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Posted on 8/10/21 at 11:24 am to deltaland
so worry when there's actually a need to worry? that seems to make sense.
we had schools last year cancelling because of a 30 mph max wind projection
we had schools last year cancelling because of a 30 mph max wind projection
Posted on 8/10/21 at 11:25 am to TDTOM
quote:
What about tornadoes spinning off?
They're going to be a possibility with any land falling tropical system. They just can't be predicted, and are very much a "now casting" thing.
This post was edited on 8/10/21 at 11:26 am
Posted on 8/10/21 at 11:26 am to deltaland
Marco was never supposed to become really strong. It was projected around a minimal Hurricane which is what it reached. There would have been much more concern around SE LA if it was forecast to strengthen like that. Laura was only projected to reach strong cat 1 several days out before it exploded in the gulf.
Posted on 8/10/21 at 11:27 am to bbarras85
Where at on MC????? BTW Andrew in 1992 says hello….
Posted on 8/10/21 at 11:28 am to dukke v
quote:
BTW Andrew in 1992 says hello….
PJ if you want to hang out in tropical threads you have to name drop underrated and forgotten storms. Like Hurricane Humberto in 2007.
Everyone knows Hurricane Andrew.
Posted on 8/10/21 at 11:43 am to The Boat
James Spann just included this in his latest update:
quote:
*If the system survives and enters the Gulf of Mexico, there is some chance it could become a significant hurricane by early next week; there is abundant latent heat energy available in the Gulf.
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:17 pm to rocket31
Nobody here is worrying. We take an interest in following the storms
If you don’t like it then kindly exit the thread
If you don’t like it then kindly exit the thread
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:19 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
there is some chance it could become a significant hurricane by early next week; there is abundant latent heat energy available in the Gulf
“Some chance”
Fear mongering but yeah sure it could happen
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:20 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
the system survives and enters the Gulf of Mexico, there is some chance it could become a significant hurricane by early next week; there is abundant latent heat energy available in the Gulf.
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:25 pm to Cosmo
quote:
quote:
there is some chance it could become a significant hurricane by early next week; there is abundant latent heat energy available in the Gulf
“Some chance”
Fear mongering but yeah sure it could happen
What's behind the NHC cone showing not much more than minimal development here? Is that dusty African air still doing work?
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:27 pm to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
What's behind the NHC cone showing not much more than minimal development here?
They go with blend of the models for intensity
The models arent doing much with this as of now
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:48 pm to Cosmo
That next wave exiting Africa will get some people's attention soon. Models are all over the place with it, but it has the potential to be an issue for someone at the end of the month.
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:49 pm to dukke v
quote:
dukke v
This post was edited on 8/10/21 at 12:50 pm
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:58 pm to Adam4848
For what?????
Posted on 8/10/21 at 12:59 pm to dukke v
for 1 being the usual fricktard you normally are in these threads, but mainly for your ignorant take on the "Africa Dust" Post
Posted on 8/10/21 at 1:03 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
James Spann just included this in his latest update:
It still looks like upper level conditions will be unfavorable over the Gulf. Models are showing an upper low over Florida that slowly drifts westward as 6 moves into the Gulf. The HRRR appears to be ignoring this feature or moving it out too fast. Based on the modeled upper levels, it would take more than just a more northern track to get what the 12z HWRF is showing. Upper level forecast are tricky and convection from the system can also alter the upper levels. Biggest concern right now is that it looks like the steering flow my weaken near landfall increasing the potential for excessive rainfall.
Posted on 8/10/21 at 1:21 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
. Models are all over the place with it, but it has the potential to be an issue for someone at the end of the month.
Can you share a link with the models?
Posted on 8/10/21 at 1:37 pm to Thracken13
Yawn.
Posted on 8/10/21 at 1:57 pm to rds dc
quote:
HWRF is showing
973mb into Miami
Would that be possible if the storm takes that more eastern track avoiding the shear off the ULL drifting west over the gulf?
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