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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Season - Watching WCAB & Gulf for Late Week Development
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:13 am to OysterPoBoy
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:13 am to OysterPoBoy
Blazing hot Gulf and the models not doing anything with this thing. We saw the last few years how bad they are at intensity forecasting though.
Cat 2 at landfall, book it.
Cat 2 at landfall, book it.
4
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:24 am to questionable
quote:
Blazing hot Gulf and the models not doing anything with this thing.
Hot water isnt everything
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:28 am to questionable
As Cosmo already pointed out, you're talking about 1 part of a multi-ingredient recipe. That one thing doesn't mean a system will do anything by itself.
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:29 am to Cosmo
quote:
quote:
Blazing hot Gulf and the models not doing anything with this thing.
quote:
Hot water isnt everything
Yea, I mentioned early on that land interaction and unfavorable upper levels would probably keep this in check. There are some signs that the upper level environment could improve later on if this is out over the northern Gulf and not riding up western Florida.
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:32 am to questionable
quote:
Blazing hot Gulf and the models not doing anything with this thing. We saw the last few years how bad they are at intensity forecasting though.
A storm has to be organized to take advantage of it. The land interaction and some expected shear as it moves toward the gulf thanks to a weak upper low hanging around.
I think it runs out of time to make much of it's self, unless it gets it's self in the middle of the gulf of something. Then the weak steering and dropping shear would give it an opportunity for something more formidable.
ETA: basically what rds said above
This post was edited on 8/11/21 at 11:36 am
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:36 am to Duke
That’s what I’ve been trying to say all along….
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:37 am to dukke v
quote:
That’s what I’ve been trying to say all along….
Cool
You can guess that it won’t rain tomorrow and be correct. It doesn’t mean you know WTF you’re talking about, idiot
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:38 am to VermilionTiger
Hey dude… screw off… anytime anywhere…..
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:38 am to dukke v
quote:
That’s what I’ve been trying to say all along….
Don’t try and say “told you so” after RDS nails it for you
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:39 am to tigerinthebueche
Not at all. I said shear from the west would inhibit it’s development… and that looks about right…
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:39 am to dukke v
quote:
That’s what I’ve been trying to say all along….
Then you did it poorly.
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:40 am to VermilionTiger
quote:
It doesn’t mean you know WTF you’re talking about, idiot
Be nice
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:40 am to dukke v
quote:
Not at all. I said shear from the west would inhibit it’s development… and that looks about right…
This fricking guy...
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:41 am to dukke v
Wat?
You said "That dust coming off of Africa will eat those storms up."
You said SAL would do work, you were wrong.
You said "That dust coming off of Africa will eat those storms up."
You said SAL would do work, you were wrong.
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:41 am to Duke
Well I said on page two that shear from the west was gonna mess with this storm… you just said it would. So am I wrong?????
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:41 am to dukke v
quote:
Hey dude… screw off… anytime anywhere…..
Name the place
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:43 am to VermilionTiger
Whatever is close for you…. Just remember you will NOT be leaving in the same vehicle you showed up in… that’s a fact’!!!!!!!!! Now back to the weather.
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:49 am to dukke v
quote:
Whatever is close for you…. Just remember you will NOT be leaving in the same vehicle you showed up in… that’s a fact’!!!!!!!!! Now back to the weather.
Posted on 8/11/21 at 11:49 am to Duke
I just dropped in to say:
............
............
Posted on 8/11/21 at 12:26 pm to dukke v
quote:
I don’t need attention from anyone dude
like i said - bullshite
quote:
Well I said on page two that shear from the west was gonna mess with this storm… you just said it would. So am I wrong?????
yeah you are - only thing you mentioned on page 2 was the dust off Africa
quote:
That dust coming off of Africa will eat those storms up.
and
quote:
Just look at the future of all three of these storms. The dust coming off Africa is gonna cause them trouble….. why do you think they toned down about one of them having a 70% chance down to like 40%…
but hey, continue to look like a fricking Idiot - makes the rest of us laugh at your stupid arse
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