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re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat

Posted on 8/23/22 at 1:56 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50806 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

There's some ensemble support, at least, for this one.

The Caribbean has been lighting up with ensemble support for a few days now.

This system, if it develops, will definitely go into the Gulf of Mexico and it’ll only have north to go from there. It might also maybe keep going due west into Central America. Either way, we’ll know more by [insert literally any time frame].
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:03 pm to
That Fratella guy is hyping it up on his page.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50806 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:07 pm to
I’m not gonna get all worked up unless it’s zeroed in on Louisiana 48 hours before landfall. With thousands of miles between where this non-existent system is now and us, I like our odds.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 2:08 pm
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

non-existent student


It's still fun to talk about, especially here on TD where everyone wants to check knuckles in a weather thread.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 2:10 pm
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50806 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:16 pm to
frickin autocorrect man

The OT is mental. I got downvoted for saying I’m not going to get worked up over something that doesn’t even exist. Bunch of people here want disaster
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 2:18 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82214 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

The latest GFS

Well, why don't you share it with the class?
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
7537 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:20 pm to
can you not see the picture of a ~cat 4 hurricane slamming gulf shores saturday morning, sept 3rd?

hoping/praying it is incorrect, as it is very far out
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:21 pm to


Right there by the islands.

I'm only showing you the relevant bits.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131605 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:30 pm to
Euro not biting
Posted by mightynine
Member since May 2006
1278 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

I'm only showing you the relevant bits.


Is that a popular pick-up line at the meteorologist mixers?
Posted by Fun Bunch
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
130325 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:32 pm to
We all love Euros now, don't we folks
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50806 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

Euro not biting

It absolutely is, just not where the GFS thinks it'll develop.




Below are the EURO ensembles -- which is a little different than the operational EURO model in that the operational uses all the ensembles to create its official run - which still isn't an official forecast.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 2:37 pm
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9380 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:39 pm to
pray for lake chuck. they don’t need a third one
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50806 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:40 pm to
frick Lake Charles, the whole damn state of Louisiana doesn't need another one anytime soon. We need a good 7-10 year break. Louisiana gets hammered again this year and we're all gonna be insured by LA Citizens.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 2:42 pm
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:41 pm to
Calm down, baw. You gonna lose your hair if you keep up this anxiety.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50806 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Calm down, baw.

Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75203 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:47 pm to
quote:

The Caribbean has been lighting up with ensemble support for a few days now.

That's a stretch. A few members hit and then they don't. We may start seeing a trend now, but we haven't seen a discernible trend on anything yet, ensembles or operational.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 2:48 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75203 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:49 pm to
quote:

That way Legend can get his hotdog straw and an arse whoopin all at the same place.

Otis, I told you that I'm not into your kinky shite.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50806 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:49 pm to
Unless I've been looking at the wrong thing, I've seen a significant number of ensembles popping off in the Caribbean and Gulf around the referenced timeframe for the past week or so.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82214 posts
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

can you not see the picture of a ~cat 4 hurricane slamming gulf shores saturday morning, sept 3rd?

Is there one in your post because I definitely don't see it. Maybe my browser is blocking it
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