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Started By
Message
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:00 pm to dbeck
quote:
Last frame of the radar looks like a wobble due west so you may be right.
Yep saw that too. Irma is straight cock teasing everyone at the moment.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:02 pm to 50_Tiger
Getting off the coast and the heat engine able to fire properly will lead to wobbles. Right now it's best to watch the NHC fixes over hours to get an idea of the true motion.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:03 pm to Hangit
Oh man, yeah, I just checked out the Snapchat map. So many people in Key West. They also don't seem like they're preparing or too concerned. 
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:04 pm to slackster
quote:
For those worried about future strengthening, you can pretty clearly see the shear that Irma will face as she gets north. It is dry air moving at roughly 40kts, and it will help inhibit Irma even if she's over water at that point
Kill this bitch.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:04 pm to St Augustine
So when is expected landfall in south Florida ?
Edit: why the downvotes ?
Edit: why the downvotes ?
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 12:21 pm
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:06 pm to Duke
quote:
Getting off the coast and the heat engine able to fire properly will lead to wobbles. Right now it's best to watch the NHC fixes over hours to get an idea of the true motion.
I'm not sure if/when we'll get anymore recon data, but the NHC is going to start issuing hourly center fixes starting with the 1PM CDT update.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:07 pm to slackster
Don't really need exact recon fixes if she's in radar range.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:07 pm to When in Rome
quote:
I just checked out the Snapchat map. So many people in Key West. They also don't seem like they're preparing or too concerned
Worldstar!
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:07 pm to DavidTheGnome
Believe Monday really early for west coast. Keys sometime early tomorrow as far as center of storm moving through.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:12 pm to St Augustine
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:12 pm to St Augustine
DId that prison so many were talking about in South Florida get evacuated?? No clue of the name and I can't remember where!
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:13 pm to 50_Tiger
Anyone have access to HURREVAC?
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:15 pm to slackster
Slacksters WV image shows us something else, other than the notable NE movement of clouds in the dry zone.
If Irma were to actually go way west of projection, which isnt in any credible projection or computer model, that shear would rip her all up before she ever made landfall.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 12:16 pm
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:16 pm to Hangit
For those still interested, Jose missed the northern Leeward Islands with the most significant winds. Silver lining at this point, but better than it could have been.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:18 pm to Duke
quote:
Don't really need exact recon fixes if she's in radar range.
Yeah exactly. I'm not sure how they determine the pressure, but the location is pretty easy to pin down.
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:18 pm to DavidTheGnome
quote:
So when is expected landfall in south Florida ?

Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:20 pm to rds dc
Perhaps, once this thing starts chugging north, an Irma board should be created with stickies for "real" weather analysis, general questions, periscopes, and a "check-in" thread for posters in Florida. Just an idea.
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 12:21 pm
Posted on 9/9/17 at 12:20 pm to slackster
They'll have recon when she moves into the straights. As much for scientists to have more data as anything else.
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