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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:21 pm to
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

They can make it wider.
They can't make it that wide and still be within the current cone.

Not now.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:21 pm to
Those waves are trying to take those people out.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

slight movement north doesn't say it's actually going north yet...
It doesn't say it's going W either.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:23 pm to
quote:

So if your an evacuee from Miami and you went to Tallahassee thinking you were safe based on previous predictions, you wouldn't be pissed that now Miami will be mostly spared and now your evacuation spot is in the crosshairs?


???? Do you not see the Storm Surge Warnings for Miami?????
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

frick this thread I'm done
You not having fun anymore?

I am.
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:25 pm to
Admins starting to do work in this thread.
Thanks
Posted by iliveinabox
in a box
Member since Aug 2011
24145 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:25 pm to
Happened to many during k. Including myself, get over it and move again
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42004 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:25 pm to
quote:

Did you see the four Dead Men Walking taking vacation pics?


Yes, you think they have a clue?
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

So if your an evacuee from Miami and you went to Tallahassee
I wouldn't have gone there without plans to move on if necessary.

Too close to cone projections.
Posted by Fratigerguy
Member since Jan 2014
4959 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

I'm in the panhandle and it's been inching closer to us every update until low and behold we are now in the cone we were never in before...


Since my previous post was deleted calling you out while you're allowed to troll, maybe this will stay. The panhandle has been in the cone since the cone reached the panhandle.

Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30192 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:27 pm to
quote:



Yes this is from the current NOAA2 Rec flight.




...and this link will bring me to an updated image the next flight, Yez? (Going to save the link and take screenshots for reference if that is the case)


I really like using this Wind Map to follow a storms progression.

Not sure if it's based entirely on formulas or if it's algorithms in conjunction with sensors/monitors... It always corresponds pretty accurately with what they are reporting on TV in real time. Like right now it's showing Marathon getting sustained winds of 35.3mph
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
42004 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:28 pm to
Looks like The Southernmost Point is about to go under.

Water came up fast.
Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30192 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:29 pm to
Thanky. My inner disaster junkie has rendered me a little dense right now.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:30 pm to
Sorry this LINK

1) Look for current flight
2) Select Radar (normally link is blue)
3) Select Image (They are typically labeled)
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61722 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:30 pm to
Bingo.
For four days now the projection has been that this thing would turn north sometime today. For four fcking days we've had people on here asking when it would turn north. It's not like they are even following along at all.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

So if your an evacuee from Miami and you went to Tallahassee thinking you were safe based on previous predictions, you wouldn't be pissed that now Miami will be mostly spared and now your evacuation spot is in the crosshairs?




I'd personally understand they were considering the extreme downside risk of not evacuating Miami for a major hurricane aiming at South Florida. It's damned if you do and damned if you don't here. If it does hit Miami and you didn't evacuate, you get the "why didn't they evacuate" and if they do and it isn't as bad as expected you get the "they always overblow everything, blah blah".

The weather is always a game of possible outcomes and you weigh the probability of a bad outcome with the cost of that bad outcome. Folks in Miami shouldn't take the wrong lessons assuming it does hit the west coast. They will, instead of take happiness in it not being the disaster it could be.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

???? Do you not see the Storm Surge Warnings for Miami?????


They are still calling for Miami to get 70-90 mph winds.

The blue shed shrugs.

Posted by yurintroubl
Dallas, Tx.
Member since Apr 2008
30192 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

Sorry this LINK

1) Look for current flight
2) Select Radar (normally link is blue)
3) Select Image (They are typically labeled)


THIS is the "event tree" I was hoping for.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

So if you're an evacuee from Miami and you went to Tallahassee thinking you were safe based on previous predictions, you wouldn't be pissed that now Miami will be mostly spared and now your evacuation spot is in the crosshairs?




If I'm going to be pissed, I'd be pissed at myself for not paying attention. If you're in the cone, you don't evacuate to another spot in the cone unless you're just trying to get off the coast.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 2:32 pm to
54 mph gust in Marathon / 38 sustained.
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