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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/9/17 at 11:59 am to
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29454 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 11:59 am to
Last frame of the radar looks like a wobble due west so you may be right.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 11:59 am to
Thx.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

Last frame of the radar looks like a wobble due west so you may be right.



Yep saw that too. Irma is straight cock teasing everyone at the moment.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:02 pm to
Getting off the coast and the heat engine able to fire properly will lead to wobbles. Right now it's best to watch the NHC fixes over hours to get an idea of the true motion.
Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36223 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:03 pm to
Oh man, yeah, I just checked out the Snapchat map. So many people in Key West. They also don't seem like they're preparing or too concerned.
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72082 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

For those worried about future strengthening, you can pretty clearly see the shear that Irma will face as she gets north. It is dry air moving at roughly 40kts, and it will help inhibit Irma even if she's over water at that point




Kill this bitch.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
31519 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:04 pm to
So when is expected landfall in south Florida ?


Edit: why the downvotes ?
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 12:21 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

Getting off the coast and the heat engine able to fire properly will lead to wobbles. Right now it's best to watch the NHC fixes over hours to get an idea of the true motion.


I'm not sure if/when we'll get anymore recon data, but the NHC is going to start issuing hourly center fixes starting with the 1PM CDT update.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:07 pm to
Don't really need exact recon fixes if she's in radar range.
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29454 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:07 pm to
quote:

I just checked out the Snapchat map. So many people in Key West. They also don't seem like they're preparing or too concerned

Worldstar!
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72082 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:07 pm to
Believe Monday really early for west coast. Keys sometime early tomorrow as far as center of storm moving through.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:12 pm to
She's now moving due W again.


Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:12 pm to
DId that prison so many were talking about in South Florida get evacuated?? No clue of the name and I can't remember where!
Posted by mikie421
continental shelf
Member since Nov 2008
852 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:13 pm to
Anyone have access to HURREVAC?

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:15 pm to


Slacksters WV image shows us something else, other than the notable NE movement of clouds in the dry zone.

If Irma were to actually go way west of projection, which isnt in any credible projection or computer model, that shear would rip her all up before she ever made landfall.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 12:16 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:16 pm to
For those still interested, Jose missed the northern Leeward Islands with the most significant winds. Silver lining at this point, but better than it could have been.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

Don't really need exact recon fixes if she's in radar range.


Yeah exactly. I'm not sure how they determine the pressure, but the location is pretty easy to pin down.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

So when is expected landfall in south Florida ?



Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
23225 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:20 pm to
Perhaps, once this thing starts chugging north, an Irma board should be created with stickies for "real" weather analysis, general questions, periscopes, and a "check-in" thread for posters in Florida. Just an idea.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 12:21 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:20 pm to
They'll have recon when she moves into the straights. As much for scientists to have more data as anything else.
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