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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/3/17 at 6:19 pm to
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 6:19 pm to
That's what we were saying earlier all timing on this storm. Everything from how fast it moves to it gets swept up to take that NE turn. Probably a better thing for western tracks if it doesn't move as fast as projected because it gives it more time to get shielded.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 6:23 pm to
Do storms in October take this route? The long NW movement? I thought most hurricanes traditionally go north then quickly shift NE rather than moving NW then immediately NE. Seems kinda odd.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1851 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 6:38 pm to
This Sept- early October has not been climatologically similar. The far southwestern extent of the Bermuda ridge has been persistent. A NW track can occur. Cold fronts to this point have not made it far enough south for a typical fall pattern to take hold.
This post was edited on 10/3/17 at 6:57 pm
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
31526 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 6:55 pm to
This is going to be interesting.
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1851 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:00 pm to
Let's hope the latest 18z HWRF isn't a trend for intensity moving forward
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41565 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:02 pm to
Now that would be bad.
Posted by LSURoss
SWLAish
Member since Dec 2007
15499 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:02 pm to
Goodness
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35702 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:03 pm to
HWRF overdoes intensity generally speaking, but that does hint at some higher strength potential.

ETA: personally still think it'll be sheared some by landfall and likely focus the bad weather to the east side. Hell, the HWRF has him a bit lopsided at 955.
This post was edited on 10/3/17 at 7:07 pm
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
31526 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

Let's hope the latest 18z HWRF isn't a trend for intensity moving forward


I ain't saying shite! I just try to be informed and stay ahead of the curve.

This one is on the experts. God help the speculation thats about to start.

LINK

Hit fwd on the right
This post was edited on 10/3/17 at 7:13 pm
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:24 pm to
next few days are gonna be interesting
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
14840 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:40 pm to
I walked in on the tail end Carl Arredando and it sounded like he said they know where it’s going but not intensity.
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:48 pm to
And where might that be?
Posted by Dizz
Member since May 2008
14840 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:51 pm to
Haha I missed that part.
Posted by marinebioman
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Feb 2005
3396 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 7:55 pm to
We are booked for that same Thursday-Monday New Orleans to Cozumel cruise...absolutely horrible timing. Any ideas what changes if any Carnival will make?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19840 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 8:12 pm to
12z Euro EPS



18z GEFS

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41565 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 8:19 pm to
So basically everyone that lives near the Gulf needs to pay attention of this system.
Posted by SpanishFortTiger
Spanish Fort, Alabama
Member since Dec 2014
1662 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 8:19 pm to
When are we expecting land fall?
Posted by BRIllini07
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2015
3025 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 8:20 pm to
18z GFS ensemble exuding some confidence in itself. Seems pretty narrow. Of course, all could be operating off bad inputs.
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 8:20 pm to
Does it seem it's trending more east?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41565 posts
Posted on 10/3/17 at 8:20 pm to
Looks like this system would be making a land fall late this weekend/ early next week.
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