be in


On a single income starting salary......
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184238 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:26 pm to
I didn't read the whole thread so I am not sure where the $30K salary came from, but if you introduced that number, it seems to be done so in bad faith by you to win an internet argument. MS has the lowest median household income in the USA at around $60K.


MS also consistently ranks as one of the most affordable states for housing, with the median home price being $240K and has the 3rd lowest median mortgage payment at around $1400
This post was edited on 7/31/26 at 4:28 pm
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
41724 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

On a single income starting salary......


Jesus christ.

Are we just pretending we don't know what the median household income is?
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
41724 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:


I didn't read the whole thread so I am not sure where the $30K salary came from, but if you introduced that number, it seems to be done so in bad faith by you to win an internet argument


It was the other poster's number...I literally did the math of the situation he laid out.

Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184238 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:29 pm to
quote:

It was the other poster's number...I literally did the math of the situation he laid out.



Then, had he googled household incomes, he would have had a stronger argument that a $200K house is affordable.
Posted by armytiger96
Member since Sep 2007
2862 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

quote: I'm now convinced it's harder than ever to buy a house

As a single person how big of a place do you want?


That was sarcasm in response to the guy arguing that people can't buy a $200,000 house unless they make $70K a year. I was pointing out that's entry level pay for several professions that require a professional degree.
Posted by dnm3305
Member since Feb 2009
16313 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

you pretty much have to get yourself up towards the median income to afford pretty much the bottom of the housing marke


But that is just not true and is totally dependent on how you define the bottom of the housing market.

What is that number? It sure isn't 200k nor is it 150k. It's not 120k. 100k is where people need to start looking.
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
41724 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Then, had he googled household incomes, he would have had a stronger argument that a $200K house is affordable.


Right, that's the point i've been making multiple times now. Need to be making around $70k in order to afford a $200k house putting 10% down (his percentage). Median household income gets you to around $250k give or take.
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184238 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Yes, at least half of those are in the hood



The dirty truth about the RE market in every metro is that people spend a lot of money to not be around certain demographics of people, and I don't simply mean race
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
184238 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:33 pm to
Who assumes you need 10% down? FHA is 3.5%
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
41724 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

But that is just not true and is totally dependent on how you define the bottom of the housing market.

What is that number? It sure isn't 200k nor is it 150k. It's not 120k. 100k is where people need to start looking.




Yea, you go and look through the supply of $100k hosues. Let's stop pretending there is a sufficient supply of homes in that range.
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
41724 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:38 pm to
quote:

Who assumes you need 10% down? FHA is 3.5%


Other poster used it. When discussing time needed to save up for a down payment.

Again, it is all a sliding scale. Looking at affordability based on the 28% rule too. Can you do more, absolutely. When talking in generalities though, have to establish a reasonable baseline. 3.5% you are more in the $230k max or so for the median household income to be within the 28% rule.


ETA: I don't know if jumping into the middle of it will really work. It all started from a point I responded to about jsut needing to buckle down and save. So I asked for parameters to put actual numbers into what that looks like, with where things actually are right now.
This post was edited on 7/31/26 at 4:42 pm
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
79515 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

Are we just pretending we don't know what the median household income is?


Im honestly not sure if you realize you are trying to use huge amounts of data instead of just looking at the math yourself.
Posted by armytiger96
Member since Sep 2007
2862 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

Jesus christ. Are we just pretending we don't know what the median household income is?


No we just dismiss stupid shite that is taken from census data and doesn't pass the critical thinking test.

Do you truly believe the median household for working families in LA is $60,000.

If so, you believe that if we lined up every working family from minimum wage to wealthiest and the midpoint is a husband and wife making $15/hr each.

You can believe that shite but I'm not buying that.
Posted by jizzle6609
Houston
Member since Jul 2009
20901 posts
Posted on 7/31/26 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

we will have to live like the undesirables and cram multiple generations into one clown car of a home.


Someone in the family needs to hunker down and start accumulating wealth with their sole goal of leaving it to their children.
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