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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:21 pm to HubbaBubba
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:21 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
Not a kunt's hair of difference I can tell in position, although the intensity forecast appears slightly weaker.
I'm comparing to yesterday's 12z... not 00z
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:25 pm to rt3
this Euro run for where it thinks Irma will be around noon Friday
compared to YESTERDAY's 12z for where it'll be at the same time

compared to YESTERDAY's 12z for where it'll be at the same time

Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:26 pm to rt3
That's making a track into the GOM more and more likely
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:29 pm to Cosmo
quote:
That's making a track into the GOM more and more likely
quote:
Not really
still too early to make any definitive statements about anything
but the continued SW movement of the models has to be at least a tiny bit concerning... teeny tiny
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:32 pm to rt3
this model run for Irma's position on noon Saturday ***see good news at end of post***
compared to yesterday's 12z run for Irma's position on noon Saturday
good news is ~20mb weaker than yesterday's projected strength
compared to yesterday's 12z run for Irma's position on noon Saturday
good news is ~20mb weaker than yesterday's projected strength
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:34 pm to rt3
Well that's a little more west than I was expecting
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:36 pm to MrSmith
quote:
Well that's a little more west than I was expecting
24 hours ago the Euro said Cuba wouldn't have felt much from Irma
this Euro run says Cuba sees at least a more breezy day as the storm passes by
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:38 pm to rt3
Florida on Sunday...
compared to yesterday's 12z Euro
ETA: again a little weaker... but again more south and west
compared to yesterday's 12z Euro
ETA: again a little weaker... but again more south and west
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 1:39 pm
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:43 pm to rt3
:fingers crossed for her swinging out to sea:
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:43 pm to rt3
7am Monday Sept. 11. Has made northward turn at this point.


Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:44 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
7am Monday Sept. 11. Has made northward turn at this point.
which is more in line to what the Euro was saying 2 days ago instead of yesterday's 12z
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:46 pm to rt3
North Carolina will definitely need to watch it depending on how far north it goes before it turns back out to sea.
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:50 pm to rt3
So how screwed would Miami be based on that?
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:51 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Looks like it may skirt the outer banks but the center stays offshore.
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:52 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
looks like just a brush with the Carolina coast... keeping it mostly out to sea


Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:52 pm to rt3
Wow! Sending it back out to sea!


This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 1:55 pm
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:53 pm to lsu480
quote:
So how screwed would Miami be based on that?
based on that... glancing blow
too close for comfort
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:53 pm to rt3
That would be absolutely incredible.
I guess it's pretty much a given that the Bahamas will be decimated regardless of the minor shifts in projected path though...
I guess it's pretty much a given that the Bahamas will be decimated regardless of the minor shifts in projected path though...
Posted on 9/3/17 at 1:54 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
That looks like Hugo.
I was a kid during Hugo and I remember evacuating Savannah with the sirens going off and my mom crying. The word was that it was going to wipe Savannah off the map. Then it turned at last minute and basically did that to Charleston.
There is nowhere between Jax and Virginia line that I would feel safe on coast
I was a kid during Hugo and I remember evacuating Savannah with the sirens going off and my mom crying. The word was that it was going to wipe Savannah off the map. Then it turned at last minute and basically did that to Charleston.
There is nowhere between Jax and Virginia line that I would feel safe on coast
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