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Posted on 4/6/26 at 8:34 pm to deeprig9
Fun fact: Donald Trump, George W. Bush, and Bill Clinton were all born within a little over 3 months of each other.
Donald Trump: June 14, 1946
George W. Bush: July 6, 1946
Bill Clinton: August 19, 1946
Donald Trump: June 14, 1946
George W. Bush: July 6, 1946
Bill Clinton: August 19, 1946
Posted on 4/6/26 at 9:41 pm to Archives
quote:
I assume the birthday paradox would apply to death dates, too. The likelihood of 2 people of a random 43 sharing a same birthday (or (death day) is actually pretty high.
Yeah this is weird. My office has 15 workers and there are two shared birthdays and several others with a two days.
Posted on 4/6/26 at 9:45 pm to deeprig9
Posted on 4/7/26 at 6:13 am to soccerfüt
quote:if you want it to be that date specifically it does. You only want it to be that specific day of the 365 not any day of the 365. That’s going to change the odds
That the shared date is July 4th does make it a more difficult “ask”.
Posted on 4/7/26 at 6:19 am to Zzyzx
quote:
Regional too, like when Argentina won the world cup there was a huge influx of babies being born 9 months later.
Did Atlanta have Super Bowl babies? Oh wait ...
Posted on 4/7/26 at 6:33 am to deeprig9
quote:
What are the odds that 3 of those 43 died on a particular date on the calendar?
3 / 43 x 100 = 6.976... or ~7%
Posted on 4/7/26 at 6:42 am to Bestbank Tiger
quote:
I was told there would be no math.
Here are some thoughts with calendar days instead
Valentines Day + 9 months
Ladies Night + 9 months
Power Outage + 9 months
Record Low Temperature + 9 months
Woman's Cycle (we not talking a Honda) + 9 months
Not exactly math or science, but human nature is pretty predictable
Posted on 4/7/26 at 7:53 am to Obtuse1
quote:
Interesting, if the birthday paradox works for deathdays as well, the percentage chance is much higher, on the order of 8%. I don't have time to consider the issue, though. It seems high, but that is the whole point of the birthday paradox: the numbers don't make sense to us initially.
Birthday paradox only works here if you de-emphasize the date itself. Put another way, the reason for the seemingly weirdly high percentage in the birthday paradox is that every person you add isn’t one dice roll; every person you add means every person rolls the dice again because every person gets compared to every other person. If you need a specific date, that fundamentally changes the math. You’re no longer comparing everyone to each other and are instead comparing everyone to a single date. That removes all the extra dice rolls that make the paradox counterintuitive.
Posted on 4/7/26 at 8:00 am to Cheese Grits
quote:my Honda predator is much less temperamental
Woman's Cycle (we not talking a Honda) + 9 months
Posted on 4/7/26 at 8:02 am to Joshjrn
quote:
every person you add isn’t one dice roll; every person you add means every person rolls the dice again because every person gets compared to every other person
Posted on 4/7/26 at 8:05 am to Archives
Wouldn't the odds around birthdays be a little higher since people tend to procreate statistically higher around certain parts of the year?
Posted on 4/7/26 at 8:33 am to deeprig9
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