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Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:28 am to Cosmo
The hype machine is firing up on this one.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:28 am to Cosmo
quote:
GDM-FNV3 is Google Deep Mind's 50-member operational ensemble (probabilistic) machine learning weather model, optimized for cyclones.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:28 am to paperwasp
It was my understanding these AI models have sucked
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:31 am to Cosmo
quote:
It was my understanding these AI models have sucked
Quite the opposite actually.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:32 am to Cosmo
quote:
It was my understanding these AI models have sucked
Google Deep Mind called this almost exactly last Wednesday, so its been well ahead of the game on this particular formation
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:32 am to Cosmo
quote:
It was my understanding these AI models have sucked
Yeah, I haven't really followed them for a while, but I was under the impression that they were pretty decent when they first came out.
I'm sure with the opposing fronts and multiple dynamics, there will be some rough runs coming up.
Maybe the ensemble approach will shine here, but I guess we'll have to watch and see.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:54 am to paperwasp
So these are showing something hitting around Saturday?
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:54 am to Cosmo
quote:
Of note the 6z gfs has front day 10/17
I leave for a week long cruise that day
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:56 am to LNCHBOX
TD meet-up on the Valor?
Posted on 10/5/26 at 10:58 am to paperwasp
Is it time to trigger the bread and bottled water alarm? Feels like it by looking at that spaghetti model.
This post was edited on 10/5/26 at 11:00 am
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:04 am to rds dc
Ripping wind shear over the northern gulf coast on Friday according to the GFS
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:16 am to paperwasp
Of course we'd be completely silent for something to hit in October. Never fails.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:35 am to paperwasp
Damn it. I'm taking my wife on a quick beach trip for her birthday this weekend. From the looks of the models, that thing is headed straight for the Florida panhandle. We will likely be looking at a washout. She's gonna be pissed. 
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:50 am to Fun Bunch
Is it time to start panic buying yet?
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:51 am to IamNotaRobot
12z gfs with a cat 1 into biloxi
We are 5 days out from landfall with no cone smh
We shall see if the gulf of america hurricane wall continues to hold up
We are 5 days out from landfall with no cone smh
We shall see if the gulf of america hurricane wall continues to hold up
Posted on 10/5/26 at 11:51 am to LouisianaLonghorn
quote:
Damn it. I'm taking my wife on a quick beach trip for her birthday this weekend. From the looks of the models, that thing is headed straight for the Florida panhandle. We will likely be looking at a washout. She's gonna be pissed.
Amateur
Shoulda booked punta cana
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:11 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Of note the 6z gfs has front day 10/17
Totally unreliable. They don’t need to get ahead of Mother.
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:21 pm to LouisianaLonghorn
We're going to our condo in perdido this weekend. We had planned an outdoor dinner with a hibachi chef. Looks like it will be a stay inside and watch football weekend instead. Storms at the beach are the best
Posted on 10/5/26 at 12:25 pm to GEAUXT
quote:
We're going to our condo in perdido this weekend.
Subtle brag
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