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Message
re: Hurricane Season - NHC Tracking TD7 but Very Low End Gulf Threat
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:52 pm to TigerTatorTots
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:52 pm to TigerTatorTots
It's just there in the latest gfs model. It'll change 19 more times by this time tomorrow so it's not even worth your time to look it up.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:53 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
Unless I've been looking at the wrong thing, I've seen a significant number of ensembles popping off in the Caribbean and Gulf around the referenced timeframe for the past week or so.
Okay. You're right.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:55 pm to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:56 pm to TDsngumbo
I only want a threat of an arse whipping from Peej. All the rest is just noise.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 2:59 pm to LegendInMyMind
Give it time, I'm sure he'll be around here soon enough to throw around a few threats while pretending to be liked.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:00 pm to TDsngumbo
I don't know how I became the enforcer in a hurricane thread, but I accept. I'm gonna knuckle check Deltaland, midfarm tiger, legend and a few others. Gonna get some act right up in this beatch.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:00 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
I've seen a significant number of ensembles popping off in the Caribbean and Gulf around the referenced timeframe for the past week or so.
Define significant
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:01 pm to Duke
Two/three/four separate ones pretty consistently each run for the past week or so. That's significant in my opinion.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 3:04 pm
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:09 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
I'm gonna knuckle check Deltaland,

Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:10 pm to Duke
quote:
Define significant
Sufficiently great or important enough to be noteworthy
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:10 pm to Duke
What's up with all the damn downvotes? 

Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:19 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
pray for lake chuck. they don’t need a third one
Well if it does head to LC at least we know the lay of the land there. I think it was the cowboy church we setup at the last time. But I dont have a contact number for them... anyone else have it? I think it was a few miles south of LC. I lost a bunch of phone numbers when a phone died last year.
If someone has it can you email me at alphaandomegatd@gmail.com?
Not wanting it to hit anywhere but if it does the small amount of help we provide will be on the way.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:19 pm to LegendInMyMind
what is the obsession with trying to predict these storms so far out
the cone of uncertainty will shift numerous times before anyone gets a handle on any threat
predicting it to hit Gulf Shores is a crapshoot at this point - it could anywhere from Texas all the way to Florida into Central America
the cone of uncertainty will shift numerous times before anyone gets a handle on any threat
predicting it to hit Gulf Shores is a crapshoot at this point - it could anywhere from Texas all the way to Florida into Central America
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:20 pm to nicholastiger
It's not an obsession, some of us just enjoy weather and the data associated with it.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:22 pm to nicholastiger
quote:
what is the obsession with trying to predict these storms so far out
Personally, I'm trying to train my weather squirrel.
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:26 pm to LegendInMyMind
So you've moved on from sausage straws to training squirrels. You know they have sharp teeth right?
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:31 pm to Oates Mustache
Dr. Rick McNabb, former Director of the National Hurricane Center
LINK
LINK
quote:
Only 2 storms have occurred in east Caribbean potential development area, during Aug 25-28, in past 150 years, both were recent: Ernesto '06, Gustav '08. Doesn't mean current system will even develop, but provides motivation to not tune out. Latest GFS similar to both of these.
This post was edited on 8/23/22 at 3:32 pm
Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:35 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
What's up with all the damn downvotes?

Posted on 8/23/22 at 3:36 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Gustav
Get in here BR bros.
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